Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Austria
Austria Vienna
€20.52m
Rapid Vienna
€48.00m
Preview
The Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna prediction has never been just about numbers. On May 11th, as the Generali Arena fills with purple and green, the stakes go beyond the Bundesliga table. Sure, Austria Vienna sit comfortably in 2nd with 33 points, a full 12 clear of fifth-placed Rapid Vienna after 29 matches, but in Vienna derbies, pride and momentum are the real currency. The table might suggest a gap, but history—and a healthy dose of local rivalry—reminds us: never trust the form book when these two meet.
Look at the squad values and you’d think this is a done deal. Rapid Vienna, with a robust €48.00m roster, almost double Austria Vienna’s €20.52m, seem set to flex their financial muscle. But if money always decided derbies, football would be a banker’s game, not a fan’s. Austria Vienna have consistently punched above their weight, especially at home, where passion often trumps price tags. This is a classic David vs. Goliath, and in these streets, the slingshot is still in play.
The betting odds for this one tell a story of slight favoritism for the hosts: a home win at 2.1, draw at 3.45, and away win at 3.3. Our AI’s 1X bet (1.33 odds, 7.5/10 trust score) leans into Austria Vienna’s home strength, while the 1x2 prediction (2.1 odds, 6.6 trust) gives them a narrow edge. But if you’ve been around Austrian football long enough, you know derbies love to throw curveballs. Consider this: home teams win just 39.1% of Bundesliga matches, yet in February, Austria Vienna edged a 2.1 head to head at similar odds (2.77 vs. 2.55). That’s the kind of unpredictability that keeps sports betting fans glued to their screens.
When it comes to goal markets, NerdyTips’ AI quietly leans toward under 3.45 goals (1.33 odds, 6.5 trust score). The predicted 1-0 scoreline and halftime lead for Austria Vienna fit the recent trend: while 55.7% of Bundesliga games see more than 2.5 goals, Rapid Vienna’s tighter form—like their 1-1 draw at Salzburg at a whopping 5.25 odds—suggests a more cautious approach. Expect fireworks in the stands, not necessarily on the scoreboard.
Tactically, Austria Vienna are set to dominate possession with 56%, firing off 13 shots (4 on target) compared to Rapid’s 10 (2 on target). This controlled aggression at home has been their secret sauce all season. But don’t expect a one-way street; the projected 6-6 corner split hints at balanced pressure, and with both sides likely to pick up two yellow cards each, the duel should be feisty but fair. Because nothing says ‘Austrian football’ like a referee named ‘None’—whoever ends up with the whistle, expect a busy afternoon.
If you’re looking for reasons to doubt the predictions, just rewind to Austria Vienna’s wild 3-3 draw at Salzburg (8.0 odds) or Rapid’s gritty 1-1 there (5.25 odds). Both sides have shown they can bend form when it matters most. In derbies, nerves fray, scripts are torn up, and history is written by the brave—or sometimes just the lucky.
So, will Austria Vienna’s home advantage and underdog spirit carry them to another derby triumph, or can Rapid Vienna’s deeper pockets finally pay off when it matters most? For those looking to make their Austria Vienna vs Rapid Vienna prediction, the numbers point to a narrow home win—just don’t be shocked if the Vienna air crackles with another twist. After all, this is more than a match; it’s a city divided, and on derby day, anything can happen.
Ready to test your own predictions? Dive into the action with NerdyTips’ signature blend of nerdy rigor and fan-friendly flair. The Vienna derby is calling—will you answer?
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Austria Vienna didn't play better in the last H2H match!
1X -303
Austria Vienna to win or draw with odds of -3031 110
Austria Vienna is expected to win with odds of 110Under 3.5 -345
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo 100
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -196
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:0
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15
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18
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16
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 Austria V |
11-May-25
1:2
| Rapid Vienna  |
| Rapid Vienna |
13-Apr-25
2:0
| Austria V |
| Austria V |
16-Feb-25
2:1
| Rapid Vienna |
| Rapid Vienna |
22-Sep-24
2:1
| Austria V |
| Rapid Vienna |
25-Feb-24
3:0
| Austria V |
| Austria V |
01-Oct-23
0:0
| Rapid Vienna |
| Austria V |
14-May-23
3:1
| Rapid Vienna |
| Rapid Vienna |
16-Apr-23
3:3
| Austria V |
| Austria V |
19-Mar-23
2:0
| Rapid Vienna |
| Rapid Vienna |
09-Oct-22
1:2
| Austria V |
Recent Matches of Austria V| 07 Dec |
Wolfsberg.
|
-
| Austria V.
| |
| 29 Nov | D |
Austria V.
|
0:0
| Tirol.
|
Recent Matches of Rapid Vienna
| 06 Dec | SK Rapid. |
- |
Ried. | |
| 30 Nov | L |  LASK. |
3:0 |
SK Rapid. |
Austria - Bundesliga| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sturm Graz | 32 | 66-39 | 40 |
| 2 |
Red Bull Salzb | 32 | 53-36 | 38 |
| 3 |
Austria Vienna | 32 | 47-32 | 37 |
| 4 |
Wolfsberger AC | 32 | 60-38 | 37 |
| 5 |
Rapid Vienna | 32 | 43-42 | 27 |
| 6 |
FC BW Linz | 32 | 37-45 | 21 |
