Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
€23.10m
Al-Hilal
€180.00m
Preview
When Al-Fateh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC meet on May 16, 2025, it’ll be more than just a Pro League fixture—it’ll be a battle of extremes. The hosts, languishing in 13th place with just 33 points, face a near-impossible task against the league’s second-placed juggernauts, whose squad value (€180m) dwarfs theirs (€23.1m) by almost eight times. Our Al-Fateh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC prediction dives into the stats, tactics, and betting angles to uncover whether this is a foregone conclusion or a potential upset in the making.
Picture this: a mid-table side with a fraction of the budget, scrambling to avoid the drop, hosting a continental powerhouse chasing glory. Al-Hilal’s dominance isn’t just financial—it’s reflected in their relentless style. They average 67% possession per game, bombard opponents with 16 shots (7 on target), and convert chances with surgical precision. Al-Fateh, meanwhile, survive on grit: 33% possession, just 3 on-target attempts per match, and a knack for frustrating bigger teams (like their recent 1-1 draw with Al-Qadisiyah at 5.0 odds).
History doesn’t favor the hosts either. In their last head to head, Al-Hilal cruised to a 2-0 win in 2023. But football loves an underdog story—could this be the exception?
Al-Hilal’s €180m squad might fancy this like a luxury car vs. a bicycle race—but as any football fan knows, even Ferraras can skid on a muddy pitch.
The market screams one-way traffic: Al-Hilal are priced at 1.4 to win, while Al-Fateh’s odds sit at a hefty 5.8. The draw (5.4) offers intrigue given Al-Fateh’s recent stubbornness. But let’s crack open the league trends:
Our AI’s high-confidence tips back this up: over 2.5 goals (7.5/10 confidence, 1.24 odds) and an Al-Hilal win (5.4 trust score, 1.4 odds). The projected total goals (3) and final score (1-2) reflect Al-Hilal’s firepower and Al-Fateh’s occasional punch.
Here’s the cold, hard truth: Al-Hilal are better in every measurable way. They’ll control the ball (67% predicted possession), create more chances (16 shots to Al-Fateh’s 8), and likely score first (HT prediction: 0-1). The hosts’ best hope? A set-piece or a defensive masterclass. But with 9 total corners and 4 yellows projected, the game’s intensity should tilt toward the visitors.
Final verdict? Take the Al-Hilal win and over 2.5 goals combo. The Saudis’ class should prevail, but don’t be shocked if Al-Fateh makes them sweat for it.
Read More
O2.5 -417
At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -4172 -250
Al-Hilal is expected to win with odds of -250Over 2.5 -417
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -278
Both teams are expected to scoreX2&O2.5 -278
Away win/draw and over 2.5 goals
1:2
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|
3
-
2
-
15
|
|
 Al-Fateh |
16-May-25
3:4
| Al-Hilal  |
| Al-Hilal |
16-Jan-25
9:0
| Al-Fateh |
| Al-Hilal |
26-Apr-24
3:1
| Al-Fateh |
| Al-Fateh |
03-Nov-23
0:2
| Al-Hilal |
| Al-Hilal |
14-Mar-23
3:1
| Al-Fateh |
| Al-Hilal |
06-Mar-23
1:2
| Al-Fateh |
| Al-Fateh |
04-Sep-22
0:1
| Al-Hilal |
| Al-Fateh |
23-Jun-22
0:3
| Al-Hilal |
| Al-Hilal |
25-Dec-21
2:3
| Al-Fateh |
| Al-Fateh |
28-Feb-21
2:5
| Al-Hilal |
Saudi-Arabia - Pro League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Ittihad FC | 34 | 79-35 | 83 |
| 2 |
Al-Hilal Saudi | 34 | 95-41 | 75 |
| 3 |
Al-Nassr | 34 | 80-38 | 70 |
| 4 |
Al-Qadisiyah F | 34 | 53-31 | 68 |
| 5 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah | 34 | 69-36 | 67 |
| 6 |
Al Shabab | 34 | 65-41 | 60 |
| 7 |
Al-Ettifaq | 34 | 44-45 | 50 |
| 8 |
Al Taawon | 34 | 40-39 | 45 |
| 9 |
Al Kholood | 34 | 42-64 | 40 |
| 10 |
Al-Fateh | 34 | 47-61 | 39 |
| 11 |
Al Riyadh | 34 | 37-52 | 38 |
| 12 |
Al Khaleej Sai | 34 | 40-57 | 37 |
| 13 |
Al-Fayha | 34 | 27-49 | 36 |
| 14 |
Damac | 34 | 37-50 | 35 |
| 15 |
Al Akhdoud | 34 | 33-56 | 34 |
| 16 |
Al Wehda Club | 34 | 42-67 | 33 |
| 17 |
Al Orubah | 34 | 31-74 | 30 |
| 18 |
Al-Raed | 34 | 41-66 | 21 |
