Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
€19.60m
Al Akhdoud
€10.50m
Preview
If you’re looking for a sharp, data-driven Al-Fayha vs Al Akhdoud prediction for the upcoming Pro League fixture on 2025-05-17, you’re in the right place. With both sides hovering near the bottom of the table, every point matters—and so does every bet. Let’s cut through the noise and break down the key stats, betting odds, and expert predictions that could shape your wagering strategy for this pivotal meeting at Al Majma'ah Sports City Stadium.
With just three matches left in the Pro League season, the tension couldn’t be thicker. Al-Fayha sit 14th on 33 points, just five ahead of 17th-placed Al Akhdoud (28 points). That slender gap means both sides are fighting tooth and nail to avoid the drop, and recent form has produced its fair share of surprises—think Al-Fayha’s 2:1 upset of Al-Qadisiyah FC at massive 5.65 odds, or Al Akhdoud’s gritty 0:0 away draw at Al Shabab at 5.5.
Historically, home advantage in the Pro League is significant: home teams win 42.0% of matches, compared to 31.4% for away sides, with draws at 26.6%. That edge could be crucial for Al-Fayha as they return to their own patch, especially after their convincing 3-0 win over Al Akhdoud in their last head to head (2024-04-07).
Their last encounter was nothing short of emphatic. Al-Fayha ran out 3-0 winners at home, defying odds of 2.35 (Al-Fayha) to 2.88 (Al Akhdoud). That performance not only showcased their ability to deliver under pressure, but also underlined the gulf in squad value: €19.60m for Al-Fayha compared to €10.50m for Al Akhdoud. In a league where depth and quality often tip the scales, that’s a gap worth noting.
League-wide, both teams score in 53.8% of matches, and over 2.5 total goals lands in 53% of games. Yet, the AI is leaning towards a tighter affair here, with under 2.5 goals tipped (trust score 2.3, odds 1.65) and a predicted final score of 1:0 (half-time 0:0). That fits with both teams’ recent risk-averse approach and their struggle to convert chances.
Our AI’s top selection is 1X (Al-Fayha to win or draw) at 1.33, with a confidence rating of 3.7/10—reflecting both the home edge and the visitors’ doggedness. NerdyTips’ best 1x2 bet is a straight ‘1’ (home win) at 2.2 (trust score 2.7), banking on Al-Fayha’s stronger squad value, recent head-to-head dominance, and superior possession stats.
For those eyeing the total goals market, under 2.5 goals is the standout, with a trust score of 2.3 and odds of 1.65. This aligns with the predicted 1:0 outcome and the expected low number of shots on target.
In sum, our Al-Fayha vs Al Akhdoud prediction is shaped by a mix of historical trends, current form, and betting odds:
If you’re betting, the smart money is on Al-Fayha to win or draw (1X), with a riskier but worthwhile punt on the home win at 2.2. For the cautious, under 2.5 total goals looks like a solid addition to your bet slip.
As the relegation battle heats up, this fixture promises tension, tactical chess, and—if the stats hold—a narrow home victory. That’s your Al-Fayha vs Al Akhdoud prediction, straight from the NerdyTips.com playbook. Good luck, and may your bets be as composed as Al-Fayha’s midfield!
Read More
1X -303
Al-Fayha to win or draw with odds of -3031 120
Al-Fayha is expected to win with odds of 120Under 2.5 -154
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -118
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -213
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:0
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4
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0
-
0
|
|
 Al-Fayha |
17-May-25
2:0
| Al Akhdoud  |
| Al Akhdoud |
16-Jan-25
1:2
| Al-Fayha |
| Al-Fayha |
07-Apr-24
3:0
| Al Akhdoud |
| Al Akhdoud |
20-Oct-23
1:2
| Al-Fayha |
Saudi-Arabia - Pro League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Al-Ittihad FC | 34 | 79-35 | 83 |
| 2 |
Al-Hilal Saudi | 34 | 95-41 | 75 |
| 3 |
Al-Nassr | 34 | 80-38 | 70 |
| 4 |
Al-Qadisiyah F | 34 | 53-31 | 68 |
| 5 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah | 34 | 69-36 | 67 |
| 6 |
Al Shabab | 34 | 65-41 | 60 |
| 7 |
Al-Ettifaq | 34 | 44-45 | 50 |
| 8 |
Al Taawon | 34 | 40-39 | 45 |
| 9 |
Al Kholood | 34 | 42-64 | 40 |
| 10 |
Al-Fateh | 34 | 47-61 | 39 |
| 11 |
Al Riyadh | 34 | 37-52 | 38 |
| 12 |
Al Khaleej Sai | 34 | 40-57 | 37 |
| 13 |
Al-Fayha | 34 | 27-49 | 36 |
| 14 |
Damac | 34 | 37-50 | 35 |
| 15 |
Al Akhdoud | 34 | 33-56 | 34 |
| 16 |
Al Wehda Club | 34 | 42-67 | 33 |
| 17 |
Al Orubah | 34 | 31-74 | 30 |
| 18 |
Al-Raed | 34 | 41-66 | 21 |
