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Match Prediction

Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu Prediction

Finished
Argentina flag Argentina
Primera Nacional

Almagro

€3.26m

5 Jul19:30
0 : 1

Deportivo

€2.58m

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Almagro vs Deportivo Prediction Primera Nacional

Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu Prediction: A Tight Battle Awaits at Estadio Tres de Febrero

When it comes to Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu prediction, fans and punters alike are gearing up for a tense evening at Estadio Tres de Febrero on July 5th, 2025, at 19:30 GMT. With both squads carrying the hopes of their supporters and a history of tight matches, this Primera Nacional fixture promises to be a chess match rather than a goal fest. If you’re looking for smart betting tips, statistical trends, and a touch of narrative flair, you’re in the right place.

Setting the Stage: Value, Odds, and Recent Surprises

On paper, Almagro holds a slight edge, with a squad value of €3.26m compared to Deportivo Maipú’s €2.58m. The bookmakers seem to agree, offering odds of 2.47 for a home win, 2.78 for a draw, and 3.15 for an away win. But football isn’t played on spreadsheets, and both sides have shown they’re capable of springing a surprise or two. Not long ago, Almagro stunned Quilmes with a narrow 1-0 win as outsiders, while Maipú earned a gritty 2-2 draw against Ferro Carril Oeste, defying the odds and keeping punters on their toes.

  • Almagro squad value: €3.26m
  • Deportivo Maipú squad value: €2.58m
  • Odds: 2.47 (Home), 2.78 (Draw), 3.15 (Away)
  • Last head to head: Almagro 1-0 Deportivo Maipú (September 2022)

By the Numbers: Home Advantage and Low-Scoring Trends

Digging into the Primera Nacional’s stats, it’s clear why the Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu prediction leans toward a tight contest. Home teams win 41.4% of the time, and Almagro have historically made their ground a tough place to visit. Deportivo Maipú, for their part, have managed away wins in 22.6% of matches—a number that speaks to their resilience but also highlights the challenge ahead.

But the real story lies in the goals—or lack thereof. Only 30.7% of league games see more than 2.5 goals, and a whopping 57.2% finish under that mark. It’s little wonder that NerdyTips’ AI analysis pegs under 2.5 goals as the top betting tip, with an 8.0/10 confidence rating and odds of 1.36. If you’re expecting fireworks, you might want to lower your expectations (or at least bring a good book).

  1. Home win rate: 41.4%
  2. Away win rate: 22.6%
  3. Draws: 36.0%
  4. Under 2.5 goals: 57.2%

Storylines to Watch: Defense, Grit, and a Touch of History

The last time these two met, Almagro edged a 1-0 win—a scoreline that could easily repeat itself given both sides’ defensive discipline and the league’s low-scoring nature. NerdyTips’ AI predicts a 1-0 result (HT 0-0), and with a 3.7 trust level for the home win, there’s quiet confidence in Almagro’s ability to eke out another narrow victory. Still, Maipú’s knack for grinding out results on the road means this one could go down to the wire.

  • Top betting tip: Under 2.5 goals (8.0/10 confidence, 1.36 odds)
  • Predicted score: Almagro 1-0 Deportivo Maipú
  • 1x2 lean: Almagro (3.7 trust level, 2.47 odds)

Final Thoughts: Betting Tips and the Smart Play

For those seeking value in the Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu prediction, the stats and recent head to head history point to a low-scoring, hard-fought affair. The under 2.5 goals market looks a strong play, while a cautious nod goes to Almagro for the home win. As always in Primera Nacional, expect tension, tactical battles, and perhaps a moment of magic to decide it all. May your bets be wise—and your nerves steady!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Almagro vs Deportivo

U2.5 -278

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -278
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 147

Almagro is expected to win with odds of 147
3/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -278

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

No -189

At least one team is not expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -167

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Average / Match

1.6
Total Goals
1.9
0.9
Goals Scored
0.9
0.7
Goals Against
1

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
2
5
Over 1.5 Goals
6
1
Over 2.5 Goals
3
0
Over 3.5 Goals
1
5
Both Teams Scored
4
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Almagro
1 - 0 - 1
Deportivo Maipu
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo 02-Mar-25
3:1
Almagro Almagro
Almagro Almagro 18-Sep-22
1:0
Deportivo Deportivo Maipu

Argentina - Primera Nacional Argentina - Primera Nacional

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madr34
45-28
60
2 Atlanta Atlanta34
31-28
55
3 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez34
33-23
52
4 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tir34
34-23
51
5 San Miguel San Miguel34
32-28
50
6 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tuc34
32-29
49
7 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maip34
34-30
48
8 Patronato Patronato34
31-28
48
9 Colegiales Colegiales34
26-26
47
10 All Boys All Boys34
26-25
41
11 Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba34
38-45
41
12 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril O34
24-33
41
13 Los Andes Los Andes34
28-31
40
14 Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético34
28-32
40
15 Quilmes Quilmes34
30-32
38
16 Almagro Almagro34
24-31
35
17 Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarand34
38-47
34
18 Alvarado Alvarado34
18-33
33
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