icon back

Match Prediction

Bucaramanga vs Envigado Prediction

Finished
Colombia flag Colombia
Primera A

Bucaramanga

€9.15m

17 Apr17:00
1 : 0

Envigado

€6.05m

Preview

Bucaramanga vs Envigado Prediction Primera A

The Colombian Primera A is a league where logic often takes a backseat, and the upcoming Bucaramanga vs Envigado clash promises to be another thrilling chapter in this unpredictable saga. Fresh off shocking victories against higher-rated opponents, both teams arrive at Estadio Américo Montanini with momentum—but only one can keep their surprise run alive.

Underdogs No More?

Bucaramanga’s recent 1-2 away win over Racing Club defied the odds—literally. At 11.0 pre-match, few gave them a chance, yet here they are, strutting into this game as heavy favorites. Envigado, too, silenced doubters with a 1-2 victory against Alianza Petrolera (6.0 odds), proving that in Colombian football, reputation means little once the whistle blows.

But can lightning strike twice? The betting markets aren’t convinced. Bucaramanga’s home win odds sit at a confident 1.44, while Envigado’s underdog status is reflected in their distant 8.0 price. A draw? Priced at 3.95, it’s seen as the middle ground—but in a league where home advantage reigns supreme (41.2% home wins vs. 20.9% away), the hosts are rightly favored.

Why the AI Hesitates

NerdyTips’ prediction model leans toward a Bucaramanga win (5.5/10 confidence), but the hesitation is telling. Despite their superior squad value (€9.15m vs. €6.05m) and a 3-1 H2H win in March 2024, recent form suggests both teams thrive as disruptors. Bucaramanga’s possession dominance (projected 63%) and shot volume (17 total, 6 on target) should control the game, but Envigado’s knack for gritty, low-block defending could turn this into a war of attrition.

The Data Behind the Drama

Expect a tense, tactical battle. The AI projects under 2.5 goals (1.55 odds, 4.1/10 trust), aligning with a predicted 2-0 final score and 1-0 halftime lead for Bucaramanga. This isn’t just guesswork—league-wide trends show only 34.5% of games exceed 2.5 goals, and Envigado’s away record leans toward defensive pragmatism.

Dig deeper, and the numbers paint a vivid picture: Bucaramanga should dominate corners (5-3) and force Envigado into fouls (4 yellows projected vs. Bucaramanga’s 2). Yet, as any seasoned Primera A fan knows, stats can’t measure heart—or chaos.

Betting Tips: Trust, But Verify

The smart money leans toward Bucaramanga, but here’s the twist: Colombian football loves a plot twist. While the ‘1’ tip (home win) is statistically sound, Envigado’s recent upset proves they’re no pushovers. For those eyeing goal markets, under 2.5 feels safer, but don’t rule out a nervy 1-1 if the hosts start slow.

Final Thoughts

This Bucaramanga vs Envigado prediction boils down to trust in the system versus faith in the underdog. The data screams home win, but the league whispers, “Wait and see.” One thing’s certain: at 22:00 GMT on April 17, Estadio Américo Montanini will host another Primera A spectacle where anything—or nothing—might happen. Bet wisely, but enjoy the ride.

Read More

AI Predictions
Powered by NerdyTips Logo

Warning

Envigado is a risky team

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Bucaramanga vs Envigado

1 -227

Bucaramanga is expected to win with odds of -227
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 -227

Bucaramanga is expected to win with odds of -227
5/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -169

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -222

At least one team is not expected to score
5/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -227

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

63%
Ball Possession
37%
17
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Goal
2
7
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
4

Average / Match

2.7
Total Goals
2.6
1.7
Goals Scored
0.9
1
Goals Against
1.7
51%
Possession
46%
12.3
Total Shots
10.1
4.3
Shots on Goal
2.4
5.7
Shots off Goal
4.3
11.1
Fouls
11.5
4.2
Corners
3.5
1.1
Offsides
2
2.6
Yellow Cards
4
0.1
Red Cards
0.2
369
Total Passes
310

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
3
8
Over 1.5 Goals
6
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
5
1
Unexpected Wins
3
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Bucaramanga
8 - 8 - 6
Envigado
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 17-Apr-25
1:0
Envigado Envigado
Envigado Envigado 05-Oct-24
0:0
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 24-Mar-24
3:1
Envigado Envigado
Envigado Envigado 14-Jul-23
1:3
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 25-Jan-23
0:0
Envigado Envigado
Envigado Envigado 19-Aug-22
2:1
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 08-Apr-22
3:0
Envigado Envigado
Envigado Envigado 30-Mar-22
0:0
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 22-Feb-22
1:2
Envigado Envigado
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 31-Oct-21
2:1
Envigado Envigado

Profile time Recent Matches of Bucaramanga

04 DecD Bucaramanga Bucaramanga.
0:0
Deportes . Deportes
30 NovW Fortaleza Fortaleza.
0:2
Bucaramanga. Bucaramanga

Profile time Recent Matches of Envigado

Colombia - Primera A Colombia - Primera A

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Independiente Medellin Independiente 20
46-28
40
2 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolim20
29-17
38
3 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacio20
38-24
37
4 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga20
31-20
37
5 Junior Junior20
35-25
35
6 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC20
25-19
35
7 Santa Fe Santa Fe20
21-17
31
8 America de Cali America de Cal20
23-19
29
9 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrol20
24-22
29
10 Rionegro Aguilas Rionegro Aguil20
29-27
27
11 Once Caldas Once Caldas20
21-24
27
12 Millonarios Millonarios20
23-26
26
13 Llaneros Llaneros20
17-25
25
14 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali20
22-28
21
15 Union Magdalena Union Magdalen20
22-32
21
16 Envigado Envigado20
18-22
20
17 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Past20
26-28
19
18 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pere20
19-36
18
19 Chico Chico20
14-29
16
20 La Equidad La Equidad20
14-29
14
Video preview
Log In
Register
Bankers
All Matches