€1.15bn
€928.50m
Arsenal and Chelsea are set to battle it out at the Emirates Stadium on March 16, 2025, at 13:30 UTC. With both teams eager for points, this London derby promises plenty of action. But where’s the smart money going? Let’s break it down.
Arsenal and Chelsea are set to battle it out at the Emirates Stadium on March 16, 2025, at 13:30 UTC. With both teams eager for points, this London derby promises plenty of action. But where’s the smart money going? Let’s break it down.
Betting Odds & Best Tip
The odds favor Arsenal, with a home win priced at 1.8, a draw at 3.75, and a Chelsea victory at 4.33. NerdyTips’ AI-generated best bet is a home win (1), with a trust level of 6.6/10. The 1x2 market prediction also leans towards Arsenal, with a confidence of 6.7.
Match Predictions & Expected Score
Our AI expects a 2-0 win for Arsenal, with a 1-0 lead at halftime. The under/over prediction suggests under 3.5 goals (confidence level: 3.3), meaning we’re likely to see a controlled game rather than a goal-fest.
Key Stats & Insights
- Arsenal is expected to dominate possession with 60%, while Chelsea will have around 40%.
- The Gunners should register 13 shots (4 on target), while Chelsea is predicted to have 7 shots (2 on target).
- Corners? Expect 7 for Arsenal and 2 for Chelsea, totaling 9.
- Discipline-wise, Arsenal is likely to pick up 1 yellow card, while Chelsea could see 2.
Recent Form & Head-to-Head
Arsenal humiliated Chelsea 5-0 in their last head-to-head clash on April 23, 2024. That’s a tough memory for the Blues, but they’ve shown they can pull off surprises—like their unexpected 1-1 "win" (on penalties) against Manchester City on February 17, 2024, despite being priced at 8.0 odds.
Final Thoughts
With Arsenal’s superior squad value (€1.15bn vs. Chelsea’s €928.50m), home advantage, and recent dominance in this fixture, backing the Gunners at 1.8 seems like the smart play. If you’re looking for a safer bet, consider under 3.5 goals at 1.35.
Will Chelsea shock us again, or will Arsenal cruise to victory? Place your bets wisely!
Arsenal didn't play better in the last H2H match!
1 -118
Arsenal is expected to win with odds of -1181 -118
Arsenal is expected to win with odds of -118Under 3.5 -333
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -110
At least one team is not expected to score
1:0
2:0
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16
-
11
-
14
|
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16-Mar-25
1:0
|
Chelsea ![]() |
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10-Nov-24
1:1
|
Arsenal ![]() |
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23-Apr-24
5:0
|
Chelsea ![]() |
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21-Oct-23
2:2
|
Arsenal ![]() |
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02-May-23
3:1
|
Chelsea ![]() |
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06-Nov-22
0:1
|
Arsenal ![]() |
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24-Jul-22
4:0
|
Chelsea ![]() |
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20-Apr-22
2:4
|
Arsenal ![]() |
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22-Aug-21
0:2
|
Chelsea ![]() |
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01-Aug-21
1:2
|
Chelsea ![]() |
12 Mar | D |
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2:2
| PSV.
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12 Mar |
![]()
1 1.36
X 5
2 8
|
||||
09 Mar | D |
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1:1
| Arsenal.
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09 Mar |
![]()
1 5.1
X 3.5
2 1.75
|
||||
04 Mar | W |
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1:7
| Arsenal.
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04 Mar |
![]()
1 3.75
X 3.5
2 1.98
|
||||
26 Feb | D |
![]() |
0:0
| Arsenal.
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26 Feb |
![]()
1 4
X 3.5
2 1.95
|
||||
22 Feb | L |
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0:1
| West Ham.
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22 Feb |
![]()
1 1.3
X 5.5
2 10.75
|
||||
15 Feb | W |
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0:2
| Arsenal.
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15 Feb |
![]()
1 11
X 6
2 1.26
|
||||
05 Feb | L |
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2:0
| Arsenal.
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05 Feb |
![]()
1 4.2
X 3.88
2 1.83
|
||||
02 Feb | W |
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5:1
| Man. City.
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02 Feb |
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1 2.05
X 3.5
2 3.5
|
||||
29 Jan | W |
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1:2
| Arsenal.
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29 Jan |
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1 5.8
X 4.2
2 1.57
|
||||
25 Jan | W |
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0:1
| Arsenal.
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25 Jan |
![]()
1 6.5
X 4.33
2 1.5
|
13 Mar | W | ![]() |
1:0
|
Copenhage.![]() |
|
13 Mar |
![]()
1 1.35
X 4.85
2 8.5
|
||||
09 Mar | W | ![]() |
1:0
|
Leicester.![]() |
|
09 Mar |
![]()
1 1.24
X 6.65
2 11
|
||||
06 Mar | W | ![]() |
1:2
|
Chelsea.![]() |
|
06 Mar |
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1 4.45
X 3.8
2 1.72
|
||||
25 Feb | W | ![]() |
4:0
|
Southampt.![]() |
|
25 Feb |
![]()
1 1.16
X 8.4
2 15
|
||||
22 Feb | L | ![]() |
2:1
|
Chelsea.![]() |
|
22 Feb |
![]()
1 2.62
X 3.6
2 2.6
|
||||
14 Feb | L | ![]() |
3:0
|
Chelsea.![]() |
|
14 Feb |
![]()
1 3
X 3.75
2 2.2
|
||||
08 Feb | L | ![]() |
2:1
|
Chelsea.![]() |
|
08 Feb |
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1 2.78
X 3.7
2 2.4
|
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03 Feb | W | ![]() |
2:1
|
West Ham.![]() |
|
03 Feb |
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1 1.32
X 5.75
2 8.5
|
||||
25 Jan | L | ![]() |
3:1
|
Chelsea.![]() |
|
25 Jan |
![]()
1 2.2
X 3.9
2 2.95
|
||||
20 Jan | W | ![]() |
3:1
|
Wolves.![]() |
|
20 Jan |
![]()
1 1.33
X 5.8
2 8
|
Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
![]() |
29 |
69-27 |
70 |
2 |
![]() |
29 |
53-24 |
58 |
3 |
![]() |
29 |
49-35 |
54 |
4 |
![]() |
29 |
53-37 |
49 |
5 |
![]() |
29 |
55-40 |
48 |
6 |
![]() |
28 |
47-38 |
47 |
7 |
![]() |
29 |
48-42 |
47 |
8 |
![]() |
29 |
43-38 |
45 |
9 |
![]() |
29 |
41-45 |
45 |
10 |
![]() |
29 |
48-36 |
44 |
11 |
![]() |
29 |
50-45 |
41 |
12 |
![]() |
28 |
36-33 |
39 |
13 |
![]() |
29 |
37-40 |
37 |
14 |
![]() |
29 |
55-43 |
34 |
15 |
![]() |
29 |
32-36 |
34 |
16 |
![]() |
29 |
33-49 |
34 |
17 |
![]() |
29 |
40-58 |
26 |
18 |
![]() |
29 |
28-62 |
17 |
19 |
![]() |
29 |
25-65 |
17 |
20 |
![]() |
29 |
21-70 |
9 |