CA Estudiantes welcome Gimnasia M. to Estadio Ciudad de Caseros on March 2, and if the odds are anything to go by, we’re in for a low-scoring, hard-fought battle. With a home win priced at 2.15, a draw at 2.8, and an away win at 3.7, the bookies see the hosts as slight favorites. But should bettors trust these numbers? Let’s dive in.

If you’re looking for the best tip, our AI-backed recommendation is under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.39. Why? Because history tells us this league isn’t exactly a goal-fest—only 31.0% of matches in Argentina’s Primera Nacional have gone over 2.5 goals. Plus, our predicted scoreline is a tight 1-1 draw, which fits perfectly with this bet.

Looking at the head-to-head record, CA Estudiantes have had the upper hand lately. They won their last home clash against Gimnasia M. 1-0 back in 2022 and even pulled off a surprise 1-1 draw away in November 2024 despite being priced at a massive 5.0 odds for the win. Meanwhile, Gimnasia M. have shown they can upset the odds too, with a gutsy 1-2 away win over Unión Santa Fe last April at odds of 7.0.

So, where’s the smart money? If you’re feeling cautious, the 1X double chance at 1.25 is a safe bet, as Estudiantes are tough to beat at home. But for value, sticking with under 2.5 goals at 1.39 seems like the best play. Expect a tight, tactical battle with few fireworks—so maybe don’t expect a goal-fest thriller, but do expect solid betting value!