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Match Prediction

Bucaramanga vs Envigado Prediction

Finished
Colombia flag Colombia
Primera A

Bucaramanga

€9.15m

17 Apr 22:00
1 : 0

Envigado

€6.05m

Preview

Bucaramanga vs Envigado Prediction Primera A

The Colombian Primera A is a league where logic often takes a backseat, and the upcoming Bucaramanga vs Envigado clash promises to be another thrilling chapter in this unpredictable saga. Fresh off shocking victories against higher-rated opponents, both teams arrive at Estadio Américo Montanini with momentum—but only one can keep their surprise run alive.

Underdogs No More?

Bucaramanga’s recent 1-2 away win over Racing Club defied the odds—literally. At 11.0 pre-match, few gave them a chance, yet here they are, strutting into this game as heavy favorites. Envigado, too, silenced doubters with a 1-2 victory against Alianza Petrolera (6.0 odds), proving that in Colombian football, reputation means little once the whistle blows.

But can lightning strike twice? The betting markets aren’t convinced. Bucaramanga’s home win odds sit at a confident 1.44, while Envigado’s underdog status is reflected in their distant 8.0 price. A draw? Priced at 3.95, it’s seen as the middle ground—but in a league where home advantage reigns supreme (41.2% home wins vs. 20.9% away), the hosts are rightly favored.

Why the AI Hesitates

NerdyTips’ prediction model leans toward a Bucaramanga win (5.5/10 confidence), but the hesitation is telling. Despite their superior squad value (€9.15m vs. €6.05m) and a 3-1 H2H win in March 2024, recent form suggests both teams thrive as disruptors. Bucaramanga’s possession dominance (projected 63%) and shot volume (17 total, 6 on target) should control the game, but Envigado’s knack for gritty, low-block defending could turn this into a war of attrition.

The Data Behind the Drama

Expect a tense, tactical battle. The AI projects under 2.5 goals (1.55 odds, 4.1/10 trust), aligning with a predicted 2-0 final score and 1-0 halftime lead for Bucaramanga. This isn’t just guesswork—league-wide trends show only 34.5% of games exceed 2.5 goals, and Envigado’s away record leans toward defensive pragmatism.

Dig deeper, and the numbers paint a vivid picture: Bucaramanga should dominate corners (5-3) and force Envigado into fouls (4 yellows projected vs. Bucaramanga’s 2). Yet, as any seasoned Primera A fan knows, stats can’t measure heart—or chaos.

Betting Tips: Trust, But Verify

The smart money leans toward Bucaramanga, but here’s the twist: Colombian football loves a plot twist. While the ‘1’ tip (home win) is statistically sound, Envigado’s recent upset proves they’re no pushovers. For those eyeing goal markets, under 2.5 feels safer, but don’t rule out a nervy 1-1 if the hosts start slow.

Final Thoughts

This Bucaramanga vs Envigado prediction boils down to trust in the system versus faith in the underdog. The data screams home win, but the league whispers, “Wait and see.” One thing’s certain: at 22:00 GMT on April 17, Estadio Américo Montanini will host another Primera A spectacle where anything—or nothing—might happen. Bet wisely, but enjoy the ride.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Envigado is a risky team

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Bucaramanga vs Envigado

1 -227

Bucaramanga is expected to win with odds of -227
5/10

1x2 Tip

1-227

Bucaramanga is expected to win with odds of -227
5/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -169

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
4/10

Both Teams To Score

No -222

At least one team is not expected to score
5/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -227

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
6/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:0

Stats Predictions

63%
Ball Possession
37%
17
Total Shots
8
6
Shots on Goal
2
7
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
4

Average / Match

2.7
Total Goals
2.6
1.7
Goals Scored
0.9
1
Goals Against
1.7
51%
Possession
46%
12.3
Total Shots
10.1
4.3
Shots on Goal
2.4
5.7
Shots off Goal
4.3
11.1
Fouls
11.5
4.2
Corners
3.5
1.1
Offsides
2
2.6
Yellow Cards
4
0.1
Red Cards
0.2
369
Total Passes
310

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
3
8
Over 1.5 Goals
6
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
5
1
Unexpected Wins
3
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Bucaramanga
8 - 8 - 6
Envigado

Latest Matches

Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 17-Apr-25
1:0
Envigado Envigado
Envigado Envigado 05-Oct-24
0:0
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 24-Mar-24
3:1
Envigado Envigado
Envigado Envigado 14-Jul-23
1:3
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 25-Jan-23
0:0
Envigado Envigado
Envigado Envigado 19-Aug-22
2:1
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 08-Apr-22
3:0
Envigado Envigado
Envigado Envigado 30-Mar-22
0:0
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 22-Feb-22
1:2
Envigado Envigado
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 31-Oct-21
2:1
Envigado Envigado

Profile time Recent Matches of Bucaramanga

09 NovW Bucaramanga Bucaramanga.
2:1
La Equidad. La Equidad

Profile time Recent Matches of Envigado

14 NovLlaneros Llaneros.
-
Envigado.Envigado
11 NovDInd. Medellin Ind. Medelli.
1:1
Envigado.Envigado
07 NovDEnvigado Envigado.
1:1
Millonarios.Millonarios

Colombia - Primera A Colombia - Primera A

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Independiente Medellin Independiente 19
43-28
37
2 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacio19
37-22
37
3 Bucaramanga Bucaramanga19
31-17
37
4 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolim19
27-16
35
5 Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC19
25-17
35
6 Junior Junior19
33-24
32
7 America de Cali America de Cal19
23-16
29
8 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrol19
24-21
29
9 Santa Fe Santa Fe19
20-17
28
10 Rionegro Aguilas Rionegro Aguil19
28-25
27
11 Once Caldas Once Caldas19
20-23
26
12 Llaneros Llaneros19
17-22
25
13 Millonarios Millonarios19
21-25
23
14 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali19
21-27
20
15 Union Magdalena Union Magdalen19
20-32
18
16 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pere19
19-32
18
17 Envigado Envigado19
15-22
17
18 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Past19
23-28
16
19 Chico Chico19
13-27
16
20 La Equidad La Equidad19
10-29
11
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