Match Prediction
Match Prediction
USA
Atlanta United
€63.58m
Charlotte
€38.92m
Preview
Get ready for our detailed Atlanta United vs Charlotte prediction for this Major League Soccer fixture. The match is set for July 19, 2.255, at the impressive Mercedes-Benz Stadium, and it promises to be an interesting affair. While Atlanta United are the bookmakers' favorites, their recent form tells a story that suggests this might not be as straightforward as the odds imply. We're diving deep into the stats, team news, and tactical setups to give you the best betting tips for this game.
Atlanta United comes into this match in what can only be described as a very poor run of form. Sitting 25th in the league table, they haven't secured a win in their last five outings. Their defense has been particularly generous, conceding 37 goals this season, a number that has fans covering their eyes. Despite a recent 1-1 draw against Toronto, which Coach Ronny Deila called one of their 'best road showings,' the team is desperate to translate that sliver of confidence into a much-needed home victory. Charlotte FC, on the other hand, sits a more respectable 9th. Under coach Dean Smith, they've shown they can find the back of the net, scoring multiple goals in six of their last eight matches, but have also displayed a worrying tendency to be defensively frail on their travels.
Both managers have their share of headaches when it comes to squad selection. Atlanta's injury list is significant, with defenders like Stian Gregersen and Derrick Williams working their way back to fitness. This has clearly impacted their defensive stability. The good news for them is the return of midfielder Bartosz Slisz from suspension, which should add some steel to the middle of the park. Upfront, they'll rely on the creativity of players like Miguel Almirón and the finishing of Emmanuel Latte Lath.
Charlotte isn't without its own troubles. Key players like Nathan Byrne and Souleyman Doumbia are sidelined, which could affect the team's structure. However, the flair of Wilfried Zaha and the experience of Eryk Williamson give them a potent attack. In their last head to head meeting earlier this season, Charlotte ran out 2-0 winners, with Zaha playing a starring role. Interestingly, none of the last seven encounters between these two sides have ended in a draw, suggesting we're likely to see a decisive result one way or the other.
Now, let's get to the numbers our AI has crunched. While Atlanta's form is concerning, the bookies have them as favorites with odds of 2.25 for a home win. Charlotte is priced at 2.85, and a draw sits at 3.75. Despite Atlanta's struggles, playing at home in front of their own fans, combined with a higher overall squad value (€63.58m to Charlotte's €38.92m), gives them a slight edge. However, our confidence in a straight home win is low, reflected in a trust level of just 3.75/10.
The most compelling bet, according to our analysis, lies in the goals market. We're backing Over 2.5 goals in this match. This tip comes with a solid trust level of 7.3/10 and odds of 1.5. The reasoning is simple: Atlanta's defense is leaky, and Charlotte has been scoring freely. The last time they met, the score was 3-2 to Charlotte, and our AI predicts a similar goal-fest this time around, with an expected final score of 3-2 to Atlanta.
Our model anticipates a lively game from the start, with a predicted half-time score of 1:1. Atlanta is expected to dominate possession with 59% of the ball, but both teams are projected to have an equal number of shots (10 each). Curiously, Charlotte is expected to be slightly more accurate, with 4 shots on target to Atlanta's 3. This suggests that while Atlanta may control the tempo, Charlotte could be more clinical with their chances, further supporting the case for goals from both sides. With an expected 7 corners and 4 yellow cards in total, it should be a competitive, end-to-end match. Our final Atlanta United vs Charlotte prediction leans towards a high-scoring home win, but the safest and smartest wager appears to be on the goals market.
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O2.5 -200
At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2001 125
Atlanta United is expected to win with odds of 125Over 2.5 -200
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -227
Both teams are expected to score1X&O1.5 -169
Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
3:2
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3
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0
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4
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|
 Charlotte |
01-Mar-25
2:0
| Atlanta U  |
| Charlotte |
01-Sep-24
0:1
| Atlanta U |
| Atlanta U |
02-Jun-24
2:3
| Charlotte |
| Atlanta U |
14-May-23
1:3
| Charlotte |
| Charlotte |
11-Mar-23
0:3
| Atlanta U |
| Charlotte |
10-Apr-22
1:0
| Atlanta U |
| Atlanta U |
13-Mar-22
2:1
| Charlotte |
USA - Major League Soccer| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Philadelphia U | 34 | 57-35 | 66 |
| 2 |
FC Cincinnati | 34 | 52-40 | 65 |
| 3 |
Inter Miami | 34 | 81-55 | 65 |
| 4 |
Charlotte | 34 | 55-46 | 59 |
| 5 |
New York City | 34 | 50-44 | 56 |
| 6 |
Nashville SC | 34 | 58-45 | 54 |
| 7 |
Columbus Crew | 34 | 55-51 | 54 |
| 8 |
Chicago Fire | 34 | 68-60 | 53 |
| 9 |
Orlando City S | 34 | 63-51 | 53 |
| 10 |
New York Red B | 34 | 48-47 | 43 |
| 11 |
New England Re | 34 | 44-51 | 36 |
| 12 |
Toronto FC | 34 | 37-44 | 32 |
| 13 |
CF Montreal | 34 | 34-60 | 28 |
| 14 |
Atlanta United | 34 | 38-63 | 28 |
| 15 |
DC United | 34 | 30-66 | 26 |
