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Almeria vs Oviedo Prediction

Almeria

€57.50m

7 Jun at 20:00
1 : 2

Oviedo

€31.40m

Preview
Almeria vs Oviedo match predictions Segunda División

Almeria vs Oviedo Prediction: Can the Hosts Edge a Tight Segunda División Contest?



If you’re searching for a smart, data-driven Almeria vs Oviedo prediction ahead of their Segunda División meeting at UD Almería Stadium on June 7, 2025 (20:00 GMT), you’re in the right place. This isn’t just another football betting preview—it’s an in-depth look at the numbers, the odds, and the subtle storylines that could shape your sports betting decisions. Let’s break down what the stats, the betting odds, and the AI models are telling us about this intriguing fixture.


Historical Trends and Recent Results: A Tale of Two Resilient Sides



Almeria and Oviedo have a knack for keeping punters on their toes. Their last head to head on February 1, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw—a result that reflected the tightness of their encounters and the unpredictability of Segunda División football. Back then, Almeria were slight favorites (odds 1.85), while Oviedo’s long odds (4.33) hinted at their underdog status, yet they held their own.



Recent results add more intrigue. Almeria’s gritty 2:2 away draw with Mallorca (odds 8.6, 2024-05-19) showed their ability to punch above their weight, while Oviedo’s surprise 1:0 win at Las Palmas (odds 5.4, 2023-04-09) proved they’re not afraid of upsetting the odds on the road. Both teams have demonstrated resilience and a taste for drama—qualities that make this match a fascinating prospect for sports betting fans.


Betting Odds and AI Predictions: Where the Value Lies



Let’s turn to the numbers that matter for your Almeria vs Oviedo prediction. Bookmakers currently price Almeria to win at 1.95, a draw at 3.25, and Oviedo to win at 3.95. The odds reflect Almeria’s home advantage and higher squad value (€57.50m vs €31.40m), but also respect Oviedo’s ability to frustrate bigger teams.



  • Almeria to win: 1.95 (AI trust: 2.3/10)

  • Draw: 3.25

  • Oviedo to win: 3.95



The AI’s best tip for this match is under 2.5 goals (max two goals in the match) at odds of 1.62, with a trust level of 4.9/10. This cautious outlook is rooted in the expected tightness of the contest and a projected final score of 1:0. In other words, while Almeria are favored, the margin is likely to be slim.


Why Under 2.5 Goals Makes Sense



The AI’s under/over prediction (under 2.5 goals, confidence 4.9, odds 1.62) is supported by both teams’ recent patterns and broader Segunda División stats:



  • Only 39.3% of Segunda División matches go over 2.5 goals.

  • Both teams score in 47.4% of games—suggesting that clean sheets and narrow wins are common.

  • 65.7% of matches exceed 1.5 goals, but true goal-fests are rare (just 19.9% over 3.5 goals).



Given these trends, and the fact that both sides have shown defensive discipline in recent big games, the under 2.5 goals market looks appealing—even if the AI’s confidence isn’t sky-high. Sometimes, a low-scoring grind is the safest bet in the unpredictable world of Segunda División football.


Predicted Match Stats: Possession, Shots, and Discipline



Digging deeper into the AI’s projections, we get a clearer picture of how the match might unfold:



  • Almeria expected to dominate possession (57% vs 43%).

  • Home side forecasted to take 15 shots (5 on target); Oviedo with 7 shots (2 on target).

  • Predicted corners: 5 for Almeria, 2 for Oviedo (total 7).

  • Yellow cards: 1 for Almeria, 2 for Oviedo—suggesting a competitive but not overly aggressive affair.



Almeria’s higher squad value hints at superior technical quality and depth, which should translate into more ball control and attacking opportunities. Oviedo, meanwhile, will likely rely on organization and counter-attacks, hoping to capitalize on any lapses from the favorites.


Almeria vs Oviedo Prediction: Final Thoughts and Betting Tips



To sum up, this Almeria vs Oviedo prediction leans towards a narrow home win, but with little room for error. The odds (1.95 for Almeria) offer fair value, though the AI’s trust level is modest (2.3/10), reflecting the Segunda División’s reputation for upsets. The under 2.5 goals market (odds 1.62, trust 4.9/10) is the AI’s best tip, grounded in both historical trends and the expected tactical approach of both teams.



  1. Best Bet: Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.62)

  2. Result Prediction: Almeria 1-0 Oviedo

  3. Value Bet: Almeria to win (odds 1.95)



With home teams winning 44.2% of Segunda División matches and Almeria’s squad depth and possession game, the edge is with the hosts. But don’t discount Oviedo’s resilience—they’ve upset the odds before, and another stubborn defensive display could frustrate the favorites.



For punters seeking an informed, nuanced take on this fixture, the stats and betting odds suggest a tight, tactical battle with few goals and a slight advantage for Almeria. As always in sports betting, a little caution goes a long way—especially in a league as unpredictable as Spain’s second tier.

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Best Tip The best betting football prediction for Almeria vs Oviedo

U2.5 -161

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -161
4/10
1x2 Tip

1-105

Almeria is expected to win with odds of -105
2/10
Total Goals

Under 2.5 -161

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10
Both Teams To Score

No -133

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10
Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -270

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score
Half-Time Score

0:0

Full-Time Score

1:0

Stats Predictions The expected stats for the current match
57%
Ball Possession
43%
15
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Goal
2
6
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
2
Average / Match info
2.8
Total Goals
1.9
1.7
Goals Scored
1.4
1.1
Goals Against
0.5
51%
Possession
50%
15.4
Total Shots
10
5.2
Shots on Goal
3.3
6.1
Shots off Goal
4.3
13.5
Fouls
12.8
5.5
Corners
3.7
1.1
Offsides
2.4
1.9
Yellow Cards
1.8
0.2
Red Cards
0
381
Total Passes
395
Overview Last 10 Matches info
6
Wins
7
8
Over 1.5 Goals
6
6
Over 2.5 Goals
4
3
Over 3.5 Goals
0
5
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Almeria
5 - 4 - 5
Oviedo

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Almeria Almeria 01-May-21
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Almeria Almeria 16-Jan-20
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Almeria Almeria 27-Apr-19
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Profile time Recent Matches of Almeria

11 JunD Oviedo Oviedo.
1:1
Almeria. Almeria
07 JunL Almeria Almeria.
1:2
Oviedo. Oviedo
01 JunW Almeria Almeria.
2:0
Tenerife. Tenerife
25 MayD Mirandes Mirandes.
0:0
Almeria. Almeria
18 MayW Almeria Almeria.
2:0
Racing S. Racing S
09 MayL Cadiz Cadiz.
2:1
Almeria. Almeria
04 MayW Almeria Almeria.
5:0
Eldense. Eldense
18 AprL Castellon Castellon.
4:1
Almeria. Almeria
13 AprW Almeria Almeria.
2:1
FC Cartagena. FC Cartagena
05 AprL Granada CF Granada CF.
3:1
Almeria. Almeria

Profile time Recent Matches of Oviedo

11 JunDOviedo Oviedo.
1:1
Almeria.Almeria
07 JunWAlmeria Almeria.
1:2
Oviedo.Oviedo
01 JunWOviedo Oviedo.
2:1
Cadiz.Cadiz
25 MayWTenerife Tenerife.
0:1
Oviedo.Oviedo
18 MayWOviedo Oviedo.
1:0
Zaragoza.Zaragoza
11 MayDRacing S Racing S.
1:1
Oviedo.Oviedo
03 MayWHuesca Huesca.
1:2
Oviedo.Oviedo
26 AprWOviedo Oviedo.
1:0
Levante.Levante
20 AprDCordoba Cordoba.
0:0
Oviedo.Oviedo
12 AprWOviedo Oviedo.
3:0
Racing F.Racing F

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Levante Levante42
69-42
79
2 Elche Elche42
59-34
77
3 Oviedo Oviedo42
56-42
75
4 Mirandes Mirandes42
59-40
75
5 Racing Santander Racing Santand42
65-51
71
6 Almeria Almeria42
72-55
69
7 Granada CF Granada CF42
65-54
65
8 Huesca Huesca42
58-49
64
9 Eibar Eibar42
44-41
58
10 Albacete Albacete42
57-57
58
11 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon42
57-54
56
12 Burgos Burgos42
41-48
55
13 Cadiz Cadiz42
55-53
55
14 Cordoba Cordoba42
59-63
55
15 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La C42
56-54
53
16 Malaga Malaga42
42-46
53
17 Castellón Castellón42
65-63
53
18 Zaragoza Zaragoza42
56-63
51
19 Eldense Eldense42
44-63
45
20 Tenerife Tenerife42
35-55
36
21 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol42
22-64
30
22 FC Cartagena FC Cartagena42
33-78
23
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