Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Portugal
Alverca
€6.78m
Portimonense
€11.27m
Preview
If you're looking for an engaging and insightful Alverca vs Portimonense prediction, you've come to the right place. With the match set for 2025-05-16 at 20:30 GMT at the Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, there's plenty to dissect—especially when the betting odds, recent form, and league trends all seem to be hinting at a particular outcome. But football, as we know, loves a twist. Let’s dive into the numbers and see what they really tell us about this Segunda Liga encounter.
Bookmakers have made their stance crystal clear: Alverca are the clear favorites, with odds of 1.31 for a home win. A draw sits at 5.0, while a Portimonense victory is priced at a distant 8.75. These odds aren’t just numbers—they’re a reflection of both teams’ recent performances, squad strengths, and perhaps a nod to the home advantage that can sway even the most balanced fixtures. The 1x2 market prediction also leans heavily towards a home win, with a confidence level of 4.4 and matching odds of 1.31. If you’re a betting enthusiast, it’s hard to ignore where the smart money is going.
To put those odds into context, let’s look at the Segunda Liga’s own quirks. Home teams win 40.2% of matches—an edge that certainly favors Alverca. Draws come in at 31.0%, while away wins are less common at 28.8%. The league isn’t exactly a goal-fest either: over 1.55 goals land in 68.75% of games, but over 2.5 goals drop to 43.5%, and matches with more than 3.5 goals are rare at just 22.2%. Both teams find the net in just under half of all games (49.9%). So, if you’re expecting a five-goal thriller, you might want to temper those expectations.
NerdyTips’ best advice for this match is under 3.5 goals, with a trust level of 5.0 out of 10 and odds of 1.55. The AI prediction echoes this sentiment, also backing under 3.5 goals with identical confidence and odds. This aligns perfectly with the predicted final score of 2:0 in favor of Alverca, with a 1:0 lead expected at halftime. The numbers suggest a controlled, perhaps even cautious, approach from both sides—one where defenses may just outshine the forwards.
Both Alverca and Portimonense have shown that they’re not afraid to upset the apple cart. Alverca’s memorable 1:2 away win over Maritimo (at chunky odds of 5.25) on 2024-09-15 proved they can deliver when expectations are low. Portimonense, for their part, stunned Guimaraes 1:2 (odds 5.8) back on 2023-09-17. These results serve as a reminder: while the odds and predictions favor Alverca, neither side is a stranger to springing a surprise.
On paper, Portimonense boast the deeper pockets, with a squad value of €11.27m compared to Alverca’s €6.78m. In theory, this should give the visitors an edge in quality and depth. But as we’ve seen, football isn’t always dictated by bank balances—especially in the Segunda Liga, where grit and organization can often trump raw talent.
So, what’s the ultimate Alverca vs Portimonense prediction? The stats, odds, and AI-backed tips all point towards a home win, likely by a modest margin. The predicted 2:0 scoreline fits the broader league narrative—tight games, few goals, and a home side that knows how to capitalize on their advantage. While Portimonense’s higher squad value and history of upsets mean they can’t be written off entirely, the numbers suggest their chances are slim—at least according to the bookmakers and the data.
With no referee assigned yet, there’s still a hint of unpredictability in the air. But if you’re placing your faith in the numbers, under 3.5 goals and a home win look like the safest bets for this intriguing encounter. Whether you’re tuning in for the drama, the tactics, or just to see if the odds can be defied once again, this Segunda Liga fixture promises to deliver plenty of talking points—even if the scoreboard doesn’t get too much of a workout.
Read More
Portimonense no motivation!
U3.5 -182
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1821 -323
Alverca is expected to win with odds of -323Under 3.5 -182
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -111
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -323
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2:0
|
|
1
-
0
-
1
|
|
 Alverca |
16-May-25
2:1
| Portimonense  |
Recent Matches of Alverca| 07 Dec | D |
Alverca.
|
0:0
| Nacional.
|
Recent Matches of Portimonense
| 07 Dec | L |  Lusitania FC. |
3:2 |
Portimonense. |
Portugal - Segunda Liga| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tondela | 34 | 58-35 | 64 |
| 2 |
Alverca | 34 | 58-34 | 63 |
| 3 |
Vizela | 34 | 50-30 | 62 |
| 4 |
Benfica B | 34 | 53-38 | 55 |
| 5 |
Torreense | 34 | 49-42 | 54 |
| 6 |
União de Leir | 34 | 49-37 | 52 |
| 7 |
Chaves | 34 | 40-34 | 51 |
| 8 |
Feirense | 34 | 35-34 | 49 |
| 9 |
Felgueiras 193 | 34 | 43-38 | 46 |
| 10 |
Academico Vise | 34 | 43-41 | 45 |
| 11 |
Penafiel | 34 | 45-47 | 45 |
| 12 |
Maritimo | 34 | 42-48 | 43 |
| 13 |
Leixoes | 34 | 37-42 | 41 |
| 14 |
FC Porto B | 34 | 36-47 | 35 |
| 15 |
Portimonense | 34 | 38-54 | 34 |
| 16 |
Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 34-50 | 33 |
| 17 |
Oliveirense | 34 | 30-64 | 29 |
| 18 |
Mafra | 34 | 29-54 | 27 |
