Introduction to the Derby

The upcoming derby between Olimpia and Club Guarani in the Division Profesional – Apertura league promises to be a thrilling encounter. Scheduled for January 26, 2025, at 21:15 UTC, this match is one of the most anticipated fixtures in Paraguayan football. Known for its intensity and passionate fanbase, this derby often delivers unforgettable moments. As bettors prepare for this encounter, understanding the dynamics and statistics is crucial for making informed decisions.

Current Betting Odds and Predictions

The betting odds for this match are intriguing. A home win for Olimpia is priced at 1.95, a draw at 2.95, and an away win for Club Guarani at 4.20. According to NerdyTips AI NT 4.0, the top bet is under 2.5 goals with a confidence rating of 5.8/10 and odds of 1.47. The AI’s 1×2 prediction leans towards 1X, indicating a preference for Olimpia not to lose, with a confidence of 2.0/10 and odds of 1.20.

Statistical Insights

Analyzing the statistics from the past four years in the Primera Division – Apertura league, home teams have won 35.6% of matches, while away teams have secured victories in 29.9% of games. Draws have occurred in 34.5% of matches, highlighting the competitiveness of the league. Interestingly, both teams scored in 47.3% of games, and 44.3% of matches surpassed 2.5 goals.

Olimpia has a strong home record, winning 49.6% of their last 133 matches. In contrast, Club Guarani has a winning rate of 35.6% in their last 132 games. The likelihood of a draw is relatively high, with Olimpia drawing 28.6% of their games and Club Guarani 32.6%.

Recent Performances

Olimpia’s recent form has been impressive, securing five wins in their last ten fixtures, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match and conceding only 0.6 goals. Notably, only two of these matches featured over 2.5 goals, aligning with the AI’s prediction of a low-scoring game.

On the other hand, Club Guarani has managed four victories in their last ten games, scoring an average of 1.1 goals per match and conceding 0.8 goals. Interestingly, five of their recent matches exceeded 2.5 goals, suggesting they might pose a more significant threat in attack than their odds suggest.

Head-to-Head Analysis

The last encounter between these two teams on July 20, 2024, ended in a 1-1 draw. This result reflects the balanced nature of their rivalry. Olimpia was favored with odds of 2.01, while Club Guarani had odds of 3.58. The draw in their last meeting adds weight to the prediction of a tight, low-scoring affair.

Betting Tips and Final Thoughts

Given the statistics and recent performances, the best tip for this match is to bet on under 2.5 goals. With a confidence rating of 5.8/10 from the AI, this bet aligns with the historical data showing that only 44.3% of matches in the league surpass this goal total.

The predicted final score of 1:0 in favor of Olimpia further supports this tip. Additionally, the expected correct score at half-time is 0:0, indicating a cautious start from both teams.

In conclusion, while Olimpia is favored to win, Club Guarani’s potential to upset should not be underestimated. Bettors should consider the possibility of a draw, given the historical frequency of such results in this derby. As always, it’s essential to gamble responsibly and consider all available information before placing any bets.