Once Caldas and Deportivo Pereira are set to battle it out at Estadio Palogrande on February 20, 2025, at 01:10 UTC, in what promises to be a closely contested Primera A matchup. With Once Caldas favored at 1.9 for the win, the odds suggest a home victory, but can Deportivo Pereira pull off an upset at 4.1? Let’s dive into the numbers.
Once Caldas and Deportivo Pereira are set to battle it out at Estadio Palogrande on February 20, 2025, at 01:10 UTC, in what promises to be a closely contested Primera A matchup. With Once Caldas favored at 1.9 for the win, the odds suggest a home victory, but can Deportivo Pereira pull off an upset at 4.1? Let’s dive into the numbers.

Recent form and head-to-head history give us an interesting perspective. Their last meeting saw Deportivo Pereira edge out a 2-1 victory, proving they can trouble Once Caldas. However, the home side has been solid, recently securing a 1-1 draw against América de Cali in a tough away fixture. Deportivo Pereira, on the other hand, stunned Millonarios with a 0-0 "win" (yes, you read that right – they defied the odds with a goalless draw).

Looking at league-wide trends, home teams have won 41.2% of matches, while away sides have only triumphed 20.8% of the time. This heavily favors Once Caldas, who also boast a higher squad value (€10.95m vs. €7.35m), suggesting superior depth and quality.

Our AI’s 1x2 prediction leans towards a home win (1) with a trust rating of 1.5, meaning it’s a cautious but reasonable bet. The expected possession split of 52%-48% in favor of Once Caldas further supports this.

For goal betting enthusiasts, the under 2.5 goals market (1.56 odds, trust rating 3.0) looks appealing. While the predicted final score is 2-0, historical data suggests only 34.5% of league matches exceed 2.5 goals. Additionally, both teams have been involved in low-scoring affairs recently.

Discipline could play a role, with Deportivo Pereira expected to pick up three yellow cards compared to Once Caldas’ one. This could disrupt the visitors’ rhythm and hand the hosts an advantage.

With all factors considered, Once Caldas looks like the safer bet at 1.9 odds, while the under 2.5 goals market offers a solid alternative for those expecting a tight, tactical battle. Will the home side capitalize on their edge, or will Deportivo Pereira defy the odds again? Buckle up for an intriguing showdown!