Agua Santa
€4.68m
CFRJ / Marica
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When it comes to Agua Santa vs CFRJ / Marica prediction, one thing is certain: expect the unexpected. Serie D is a league where underdogs thrive, and both teams have already proven they can punch above their weight. Agua Santa stunned fans with a 1-1 draw against Palmeiras (odds: 11.44), while CFRJ / Marica held Fluminense to a 1-1 away draw (odds: 5.0). If these results tell us anything, it’s that sports betting on this match won’t be straightforward. Let’s break it down.
This isn’t just another Serie D fixture. Both teams are fighting for momentum, and the head to head dynamics could shape their seasons. Agua Santa, playing at home (Estádio Distrital do Jardim Inamar), has a slight edge, but CFRJ / Marica’s resilience on the road makes them dangerous. Here’s what the numbers say:
The betting odds suggest a tight contest, but NerdyTips’ top recommendation leans toward 1X (Home win or draw, odds: 1.26, trust: 5.0/10). Here’s why.
Agua Santa is projected to dominate possession (59%) and fire off 17 shots (4 on target), while CFRJ / Marica may struggle with just 41% possession and 10 shots (2 on target). Home advantage matters in Serie D—home teams win 36.5% of matches, and draws happen 44.8% of the time. That’s why the 1X bet feels safer.
If you love goals, Serie D might test your patience. Only 32.5% of games exceed 2.5 goals, and this match is likely to follow the trend. The under 2.5 goals bet (odds: 1.56, confidence: 1.0) is almost a no-brainer. Our predicted score? A gritty 1-0 (HT: 0-0).
Beyond the sports betting angles, here are some quirky details:
For the Agua Santa vs CFRJ / Marica prediction, the smart plays are:
That said, don’t rule out a scrappy draw. Serie D loves chaos, and this match could deliver just that. Happy betting!
1X -385
Agua Santa to win or draw with odds of -3851112
Agua Santa is expected to win with odds of 112Under 2.5 -179
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -137
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -159
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1:0
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31-May-25
1:1
| CFRJ M ![]() |
14 Jun | W |
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2:0
| Boavista SC.
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07 Jun | W |
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0:1
| Agua Santa.
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31 May | D |
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1:1
| CFRJ M.
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24 May | D |
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2:2
| Agua Santa.
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17 May | L |
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1:2
| Rio B.
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10 May | L |
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2:0
| Agua Santa.
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04 May | W |
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2:1
| Portuguesa.
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26 Apr | W |
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1:2
| Agua Santa.
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19 Apr | L |
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2:3
| Pouso Alegre.
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23 Feb | L |
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1:0
| Agua Santa.
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14 Jun | D | ![]() |
0:0 |
CFRJ M.![]() |
07 Jun | L | ![]() |
0:1 |
Agua Santa.![]() |
31 May | D | ![]() |
1:1 |
CFRJ M.![]() |
24 May | W | ![]() |
2:1 |
Porto V.![]() |
17 May | W | ![]() |
1:0 |
Pouso Alegre.![]() |
10 May | L | ![]() |
2:1 |
CFRJ M.![]() |
03 May | D | ![]() |
1:1 |
Nova Iguacu.![]() |
26 Apr | L | ![]() |
2:1 |
CFRJ M.![]() |
19 Apr | W | ![]() |
2:0 |
Rio B.![]() |
22 Feb | L | ![]() |
5:0 |
CFRJ M.![]() |
Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
![]() | 9 | 14-11 | 17 |
2 |
![]() | 9 | 13-12 | 14 |
3 |
![]() | 9 | 10-7 | 13 |
4 |
![]() | 9 | 9-10 | 13 |
5 |
![]() | 9 | 9-8 | 12 |
6 |
![]() | 9 | 9-9 | 12 |
7 |
![]() | 9 | 7-8 | 10 |
8 |
![]() | 9 | 8-14 | 8 |