€1.23bn
€496.80m
Football fans, mark your calendars for March 4, 2025, at 20:00 UTC, as Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid face off at the iconic Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in a UEFA Champions League clash that promises fireworks. With Real Madrid favored at 1.86 odds, our AI suggests backing the home side for the win, assigning a trust rating of 5.8/10.
Football fans, mark your calendars for March 4, 2025, at 20:00 UTC, as Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid face off at the iconic Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in a UEFA Champions League clash that promises fireworks. With Real Madrid favored at 1.86 odds, our AI suggests backing the home side for the win, assigning a trust rating of 5.8/10.
Looking at the numbers, Los Blancos are expected to dominate possession with 63%, while Atletico will have to make the most of their 37%. Real Madrid’s attack is predicted to fire 16 shots, with 6 on target, compared to Atletico’s 8 total shots and 3 on target. With a predicted final score of 2-1, bettors should also consider the Over 1.5 goals market (odds: 1.27, trust rating: 5.3/10).
History favors the home side, with 47.3% of Champions League matches over the years ending in home wins, while away teams have won just 31.3%. The last time these two met, it ended in a 1-1 draw on February 8, 2025, but Real Madrid’s recent away win over Manchester City (1-1 after extra time) at 5.0 odds shows they can rise to the occasion.
Discipline could play a role, with Atletico expected to pick up three yellow cards, compared to just one for Real Madrid. Corners? Expect five for the home team and two for the visitors.
With a squad valued at €1.23bn, Real Madrid’s financial muscle dwarfs Atletico’s €496.80m squad, and that depth could prove decisive. Given their home advantage, superior squad, and attacking firepower, our AI’s best tip is a Real Madrid win at 1.86 odds.
While Atletico are always a tough nut to crack, the numbers suggest Los Blancos will edge this one. Buckle up for a thrilling Madrid derby under the Champions League lights!
Derby match
1 -114
Real Madrid is expected to win with odds of -1141 -114
Real Madrid is expected to win with odds of -114Over 1.5 -435
At least 2 goals will be scored in the matchYes -152
Both teams are expected to score
1:0
2:1
![]() |
18
-
15
-
10
|
![]() |
![]() |
04-Mar-25
2:1
|
Atletico M ![]() |
![]() |
08-Feb-25
1:1
|
Atletico M ![]() |
![]() |
29-Sep-24
1:1
|
Real Madrid ![]() |
![]() |
04-Feb-24
1:1
|
Atletico M ![]() |
![]() |
18-Jan-24
4:2
|
Real Madrid ![]() |
![]() |
10-Jan-24
5:3
|
Atletico M ![]() |
![]() |
24-Sep-23
3:1
|
Real Madrid ![]() |
![]() |
25-Feb-23
1:1
|
Atletico M ![]() |
![]() |
26-Jan-23
3:1
|
Atletico M ![]() |
![]() |
18-Sep-22
1:2
|
Real Madrid ![]() |
01 Mar | L |
![]() |
2:1
| Real Madr.
![]() | |
01 Mar |
![]()
1 270
X 280
2 -105
|
||||
26 Feb | W |
![]() |
0:1
| Real Madr.
![]() | |
26 Feb |
![]()
1 250
X 250
2 106
|
||||
23 Feb | W |
![]() |
2:0
| Girona.
![]() | |
23 Feb |
![]()
1 -333
X 500
2 800
|
||||
19 Feb | W |
![]() |
3:1
| Man. City.
![]() | |
19 Feb |
![]()
1 -125
X 333
2 280
|
||||
15 Feb | D |
![]() |
1:1
| Real Madr.
![]() | |
15 Feb |
![]()
1 450
X 320
2 -175
|
||||
11 Feb | W |
![]() |
2:3
| Real Madr.
![]() | |
11 Feb |
![]()
1 127
X 279
2 183
|
||||
08 Feb | D |
![]() |
1:1
| Atletico .
![]() | |
08 Feb |
![]()
1 -105
X 275
2 280
|
||||
05 Feb | W |
![]() |
2:3
| Real Madr.
![]() | |
05 Feb |
![]()
1 460
X 314
2 -167
|
||||
01 Feb | L |
![]() |
1:0
| Real Madr.
![]() | |
01 Feb |
![]()
1 800
X 425
2 -303
|
||||
29 Jan | W |
![]() |
0:3
| Real Madr.
![]() | |
29 Jan |
![]()
1 600
X 400
2 -250
|
01 Mar | W | ![]() |
1:0
|
Bilbao.![]() |
|
01 Mar |
![]()
1 105
X 235
2 275
|
||||
25 Feb | D | ![]() |
4:4
|
Atletico .![]() |
|
25 Feb |
![]()
1 -154
X 325
2 375
|
||||
22 Feb | W | ![]() |
0:3
|
Atletico .![]() |
|
22 Feb |
![]()
1 330
X 240
2 -110
|
||||
15 Feb | D | ![]() |
1:1
|
Celta Vig.![]() |
|
15 Feb |
![]()
1 -208
X 333
2 600
|
||||
08 Feb | D | ![]() |
1:1
|
Atletico .![]() |
|
08 Feb |
![]()
1 -105
X 275
2 280
|
||||
04 Feb | W | ![]() |
5:0
|
Getafe.![]() |
|
04 Feb |
![]()
1 -222
X 320
2 700
|
||||
01 Feb | W | ![]() |
2:0
|
Mallorca.![]() |
|
01 Feb |
![]()
1 -222
X 320
2 700
|
||||
29 Jan | W | ![]() |
1:4
|
Atletico .![]() |
|
29 Jan |
![]()
1 630
X 380
2 -233
|
||||
25 Jan | D | ![]() |
1:1
|
Villarrea.![]() |
|
25 Jan |
![]()
1 -185
X 333
2 470
|
||||
21 Jan | W | ![]() |
2:1
|
Leverkuse.![]() |
|
21 Jan |
![]()
1 155
X 225
2 180
|
Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
![]() |
8 |
17-5 |
21 |
2 |
![]() |
8 |
28-13 |
19 |
3 |
![]() |
8 |
16-3 |
19 |
4 |
![]() |
8 |
11-1 |
19 |
5 |
![]() |
8 |
20-12 |
18 |
6 |
![]() |
8 |
15-7 |
16 |
7 |
![]() |
8 |
17-10 |
16 |
8 |
![]() |
8 |
13-6 |
16 |
9 |
![]() |
8 |
20-6 |
15 |
10 |
![]() |
8 |
22-12 |
15 |
11 |
![]() |
8 |
20-12 |
15 |
12 |
![]() |
8 |
20-12 |
15 |
13 |
![]() |
8 |
14-11 |
15 |
14 |
![]() |
8 |
16-12 |
14 |
15 |
![]() |
8 |
14-9 |
13 |
16 |
![]() |
8 |
16-12 |
13 |
17 |
![]() |
8 |
13-13 |
13 |
18 |
![]() |
8 |
10-11 |
13 |
19 |
![]() |
8 |
18-21 |
13 |
20 |
![]() |
8 |
9-7 |
12 |
21 |
![]() |
8 |
13-14 |
12 |
22 |
![]() |
8 |
18-14 |
11 |
23 |
![]() |
8 |
13-12 |
11 |
24 |
![]() |
8 |
7-11 |
11 |
25 |
![]() |
8 |
12-19 |
11 |
26 |
![]() |
8 |
13-17 |
10 |
27 |
![]() |
8 |
8-16 |
7 |
28 |
![]() |
8 |
4-9 |
6 |
29 |
![]() |
8 |
13-22 |
6 |
30 |
![]() |
8 |
5-14 |
6 |
31 |
![]() |
8 |
7-21 |
4 |
32 |
![]() |
8 |
8-15 |
3 |
33 |
![]() |
8 |
5-13 |
3 |
34 |
![]() |
8 |
5-27 |
3 |
35 |
![]() |
8 |
7-27 |
0 |
36 |
![]() |
8 |
3-24 |
0 |