El Campín Derby: A Battle for Bogotá Supremacy

The highly anticipated El Campín Derby between Santa Fe and Millonarios is set to ignite the Colombian Primera A league. Scheduled for November 26, 2024, this match promises to be a thrilling encounter between two of Bogotá’s most storied clubs. With Santa Fe playing host, the stage is set for a captivating night of football.

Betting Odds and Predictions

The betting odds for this derby are tightly contested, with a home win priced at 2.75, a draw at 2.80, and an away win at 2.85. This reflects the close nature of the rivalry and the unpredictable outcome that often accompanies such derbies.

NerdyTips AI NT 4.0 suggests that the best tip for this match is under 2.5 goals, with a 4.9/10 confidence level and odds of 1.45. The prediction for the 1×2 market leans towards a 1X outcome, with a 2.0/10 confidence rating and odds of 1.40. The predicted final score is 1:0, with a goalless first half.

Analyzing the Stats

Santa Fe has a home victory rate of 43.3% in their last 134 games, while Millonarios boasts a slightly higher win rate of 46.2% in their last 156 matches. Draws are also a common occurrence, with Santa Fe seeing 28.4% of their games end in a stalemate, compared to 26.9% for Millonarios.

In terms of goals, Santa Fe’s matches have seen over 1.5 goals 69.4% of the time, while Millonarios’s games have surpassed this mark 61.5% of the time. However, when it comes to exceeding 2.5 goals, Santa Fe edges out slightly at 42.5% compared to Millonarios’s 39.1%.

Both teams have a history of tight defenses, with Santa Fe conceding an average of 1.1 goals per game in their last 10 matches, while Millonarios has been even more solid, allowing just 0.6 goals on average. This defensive prowess supports the AI’s prediction of under 2.5 goals.

Key Match Insights

The last head-to-head encounter between these two sides saw Millonarios claim a narrow 1-0 victory. This result, coupled with both teams’ recent form, suggests a closely contested match. Santa Fe has won 4 of their last 10 games, averaging 1.2 goals per match, while Millonarios has secured 6 wins, with a slightly higher scoring rate of 1.4 goals per game.

Possession stats indicate a balanced game, with Santa Fe expected to hold 52% of the ball, while Millonarios will have 48%. The predicted shots on target further emphasize the tight nature of this derby, with Santa Fe expected to have 4 and Millonarios 3.

Conclusion

In the vibrant atmosphere of El Campín, both teams will be eager to assert their dominance in Bogotá. With the AI’s recommendation of under 2.5 goals and a 1X outcome, bettors can expect a tense, low-scoring affair. As always in derbies, passion and unpredictability reign supreme, making this a must-watch fixture for fans and bettors alike.