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Match Prediction

Botafogo PB vs Sao Bernardo Prediction

Finished
Brazil flag Brazil
Serie C

Botafogo PB

€150.00Th.

7 Jul 23:30
1 : 1

Sao Bernardo

€1.05m

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Botafogo PB vs Sao Bernardo Prediction Serie C

Botafogo PB vs Sao Bernardo Prediction: A Tight Serie C Affair

When it comes to Serie C betting tips, few matches promise as much tension as Botafogo PB vs Sao Bernardo prediction. On July 7, 2025, these two sides meet at Estádio José Américo de Almeida Filho in a game where league trends, squad value disparities, and recent head to head history collide. With home teams winning just 40.9% of Serie C matches and under 2.5 goals landing in 65.2% of games, this clash could defy expectations—or follow the script.

The Serie C Landscape: Where Grit Meets Low Scoring

Brazil's third tier is a battleground of narrow margins. Consider these league-wide stats:

  • Home wins: 40.9% (but don’t assume home advantage always delivers).
  • Away victories: Just 19.5%—making any road success notable.
  • Draws: 39.6%—the highest among Brazil’s top three divisions.
  • Goals: Only 34.8% of matches exceed 2.5 goals.

This sets the stage for a tactical duel. Botafogo PB, valued at €150k, faces a Sao Bernardo side worth €1.05m—a seven-fold difference. Yet, as past results show, money doesn’t always talk in Serie C.

Team Context: David vs Goliath, With a Twist

Botafogo PB’s recent 0-0 draw at CRB (as 7.5 underdogs) proved they can frustrate stronger opponents. Meanwhile, Sao Bernardo’s 1-1 result at RB Bragantino (at 6.0 odds) showcased their ability to punch above their weight. Here’s how they stack up:

  1. Botafogo PB: Reliant on defensive grit; just 2 goals conceded in their last 3 home games.
  2. Sao Bernardo: Better squad depth but inconsistent—3 wins, 2 losses in their last 5 away.

The betting odds reflect this tension: Home (2.38), Draw (2.94), Away (3.0). Value hunters might eye Sao Bernardo’s higher ceiling, but Botafogo’s home resilience can’t be ignored.

Head to Head: A Goalless Stalemate With Lessons

Their last meeting (September 22, 2024) ended 0-0—a classic Serie C deadlock. Key takeaways:

  • Botafogo PB: Held possession but created few clear chances.
  • Sao Bernardo: Defended compactly, relying on counterattacks.

This history suggests another low-scoring game, aligning with our AI’s under 2.5 goals prediction (rated 6.8/10 at 1.45 odds).

Betting Angles: Where Stats Meet Value

Serie C’s patterns offer clues for sports betting enthusiasts:

  1. HT 0-0: Likely, but 57.6% of Serie C games eventually surpass 1.5 goals.
  2. Away win: Our AI gives a 0-1 Sao Bernardo victory a 2.9/10 confidence rating (3.0 odds)—a risky but high-reward pick.

Why lean away? Sao Bernardo’s squad value hints at superior individual quality, and their H2H resilience (avoiding defeat last time) suggests they’ve cracked Botafogo’s code.

Final Prediction: A Nod to the Underdog

Despite Serie C’s home bias, the Botafogo PB vs Sao Bernardo prediction leans toward the visitors. Our AI forecasts a 0-1 away win, though the safer play is under 2.5 goals. For bettors, this match is a reminder: in Serie C, expect the unexpected—but rarely a goal fest.

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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Botafogo PB vs Sao Bernardo

U2.5 -222

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -222
6/10

1x2 Tip

2200

Sao Bernardo is expected to win with odds of 200
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -222

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -154

At least one team is not expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U3.5 -109

Away win/draw and under 3.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Half-Time Score

0:0

Full-Time Score

0:1

Average / Match

2.3
Total Goals
1.6
0.8
Goals Scored
0.9
1.5
Goals Against
0.7

Overview Last 10 Matches

1
Wins
4
5
Over 1.5 Goals
4
4
Over 2.5 Goals
2
2
Over 3.5 Goals
1
5
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Botafogo PB
0 - 2 - 2
Sao Bernardo

Latest Matches

Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 22-Sep-24
0:0
 Sao Bernardo Sao Bernardo
Sao Bernardo Sao Bernardo 14-Sep-24
1:0
 Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
Sao Bernardo Sao Bernardo 09-Jul-24
1:0
 Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
Sao Bernardo Sao Bernardo 01-Jul-23
0:0
 Botafogo PB Botafogo PB

Profile time Recent Matches of Botafogo PB

13 Jul Botafogo PB Botafogo PB.
-
 Londrina. Londrina
07 JulD Botafogo PB Botafogo PB.
1:1
 Sao Bernardo. Sao Bernardo
30 JunL AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana.
1:0
 Botafogo PB. Botafogo PB
14 JunL Botafogo PB Botafogo PB.
1:2
 Caxias. Caxias
01 JunL Figueirense Figueirense.
1:0
 Botafogo PB. Botafogo PB
25 MayW Botafogo PB Botafogo PB.
1:0
 Retro. Retro
22 MayL Flamengo Flamengo.
4:2
 Botafogo PB. Botafogo PB
18 MayD Maringa Maringa.
1:1
 Botafogo PB. Botafogo PB
11 MayL Botafogo PB Botafogo PB.
2:3
 Floresta. Floresta
04 MayL Guarani Guarani.
2:1
 Botafogo PB. Botafogo PB

Profile time Recent Matches of Sao Bernardo

12 JulSao Bernardo Sao Bernardo.
-
 Ponte Preta.Ponte Preta
07 JulDBotafogo PB Botafogo PB.
1:1
Sao Bernardo.Sao Bernardo
28 JunWSao Bernardo Sao Bernardo.
3:0
Anapolis.Anapolis
14 JunDItuano Ituano.
1:1
Sao Bernardo.Sao Bernardo
02 JunLSao Bernardo Sao Bernardo.
1:3
CSA.CSA
26 MayLBrusque Brusque.
1:0
Sao Bernardo.Sao Bernardo
18 MayWSao Bernardo Sao Bernardo.
1:0
Caxias.Caxias
10 MayWGuarani Guarani.
0:1
Sao Bernardo.Sao Bernardo
05 MayDSao Bernardo Sao Bernardo.
0:0
Londrina.Londrina
27 AprWAO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana.
0:1
Sao Bernardo.Sao Bernardo

Brazil - Serie C Brazil - Serie C

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Caxias Caxias11
21-14
24
2 Ponte Preta Ponte Preta11
11-7
23
3 Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS11
11-10
20
4 Londrina Londrina11
19-10
20
5 Nautico Recife Nautico Recife11
12-6
16
6 CSA CSA11
14-11
16
7 Ituano Ituano11
12-10
16
8 São Bernardo São Bernardo11
10-8
16
9 Floresta Floresta11
7-8
16
10 Guarani Campinas Guarani Campin11
10-10
15
11 Brusque Brusque11
9-10
15
12 Maringá Maringá11
14-14
14
13 Figueirense Figueirense11
14-13
13
14 Tombense Tombense11
8-11
11
15 ABC ABC11
10-13
11
16 AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana11
9-14
10
17 Botafogo PB Botafogo PB11
10-11
10
18 Anápolis Anápolis11
7-12
10
19 Confiança Confiança11
11-17
9
20 Retrô Retrô11
4-14
8
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