Lille welcomes Montpellier to the Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy on March 8, 2025, at 18:00 UTC, and if the odds are anything to go by, this one looks like a home banker. With odds of 1.4 for a Lille win, the bookmakers are clearly siding with the hosts. Montpellier, on the other hand, are serious underdogs at 7.4, while a draw sits at 4.9.
Lille welcomes Montpellier to the Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy on March 8, 2025, at 18:00 UTC, and if the odds are anything to go by, this one looks like a home banker. With odds of 1.4 for a Lille win, the bookmakers are clearly siding with the hosts. Montpellier, on the other hand, are serious underdogs at 7.4, while a draw sits at 4.9.

Our AI-generated best tip? A Lille victory (1) with a trust level of 6.3/10. The 1x2 prediction also favors Lille (trust level: 6.4/10), reinforcing the idea that the home side should take all three points. If you're looking for a goals market bet, the over 2.5 goals option (odds: 1.62, confidence: 5.4/10) could be worth considering, with an expected final score of 3-0.

Lille is expected to dominate possession with 65%, while Montpellier will likely see just 35% of the ball. The hosts should also create more chances, with 17 shots (7 on target) compared to Montpellier’s 10 shots (2 on target). Corners? Expect around 9 in total, with Lille winning 6 of them.

Looking at historical Ligue 1 trends, home teams win 40.9% of matches, while away teams take 30.0%, and 29.1% end in a draw. Goals are usually on the menu, with 72.8% of games featuring over 1.5 goals and 49.6% surpassing the 2.5-goal mark.

The last time these two met (April 16, 2023), Lille edged Montpellier 2-1, and with their squad valued at €297.35m compared to Montpellier’s €62.55m, the quality gap is evident. Lille also recently stunned Atletico Madrid 3-1 away, proving they can handle high-pressure games. Meanwhile, Montpellier’s 2-1 win over Toulouse shows they can pull off surprises, but can they do it here?

With all signs pointing to a Lille win, backing the hosts at 1.4 seems like a solid bet. If you're feeling adventurous, a 3-0 correct score punt could bring in bigger rewards. Whatever you choose, may the odds be ever in your favor!