Agropecuario and Deportivo Moron face off in a crucial Primera Nacional clash on March 7, 2025, at 20:00 UTC at Estadio Ofelia Rosenzuaig. With both teams looking to secure valuable points, this match promises to be a tightly contested affair.

The betting odds suggest a slight edge for the home side, with an Agropecuario win priced at 2.15, a draw at 2.79, and a Deportivo Moron victory at 3.92. However, historical league data indicates that home teams win 41.5% of the time, while away teams claim victory in just 22.5% of matches. The draw percentage stands at a significant 36.0%, making a stalemate a strong possibility.

One of the most compelling insights for this match is the under 2.5 goals market, which our AI rates at 1.36 odds with a trust level of 6.8/10. This aligns with Primera Nacional trends, where only 31.0% of matches exceed 2.5 goals, and just 14.2% surpass 3.5 goals. Additionally, both teams scored in only 39.1% of league games, reinforcing the expectation of a low-scoring affair.

Looking at recent form, Agropecuario secured a 0-0 draw against San Martin S.J. on September 29, 2024, despite being underdogs at 5.5 odds. Meanwhile, Deportivo Moron pulled off a 0-1 away win against San Miguel on October 19, 2024, at 5.1 odds. These results indicate that both teams are capable of grinding out results, particularly in tight, defensive encounters.

Historically, these sides have struggled to break each other down. Their last head-to-head meeting on October 8, 2022, ended in a 0-0 draw, further supporting the under 2.5 goals prediction.

Our 1X2 prediction leans towards X2 (draw or Deportivo Moron win) with a trust level of 2.0 and odds of 1.6, though the safest bet remains under 2.5 goals. The final score prediction is 0:1, with Deportivo Moron potentially edging a narrow victory.

With both teams closely matched in market value—Agropecuario at €2.70m and Deportivo Moron at €2.61m—expect a cagey battle. If you're looking for a smart bet, under 2.5 goals is the way to go.