AS Roma welcomes FC Porto to the Stadio Olimpico on February 20, 2025, for what promises to be a thrilling UEFA Europa League clash. With kickoff set for 17:45 UTC, all eyes will be on the Giallorossi as they look to capitalize on home advantage.
AS Roma welcomes FC Porto to the Stadio Olimpico on February 20, 2025, for what promises to be a thrilling UEFA Europa League clash. With kickoff set for 17:45 UTC, all eyes will be on the Giallorossi as they look to capitalize on home advantage.

Let’s talk numbers. The odds favor a home win at 1.82, while a draw sits at 3.60, and an away victory is priced at 4.40. Our AI is backing AS Roma to win with a confidence rating of 8.2/10, making this our bet of the day. Given Roma’s strong home record and Porto’s struggles on the road, this looks like a solid pick.

Expect a tight, low-scoring affair, with our prediction leaning towards under 3.5 goals (odds: 1.28, trust level: 7.8/10). A 1-0 win for Roma is on the cards, with a goalless first half before the hosts break the deadlock in the second.

Possession-wise, Roma is expected to dominate with 59%, while Porto will have to make do with 41%. The hosts should register 16 shots (5 on target), compared to Porto’s 9 shots (only 1 on target). Corners? We’re looking at 5 for Roma and 2 for Porto. Discipline could play a role too, with 2 yellow cards for Roma and 3 for Porto.

While Porto boasts a slightly higher squad value (€303.10m vs Roma’s €284.50m), history favors the home side. In the Europa League, home teams win 50.4% of the time, while away victories happen in just 28.4% of matches.

Roma’s recent 2-2 away draw against Bayer Leverkusen (despite odds of 5.84 for a win) shows they can perform under pressure. But at home, they should be even stronger.

Final verdict? Back Roma to win at 1.82. If you’re looking for a safer bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.28 is a solid option. Expect a cagey battle, but the Italians should edge it.