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Match Prediction

Arema vs Persik Kediri Prediction

Finished
Indonesia flag Indonesia
Liga 1

Arema

€2.30m

11 May04:30
0 : 3

Persik Kediri

€3.76m

Preview

Arema vs Persik Kediri Prediction Liga 1

Arema vs Persik Kediri Prediction: A Battle of Momentum and Home Advantage

When Arema and Persik Kediri meet on May 11, 2025, at Stadion Gelora Supriyadi, it won’t just be another Liga 1 fixture—it’ll be a test of resilience, tactics, and the unpredictable magic of Indonesian football. Our Arema vs Persik Kediri prediction dives into the stats, recent form, and betting trends to uncover where the smart money lies. With odds favoring a home win or draw (1X at 1.25) and a likely 2-1 scoreline, this preview breaks down why the hosts might edge it—but don’t count out Persik’s knack for upsets.

Recent Form and Head-to-Head: A Tale of Contrasts

The last time these two sides met, in November 2023, Persik Kediri walked away with a narrow 1-0 victory despite Arema being slight underdogs (odds: 2.61 vs 2.35). Fast-forward to 2025, and the dynamics have shifted. Here’s what’s happened since:

  • Arema’s resilience: Held Persib Bandung to a 1-1 away draw in August 2024 (odds: 5.5), proving they can grind out results against tough opponents.
  • Persik’s explosiveness: Demolished Pusamania Borneo 4-0 away in December 2024 (odds: 6.5), a result that screamed their potential on the road.

Interestingly, while Persik Kediri boasts a higher squad value (€3.76m vs €2.30m), Arema has home advantage—a critical factor in Liga 1, where hosts win 40.4% of matches compared to just 22.9% for away sides.

Betting Tips and Market Insights

The numbers paint a compelling picture for bettors. Here’s what the algorithms and odds suggest:

1X2 Market: Home Comfort or Away Surprise?

  • Home win (1): Odds at 1.95, with a confidence rating of 6.3/10. Arema’s home record and league trends support this.
  • Draw (X): Priced at 3.4. Given that 36.7% of Liga 1 games end level, it’s not off the table.
  • Away win (2): Riskier at 3.45, but Persik’s recent away thrashing of Borneo shows they’re capable.

The AI’s best betting tip1X (Arema win or draw) at 1.25 with 7.4/10 confidence—feels like the safest play. Statistically, home teams in Liga 1 avoid defeat 77.1% of the time (40.4% wins + 36.7% draws).

Over/Under: Goals on the Menu?

With over 2.5 goals favored (odds: 1.75, trust level: 3.9/10), this could be an open game. Consider:

  1. 44% of Liga 1 matches see over 2.5 goals.
  2. Arema’s predicted 2-1 win aligns with this trend.
  3. Persik’s last outing produced four goals—will they replicate that firepower?

Key Stats That Could Decide the Game

Beyond the head-to-head and betting markets, these league-wide metrics matter:

  • Both teams to score: Happens in 47.5% of games. Slightly below average, but Persik’s attack could test that.
  • Half-time lead: Arema’s expected 1-0 HT advantage mirrors their ability to start strong.
  • Squad value vs performance: Persik’s pricier roster hasn’t always translated to consistency.

Final Thoughts: Arema vs Persik Kediri Prediction

This isn’t just a match—it’s a chessboard where Arema’s home grit meets Persik Kediri’s explosive moments. The prediction leans toward a 2-1 home win, backed by the 1X safety net and the over 2.5 goals market. But football, especially in Indonesia, loves a plot twist. Will Persik’s higher squad value shine, or will Arema’s Stadion Gelora Supriyadi roar them to victory? One thing’s certain: it’ll be a spectacle.

Smart bet: 1X (Arema win or draw) @ 1.25
Dark horse: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.75
Scoreline guess: 2-1 to Arema

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Arema vs Persik Kediri

1X -400

Arema to win or draw with odds of -400
7/10

1x2 Tip

1 -105

Arema is expected to win with odds of -105
6/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -133

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -154

Both teams are expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -200

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Average / Match

3.6
Total Goals
2.5
2.1
Goals Scored
0.9
1.5
Goals Against
1.6

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
0
8
Over 1.5 Goals
6
6
Over 2.5 Goals
5
5
Over 3.5 Goals
3
8
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Arema
3 - 0 - 6
Persik Kediri
Arema Arema FC 11-May-25
0:3
Persik K Persik Kediri
Persik Kediri Persik K 16-Dec-24
1:0
Arema FC Arema
Arema Arema FC 27-Nov-23
0:1
Persik K Persik Kediri
Persik Kediri Persik K 15-Jul-23
5:2
Arema FC Arema
Arema Arema FC 28-Feb-23
2:3
Persik K Persik Kediri
Persik Kediri Persik K 17-Sep-22
0:1
Arema FC Arema
Persik Kediri Persik K 15-Jun-22
0:1
Arema FC Arema
Arema Arema FC 27-Feb-22
0:1
Persik K Persik Kediri
Persik Kediri Persik K 19-Nov-21
2:3
Arema FC Arema

Indonesia - Liga 1 Indonesia - Liga 1

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Persib Bandung Persib Bandung34
60-33
69
2 Dewa United Dewa United34
65-33
61
3 Malut United Malut United34
48-33
57
4 Pusamania Borneo Pusamania Born34
50-38
56
5 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Sura34
41-38
56
6 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar34
47-34
53
7 Persija Persija34
47-38
51
8 Bali United Bali United34
50-41
50
9 PSBS Biak Numfor PSBS Biak Numf34
44-47
48
10 Arema FC Arema FC34
53-51
47
11 Persita Persita34
32-43
43
12 Persik Kediri Persik Kediri34
40-42
41
13 Semen Padang Semen Padang34
38-60
36
14 Persis Solo Persis Solo34
34-46
36
15 Persepam Madura Utd Persepam Madur34
36-58
36
16 PSS Sleman PSS Sleman34
43-50
34
17 Barito Putera Barito Putera34
42-57
34
18 PSIS Semarang PSIS Semarang34
29-57
25
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