Atletico Tucuman will host Gimnasia L.P. at the Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro on February 23, 2025, at 22:15 UTC. With home advantage and a solid recent performance, Tucuman enters as the slight favorite, priced at 1.95 for the win. A draw stands at 3.25, while an away victory for Gimnasia L.P. is valued at 4.0.

Our AI system’s best tip for this match is 1X (Home win or draw), backed by a strong 8.5/10 confidence and odds of 1.25. Given Tucuman’s home form and Gimnasia’s struggles on the road, this looks like a solid bet.

Looking at recent performances, Atletico Tucuman pulled off a surprising away win against Talleres Cordoba on February 17, despite being priced at 5.0. Meanwhile, Gimnasia L.P. has also shown resilience, securing an unexpected 0:1 away win over Racing Club in August 2024.

Statistically, home teams in Argentina’s Primera Division win 43.6% of matches, while away teams take just 25.9%, with 30.6% ending in a draw. This further supports the 1X bet. Additionally, only 38.3% of league matches see over 2.5 goals, and our AI predicts Under 2.5 goals here with 6.3/10 confidence and odds of 1.6. A tight, low-scoring affair is expected, with a final score prediction of 1:0.

Possession-wise, Tucuman should control around 57%, while Gimnasia will likely have 43%. The home side is projected to take 13 shots (4 on target), compared to Gimnasia’s 6 shots (1 on target). Expect 8 corners in total, with Tucuman earning 5 and Gimnasia 3. Discipline-wise, the visitors may struggle, with an expected 3 yellow cards, compared to just 1 for the hosts.

With a slight edge in market value (€17.58m vs. €16.65m), home advantage, and a strong defensive setup, Atletico Tucuman looks well-positioned to secure at least a point. Bettors should consider 1X as the safest bet, while Under 2.5 goals is another solid option.