As AZ Alkmaar gear up to host AS Roma at the AFAS Stadion on January 23, 2025, football enthusiasts and bettors alike are eagerly analyzing the odds and stats for this UEFA Europa League clash. With bookmakers setting the odds at 3.0 for a home win, 3.6 for a draw, and 2.25 for an away win, the stage is set for an intriguing encounter.

Our AI-generated best tip for this match is X2 (away team will win or draw), with odds of 1.38. While the confidence level is a modest 3.6/10, it reflects the historical resilience of AS Roma in away fixtures. The prediction for the 1x2 market leans towards an AS Roma victory, with a trust rating of 2.6 and odds of 2.25, suggesting a slight edge for the visitors.

In terms of goal predictions, the under/over market points to under 3.5 goals with a confidence level of 2.4 and odds of 1.43. This aligns with the expected final score of 1:2 in favor of AS Roma, and an anticipated half-time score of 0:1. Both teams are expected to find the net, but don't expect a goal fest.

Possession stats suggest AS Roma will control the ball 54% of the time, leaving AZ Alkmaar with 46%. The shot count is predicted to be close, with 12 for Roma and 11 for Alkmaar, indicating a competitive match. Expect 4 on-target shots from the home side and 5 from the visitors, with 8 corners split evenly.

Interestingly, AZ Alkmaar's recent surprise draw against PSV Eindhoven, where they defied the odds of 6.1, shows their potential to challenge stronger teams. However, AS Roma's squad value of €269.50m dwarfs Alkmaar's €79.10m, highlighting the Italian side's depth and quality.

In the UEFA Europa League, home teams have historically won 49.7% of matches, but with AS Roma's pedigree and recent form, the odds favor the visitors. While AZ Alkmaar will be buoyed by their recent performances, the smart money seems to be on AS Roma to either win or draw.