Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Prediction

Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Prediction: Can the Underdogs Upset the Odds?

The Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah prediction for May 11, 2025, is shaping up to be one of the most intriguing fixtures in the Saudi Pro League calendar. With a 10-point gap separating sixth-placed Al Shabab (51 points) from third-placed Al-Ahli Jeddah (61 points), the stakes are high at Al-Shabab Club Stadium. Bettors and fans alike are searching for the best betting tips, and the numbers suggest this encounter could be more open than the odds imply.

Context: A Tale of Two Ambitions

Al Shabab, sitting in sixth, have shown flashes of brilliance this season, most recently holding league leaders Al-Hilal to a dramatic 2-2 draw—a result that stunned bookmakers at 6.0 odds. That resilience will be tested against an Al-Ahli Jeddah side whose €169.93m squad value dwarfs Al Shabab’s €54.67m, underlining the visitors’ firepower and depth. Al-Ahli’s price tag reflects their ambition, and the numbers suggest they’ll justify it on the pitch.

Bookmakers’ Odds and League Trends

• Home win: 3.1


• Draw: 3.9


• Away win: 2.0

The odds favor Al-Ahli Jeddah, but not overwhelmingly—a nod to the Pro League’s unpredictable nature. Historically, home teams win 41.9% of matches, while away sides take 31.4%, and draws occur 26.8% of the time. Al-Ahli’s slight edge is clear, but Al Shabab’s recent form suggests they shouldn’t be written off.

Head to Head: Recent Encounters and Momentum

Last May, Al-Ahli edged a 2-1 victory in this fixture, showing their knack for clinical finishing. Yet, Al Shabab’s spirited 2-2 draw against Al-Hilal last week hints at a team ready to punch above their weight. The head to head history leans towards Al-Ahli, but the hosts have a habit of making life difficult for the league’s elite.

Predicted Stats and Match Flow

• Possession: Al Shabab 54%


• Shots: 13 each (4 on target per team)


• Corners: 7 total


• Yellow cards: 2 each

Expect an open game, with both sides sharing the attacking load and neither shying away from a physical battle. The projected equal yellow cards hint at a competitive, but not reckless, encounter.

Betting Tips: Over 2.5 Goals in Focus

The AI’s top betting tip for this match is over 2.5 goals at 1.47 odds, with a 5.9/10 confidence rating. This aligns with the Pro League’s trend—53% of matches this season have seen at least three goals. The predicted scoreline of 0-3 (HT: 0-2) suggests Al-Ahli’s clinical attack will exploit Al Shabab’s defensive gaps, especially in the first half.

• Over 2.5 goals: 1.47 odds (53% league average)


• Predicted result: Al Shabab 0-3 Al-Ahli Jeddah

If you’re searching for Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah prediction and betting tips, the over 2.5 goals market looks like a strong play, especially with both sides averaging plenty of shots and open play.

Final Thoughts: Value, Form, and the Numbers

This fixture is more than just a meeting of sixth versus third—it’s a story of ambition, momentum, and the unpredictable beauty of the Pro League. While Al-Ahli Jeddah’s superior squad value and recent head to head record make them favorites, Al Shabab’s fighting spirit and home advantage add a twist to the tale. The bookmakers’ odds, league trends, and statistical predictions all point towards an entertaining, high-scoring affair.

For those seeking the best Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli Jeddah prediction, the numbers favor the visitors, but don’t be surprised if Al Shabab make them work for every point. Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or just looking for reliable Pro League prediction and betting tips, this match promises drama, goals, and plenty of talking points for fans and punters alike.