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Match Prediction

Aalesund vs Raufoss Prediction

Finished
Norway flag Norway
1. Division

Aalesund

€5.32m

3 May10:00
3 : 1

Raufoss

€2.70m

Preview

Aalesund vs Raufoss Prediction 1. Division

Aalesund vs Raufoss Prediction: Goals Expected in a Battle of Contrasts

The Aalesund vs Raufoss prediction for this weekend’s Norwegian 1. Division clash is shaping up to be a fascinating encounter, blending historical drama with recent form. With Aalesund heavily favored at 1.43 odds, Raufoss’s underdog status at 6.25 suggests a potential mismatch—but football loves a twist. Let’s dive into why this game might defy expectations, or follow the script.

Recent History: A Tale of Revenge?

Last April, Raufoss delivered a stunner, thrashing Aalesund 4-1 despite being clear outsiders (odds: 3.75). That result lingers in the memory, especially since Aalesund’s squad value (€5.32m) dwarfs Raufoss’s (€2.70m). Yet, as past upsets prove, numbers don’t always tell the full story:

  • Aalesund’s giant-killing: Their 2-1 away win at Tromso in 2023 (odds: 8.7) showed they can punch above their weight.
  • Raufoss’s resilience: A 2-1 victory at Lyn last September (odds: 5.3) highlighted their knack for defying odds.

This head-to-head unpredictability adds spice to the rematch. Will Aalesund seek vengeance, or will Raufoss repeat their heroics?

Stats Don’t Lie: Goals, Odds, and Home Advantage

The AI’s top pick—over 2.5 goals (1.62 odds, 4.9/10 confidence)—fits neatly with league trends. In the Norwegian 1. Division this season:

  • 52.0% of games see over 2.5 goals.
  • 32.8% surpass 3.5 goals, suggesting high-scoring drama isn’t rare.
  • Home teams win 39.1% of matches, giving Aalesund an edge.

Combine this with the AI’s projected 2-1 final score (1-0 at half-time), and the betting odds start making sense. Aalesund’s superior squad depth and home turf align with historical home-win rates, but Raufoss’s recent giant-slaying form keeps things intriguing.

Key Factors to Watch

1. Squad Value Gap: Aalesund’s near-double market value hints at better individual quality, but teamwork often trumps talent.

2. BTTS Potential: With both teams scoring in 51.8% of league games, a total goals bet could be savvy.

3. Psychological Edge: Raufoss’s 4-1 demolition last year might fuel Aalesund’s hunger—or haunt them.

Final Verdict: Trust the Trends, But Expect Fireworks

The Aalesund vs Raufoss prediction leans toward the hosts, but this isn’t a lock. The AI’s 3.0/10 confidence in an Aalesund win (1.43 odds) reflects lingering doubts, while the over 2.5 goals pick feels safer given both teams’ attacking tendencies. If you’re feeling bold, a 2-1 correct score (mirroring the AI’s forecast) at higher odds might tempt you.

One thing’s certain: at Color Line Stadion, goals and drama are likely. Whether Aalesund exacts revenge or Raufoss springs another surprise, this is a match that promises value for bettors—and entertainment for fans.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Aalesund has an unusually high recent form. Be cautious!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Aalesund vs Raufoss

O2.5 -161

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -161
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 -233

Aalesund is expected to win with odds of -233
3/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -161

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -128

Both teams are expected to score
4/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -357

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Average / Match

3.5
Total Goals
3.3
2
Goals Scored
1.9
1.5
Goals Against
1.4

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
5
7
Over 1.5 Goals
8
7
Over 2.5 Goals
7
4
Over 3.5 Goals
5
6
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Aalesund
4 - 0 - 3
Raufoss
Aalesund Aalesund 03-May-25
3:1
Raufoss Raufoss
Raufoss Raufoss 03-Aug-24
0:2
Aalesund Aalesund
Aalesund Aalesund 27-Apr-24
1:4
Raufoss Raufoss
Aalesund Aalesund 28-Aug-21
4:2
Raufoss Raufoss
Raufoss Raufoss 19-May-21
4:2
Aalesund Aalesund
Aalesund Aalesund 06-Oct-19
3:1
Raufoss Raufoss
Raufoss Raufoss 23-Jun-19
2:1
Aalesund Aalesund

Profile time Recent Matches of Aalesund

07 DecW Bryne Bryne.
0:4
Aalesund. Aalesund

Profile time Recent Matches of Raufoss

Norway - 1. Division Norway - 1. Division

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Lillestrom Lillestrom30
87-18
80
2 Start Start30
58-35
55
3 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger30
61-42
54
4 Aalesund Aalesund30
56-35
52
5 Egersund Egersund30
51-38
52
6 Ranheim Ranheim30
48-48
48
7 Lyn Lyn30
48-37
47
8 Sogndal Sogndal30
49-48
43
9 ODD Ballklubb ODD Ballklubb30
37-50
33
10 hodd hodd30
34-52
33
11 Stabaek Stabaek30
45-53
31
12 Asane Asane30
38-53
31
13 Raufoss Raufoss30
43-56
29
14 Moss Moss30
41-65
28
15 Mjondalen Mjondalen30
36-71
25
16 Skeid Skeid30
35-66
15
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