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Match Prediction

Al-Fayha vs Al Shabab Prediction

Finished
Saudi-Arabia flag Saudi-Arabia
Pro League

Al-Fayha

€19.60m

26 May19:00
0 : 2

Al Shabab

€54.67m

Preview

Al-Fayha vs Al Shabab Prediction Pro League

Al-Fayha vs Al Shabab Prediction: Can the Underdogs Defy the Odds?

A 21-point gap separates these sides in the Saudi Pro League—so when Al-Fayha vs Al Shabab prediction models overwhelmingly favor the visitors, it’s no surprise. But football thrives on chaos, and Al-Fayha’s recent upset win over Al-Qadisiyah (against betting odds of 5.65) is a reminder that stats don’t always tell the full story. Still, the numbers paint a compelling picture: Al Shabab’s deeper squad, superior league position, and attacking firepower make them strong favorites. Here’s why.

The Cold, Hard Numbers: Why Al Shabab Are Favored

Bookmakers price an Al Shabab away win at 2.11, with the draw at 3.6 and an Al-Fayha victory at 3.02. NerdyTips’ AI leans toward X2 (away win or draw), rating it a 5.6/10 confidence pick with odds of 1.33—slightly more cautious than outright betting odds. The hesitation? Al-Fayha’s occasional defensive stubbornness, though their 13th-place standing (36 points) and leaky back line suggest resilience might not be enough against a side with:

  • 53% possession and 14 shots per game (5 on target) compared to Al-Fayha’s 8 shots (2 on target).
  • A squad value of €54.67m—nearly triple Al-Fayha’s €19.60m. (Enough to buy a few extra referees, but thankfully none are assigned!)
  • A head-to-head edge, including a 1-2 win in their last meeting (2022).

Recent Form: A Tale of Two Mindsets

Al-Fayha’s shock 2-1 win over Al-Qadisiyah was a textbook underdog performance—organized, opportunistic, and fueled by desperation to escape the relegation scrap. But consistency is their Achilles’ heel. Meanwhile, Al Shabab’s gritty 2-2 draw with giants Al-Hilal (against odds of 6.0) showcased their ability to punch above their weight. The head-to-head dynamics here are intriguing: one side fights for survival, the other for top-six pride. Momentum matters, but quality usually wins out.

Tactical Threads: Where the Game Could Be Won

Expect Al Shabab to control tempo (53% possession projected) and pepper the box with shots. Their 5 expected corners to Al-Fayha’s 4 hint at sustained pressure, while a 1-3 predicted scoreline aligns with their superior shots on target (5 vs. 2). Al-Fayha’s best hope? A disciplined low block and quick counters—though their 2 projected yellow cards suggest frustration might creep in. Key trends to watch:

  1. Over 2.5 goals (1.73 odds): Hits 53.02% in the Pro League, and Al Shabab’s attack loves to oblige.
  2. BTTS (Both Teams to Score): At 54% league frequency, Al-Fayha’s occasional sparks could sneak one past.

Final Verdict: Stats Point to Comfortable Al Shabab Win

While Al-Fayha vs Al Shabab prediction models account for underdog magic, the gap in quality is stark. NerdyTips’ AI projects a 1-3 final score (HT: 0-2), mirroring Al Shabab’s clinical edge. For bettors, X2 feels safer, but an outright away win offers value. One thing’s certain: with Al Shabab’s top-six ambitions clashing against Al-Fayha’s survival grit, the stakes—and the stats—demand attention.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Meaningless match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Al-Fayha vs Al Shabab

X2 -303

Al Shabab to win or draw with odds of -303
5/10

1x2 Tip

2 111

Al Shabab is expected to win with odds of 111
4/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -164

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -189

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -204

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:3

Stats Predictions

47%
Ball Possession
53%
8
Total Shots
14
2
Shots on Goal
5
3
Shots Off Goal
5
4
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

2.8
Total Goals
3.8
1.1
Goals Scored
2.4
1.7
Goals Against
1.4
51%
Possession
56%
8.3
Total Shots
14
2.4
Shots on Goal
5.6
4.1
Shots off Goal
5.6
13
Fouls
9.5
5
Corners
5.2
2.5
Offsides
1.7
2
Yellow Cards
2.5
0.1
Red Cards
0.2
399
Total Passes
464

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
5
10
Over 1.5 Goals
9
5
Over 2.5 Goals
8
2
Over 3.5 Goals
8
4
Both Teams Scored
7
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Al-Fayha
3 - 2 - 10
Al Shabab
Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 26-May-25
0:2
Al Shabab Al Shabab
Al Shabab Al Shabab 27-Jan-25
2:1
Al-Fayha Al-Fayha
Al Shabab Al Shabab 06-Jan-25
2:1
Al-Fayha Al-Fayha
Al Shabab Al Shabab 07-Mar-24
2:3
Al-Fayha Al-Fayha
Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 15-Sep-23
0:1
Al Shabab Al Shabab
Al Shabab Al Shabab 09-Mar-23
3:2
Al-Fayha Al-Fayha
Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 02-Oct-22
1:2
Al Shabab Al Shabab
Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 27-Feb-22
1:2
Al Shabab Al Shabab
Al Shabab Al Shabab 01-Oct-21
2:1
Al-Fayha Al-Fayha

Saudi-Arabia - Pro League Saudi-Arabia - Pro League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Al-Ittihad FC Al-Ittihad FC34
79-35
83
2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC Al-Hilal Saudi34
95-41
75
3 Al-Nassr Al-Nassr34
80-38
70
4 Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah F34
53-31
68
5 Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah34
69-36
67
6 Al Shabab Al Shabab34
65-41
60
7 Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq34
44-45
50
8 Al Taawon Al Taawon34
40-39
45
9 Al Kholood Al Kholood34
42-64
40
10 Al-Fateh Al-Fateh34
47-61
39
11 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh34
37-52
38
12 Al Khaleej Saihat Al Khaleej Sai34
40-57
37
13 Al-Fayha Al-Fayha34
27-49
36
14 Damac Damac34
37-50
35
15 Al Akhdoud Al Akhdoud34
33-56
34
16 Al Wehda Club Al Wehda Club34
42-67
33
17 Al Orubah Al Orubah34
31-74
30
18 Al-Raed Al-Raed34
41-66
21
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