Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Portugal
Benfica B
-
Penafiel
€8.40m
Preview
The anticipation is building at the Caixa Futebol Campus as we approach the much-awaited Benfica B vs Penafiel prediction for this Segunda Liga fixture, scheduled for 18:00 GMT on May 11, 2025. With the season’s end in sight, both sides have plenty at stake—Benfica B are eager to cement their home dominance, while Penafiel look to spring a surprise and climb the table. As the betting odds and AI-driven analysis come together, this match promises a blend of tactical intrigue and statistical insight that bettors and football fans alike won’t want to miss.
Every point counts at this stage of the Segunda Liga, and both Benfica B and Penafiel know it. The hosts, playing on familiar turf, are keen to turn their home advantage into three points, while Penafiel arrive with a reputation for resilience, especially on the road. The stakes are high—not just for league position, but for pride and momentum as the season draws to a close.
The bookmakers have spoken, and the numbers tell a story. With Benfica B priced at 1.75 for the win, the market sees them as clear favorites. The draw sits at 3.65, while Penafiel are outsiders at 4.2. These betting odds reflect not only recent form but also the historical edge Benfica B have enjoyed in this fixture.
Our AI’s analysis gives a home win the nod as the most valuable bet—backed by a trust score of 7.6/10 and matching the market’s 1.75 odds. NerdyTips’ own recommendation echoes this confidence, with a trust score of 7.7. When both the algorithms and the bookmakers align, it’s a strong signal that Benfica B’s home advantage is more than just theoretical.
The expectation is for a controlled, low-scoring affair—Benfica B to take an early lead and manage the game from there. The AI’s under 3.5 goals prediction fits neatly with both teams’ recent patterns and broader league trends.
Looking at the Segunda Liga as a whole, the numbers reinforce the narrative:
These stats suggest that while goals are not in short supply, true goal-fests are rare. The Benfica B vs Penafiel prediction of under 3.5 goals and a 2-0 scoreline fits perfectly with these trends, making the under market particularly appealing for bettors seeking value.
History is on Benfica B’s side. In their most recent head to head, played on November 4, 2023, Benfica B edged Penafiel 1-0. The pre-match odds then were 2.2 for Benfica B and 2.98 for Penafiel—again, a slight but meaningful nod to the home team’s edge in this rivalry.
But both teams have shown they can upset the script. Benfica B’s 1-1 away draw with Santa Clara (odds: 5.0) and Penafiel’s 0-0 away draw with Maritimo (odds: 6.4) are reminders that surprises are always possible, especially when the pressure is on. These results highlight both teams’ ability to grind out results on the road, even when the odds are stacked against them.
As the clock ticks down to kick-off, all signs point to a disciplined, home-driven performance from Benfica B—though Penafiel’s knack for defying expectations means nothing is guaranteed. For the latest updates, expert insights, and more Benfica B vs Penafiel prediction content, be sure to follow the action on nerdytips.com.
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Penafiel no motivation!
1 -133
Benfica B is expected to win with odds of -1331 -133
Benfica B is expected to win with odds of -133Under 3.5 -278
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo 100
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -250
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
2:0
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7
-
5
-
5
|
|
 Benfica B |
11-May-25
1:1
| Penafiel  |
| Penafiel |
29-Dec-24
1:1
| Benfica B |
| Penafiel |
16-Mar-24
0:1
| Benfica B |
| Benfica B |
04-Nov-23
1:0
| Penafiel |
| Penafiel |
30-Apr-23
0:3
| Benfica B |
| Benfica B |
12-Nov-22
1:2
| Penafiel |
| Benfica B |
23-Jan-22
1:0
| Penafiel |
| Penafiel |
15-Aug-21
0:1
| Benfica B |
| Benfica B |
26-Apr-21
2:2
| Penafiel |
Recent Matches of Benfica B| 06 Dec | W |
Benfica B.
|
2:0
| Oliveirense.
|
| 03 Dec | D |
Nottingha.
|
1:1
| Benfica B.
|
Recent Matches of Penafiel
| 05 Dec | W | Penafiel. |
1:0 |
Leiria. |
Portugal - Segunda Liga| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tondela | 34 | 58-35 | 64 |
| 2 |
Alverca | 34 | 58-34 | 63 |
| 3 |
Vizela | 34 | 50-30 | 62 |
| 4 |
Benfica B | 34 | 53-38 | 55 |
| 5 |
Torreense | 34 | 49-42 | 54 |
| 6 |
União de Leir | 34 | 49-37 | 52 |
| 7 |
Chaves | 34 | 40-34 | 51 |
| 8 |
Feirense | 34 | 35-34 | 49 |
| 9 |
Felgueiras 193 | 34 | 43-38 | 46 |
| 10 |
Academico Vise | 34 | 43-41 | 45 |
| 11 |
Penafiel | 34 | 45-47 | 45 |
| 12 |
Maritimo | 34 | 42-48 | 43 |
| 13 |
Leixoes | 34 | 37-42 | 41 |
| 14 |
FC Porto B | 34 | 36-47 | 35 |
| 15 |
Portimonense | 34 | 38-54 | 34 |
| 16 |
Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 34-50 | 33 |
| 17 |
Oliveirense | 34 | 30-64 | 29 |
| 18 |
Mafra | 34 | 29-54 | 27 |
