Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Spain
Almeria
€57.50m
Oviedo
€31.40m
Preview
If you’re searching for a smart, data-driven Almeria vs Oviedo prediction ahead of their Segunda División meeting at UD Almería Stadium on June 7, 2025 (20:00 GMT), you’re in the right place. This isn’t just another football betting preview—it’s an in-depth look at the numbers, the odds, and the subtle storylines that could shape your sports betting decisions. Let’s break down what the stats, the betting odds, and the AI models are telling us about this intriguing fixture.
Almeria and Oviedo have a knack for keeping punters on their toes. Their last head to head on February 1, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw—a result that reflected the tightness of their encounters and the unpredictability of Segunda División football. Back then, Almeria were slight favorites (odds 1.85), while Oviedo’s long odds (4.33) hinted at their underdog status, yet they held their own.
Recent results add more intrigue. Almeria’s gritty 2:2 away draw with Mallorca (odds 8.6, 2024-05-19) showed their ability to punch above their weight, while Oviedo’s surprise 1:0 win at Las Palmas (odds 5.4, 2023-04-09) proved they’re not afraid of upsetting the odds on the road. Both teams have demonstrated resilience and a taste for drama—qualities that make this match a fascinating prospect for sports betting fans.
Let’s turn to the numbers that matter for your Almeria vs Oviedo prediction. Bookmakers currently price Almeria to win at 1.95, a draw at 3.25, and Oviedo to win at 3.95. The odds reflect Almeria’s home advantage and higher squad value (€57.50m vs €31.40m), but also respect Oviedo’s ability to frustrate bigger teams.
The AI’s best tip for this match is under 2.5 goals (max two goals in the match) at odds of 1.62, with a trust level of 4.9/10. This cautious outlook is rooted in the expected tightness of the contest and a projected final score of 1:0. In other words, while Almeria are favored, the margin is likely to be slim.
The AI’s under/over prediction (under 2.5 goals, confidence 4.9, odds 1.62) is supported by both teams’ recent patterns and broader Segunda División stats:
Given these trends, and the fact that both sides have shown defensive discipline in recent big games, the under 2.5 goals market looks appealing—even if the AI’s confidence isn’t sky-high. Sometimes, a low-scoring grind is the safest bet in the unpredictable world of Segunda División football.
Digging deeper into the AI’s projections, we get a clearer picture of how the match might unfold:
Almeria’s higher squad value hints at superior technical quality and depth, which should translate into more ball control and attacking opportunities. Oviedo, meanwhile, will likely rely on organization and counter-attacks, hoping to capitalize on any lapses from the favorites.
To sum up, this Almeria vs Oviedo prediction leans towards a narrow home win, but with little room for error. The odds (1.95 for Almeria) offer fair value, though the AI’s trust level is modest (2.3/10), reflecting the Segunda División’s reputation for upsets. The under 2.5 goals market (odds 1.62, trust 4.9/10) is the AI’s best tip, grounded in both historical trends and the expected tactical approach of both teams.
With home teams winning 44.2% of Segunda División matches and Almeria’s squad depth and possession game, the edge is with the hosts. But don’t discount Oviedo’s resilience—they’ve upset the odds before, and another stubborn defensive display could frustrate the favorites.
For punters seeking an informed, nuanced take on this fixture, the stats and betting odds suggest a tight, tactical battle with few goals and a slight advantage for Almeria. As always in sports betting, a little caution goes a long way—especially in a league as unpredictable as Spain’s second tier.
Read More
U2.5 -161
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1611-105
Almeria is expected to win with odds of -105Under 2.5 -161
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -133
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -270
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:0
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5
-
4
-
5
|
|
 Almeria |
01-Feb-25
1:1
| Oviedo  |
| Oviedo |
13-Oct-24
3:2
| Almeria |
| Oviedo |
29-Jan-22
2:0
| Almeria |
| Almeria |
20-Aug-21
2:1
| Oviedo |
| Almeria |
01-May-21
2:2
| Oviedo |
| Oviedo |
30-Nov-20
1:2
| Almeria |
| Almeria |
16-Jan-20
2:0
| Oviedo |
| Oviedo |
01-Nov-19
0:0
| Almeria |
| Almeria |
27-Apr-19
0:1
| Oviedo |
Recent Matches of Almeria| 09 Nov |
Ceuta.
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| Almeria.
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Recent Matches of Oviedo
| 09 Nov |  Ath Bilbao. |
- |
R. Oviedo. | |
| 03 Nov | D | R. Oviedo. |
0:0 |
Osasuna. |
İspanya - Segunda División| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Levante | 42 | 69-42 | 79 |
| 2 |
Elche | 42 | 59-34 | 77 |
| 3 |
Mirandes | 42 | 59-40 | 75 |
| 4 |
Oviedo | 42 | 56-42 | 75 |
| 5 |
Racing Santand | 42 | 65-51 | 71 |
| 6 |
Almeria | 42 | 72-55 | 69 |
| 7 |
Granada CF | 42 | 65-54 | 65 |
| 8 |
Huesca | 42 | 58-49 | 64 |
| 9 |
Eibar | 42 | 44-41 | 58 |
| 10 |
Albacete | 42 | 57-57 | 58 |
| 11 |
Sporting Gijon | 42 | 57-54 | 56 |
| 12 |
Burgos | 42 | 41-48 | 55 |
| 13 |
Cadiz | 42 | 55-53 | 55 |
| 14 |
Cordoba | 42 | 59-63 | 55 |
| 15 |
Castellón | 42 | 65-63 | 53 |
| 16 |
Deportivo La C | 42 | 56-54 | 53 |
| 17 |
Malaga | 42 | 42-46 | 53 |
| 18 |
Zaragoza | 42 | 56-63 | 51 |
| 19 |
Eldense | 42 | 44-63 | 45 |
| 20 |
Tenerife | 42 | 35-55 | 36 |
| 21 |
Racing Ferrol | 42 | 22-64 | 30 |
| 22 |
FC Cartagena | 42 | 33-78 | 23 |
