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Match Prediction

Cartagena vs Mirandes Prediction

Finished
Spain flag Spain
Segunda División

Cartagena

€10.90m

1 Jun17:30
1 : 3

Mirandes

€14.20m

Preview

Cartagena vs Mirandes Prediction Segunda División

Cartagena vs Mirandes Prediction: A David vs Goliath Battle in Segunda División

The Cartagena vs Mirandes prediction paints a stark picture of two teams at opposite ends of the Segunda División table. On June 1, 2025, the Estadio Municipal Cartagonova will host a match that, on paper, looks like a foregone conclusion. Cartagena, rooted to the bottom with just 23 points, face a Mirandes side soaring in 4th place with 72 points—a staggering 49-point gap separating them. But football, as we know, loves a twist.

The Stakes: Survival vs Promotion Dreams

For Cartagena, this game is about pride and a faint hope of defying the odds. Relegation looms large, and their €10.9m squad pales in comparison to Mirandes’ €14.2m roster. Meanwhile, Mirandes are fighting for a shot at La Liga, and their recent form—including a commanding away win over Racing Santander—suggests they won’t take their foot off the gas.

Key Stats Telling the Story

  • Possession Battle: Mirandes averages 73% possession, while Cartagena manages just 27%—a recipe for one-way traffic.
  • Shot Disparity: Mirandes fires 18 shots per game (5 on target), dwarfing Cartagena’s 4 (2 on target).
  • Set-Piece Dominance: Expect Mirandes to exploit corners (5 per game vs Cartagena’s 1).

Betting Odds and Value Picks

The sports betting markets leave little room for doubt: Mirandes are heavy favorites at 1.30 odds for an away win. NerdyTips’ top recommendation, however, is the AS2+ (Away Team to Score 2+ Goals) at 1.42 odds—a 4.4/10 confidence pick backed by Mirandes’ attacking prowess. Here’s why:

  1. Cartagena concedes 1.5+ goals in 65.25% of matches (league average).
  2. Mirandes’ xG (expected goals) and shot volume (18 vs 4) suggest relentless pressure.
  3. The predicted 0-3 scoreline (HT: 0-1) aligns with Mirandes’ away form.

Head-to-Head and Recent Surprises

Despite the head-to-head upset earlier this season—Cartagena’s 1-0 win at 2.25 odds—the gulf in quality has widened since. Mirandes’ recent 5.2-odds away win over Racing Santander showcased their clinical edge, while Cartagena’s shock 1-0 victory against the same opponent (6.75 odds) was a rare bright spot in a dismal campaign.

Why Over 2.5 Goals Makes Sense

The league’s 39.2% Over 2.5 Goals rate jumps higher here (1.73 odds, 3.2 confidence). Mirandes’ attacking intent—paired with Cartagena’s leaky defense—makes this a likely outcome. Expect Mirandes to control tempo, rack up corners, and test Cartagena’s backline early and often.

Final Thoughts and Best Bet

While football thrives on unpredictability, the Cartagena vs Mirandes prediction leans heavily toward the visitors. For bettors, the AS2+ tip offers solid value at 1.42 odds, mirroring Mirandes’ dominance in shots, possession, and xG. A 0-3 scoreline seems plausible, but keep an eye on early goals—they could turn this into a rout.

In a season of contrasts, this match epitomizes the Segunda División’s brutal hierarchy. For Cartagena, it’s about damage control. For Mirandes, it’s another step toward promotion. And for sports betting enthusiasts, it’s a chance to back the stats—not the fairy tale.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

FC Cartagena is relegated!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Cartagena vs Mirandes

AS2+ -238

Mirandes is expected to score at least 2 goals with odds of -238
4/10

1x2 Tip

2 -333

Mirandes is expected to win with odds of -333
4/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -149

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -143

At least one team is not expected to score
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:3

Stats Predictions

27%
Ball Possession
73%
4
Total Shots
18
2
Shots on Goal
5
1
Corners
5
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

3.3
Total Goals
2.9
1.4
Goals Scored
1.5
1.9
Goals Against
1.4
40%
Possession
51%
6.7
Total Shots
13.4
3.2
Shots on Goal
4.3
2.4
Shots off Goal
5.8
11.2
Fouls
12.7
2.6
Corners
4.5
2.3
Offsides
2.1
2.2
Yellow Cards
2.2
0
Red Cards
0
338
Total Passes
347

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
5
7
Over 1.5 Goals
7
7
Over 2.5 Goals
7
6
Over 3.5 Goals
4
7
Both Teams Scored
7
1
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Cartagena
3 - 0 - 7
Mirandes
Cartagena FC Cartagena 01-Jun-25
1:3
Mirandes Mirandes
Mirandes Mirandes 26-Oct-24
3:1
FC Cartagena Cartagena
Cartagena FC Cartagena 11-Feb-24
1:0
Mirandes Mirandes
Mirandes Mirandes 29-Oct-23
2:1
FC Cartagena Cartagena
Cartagena FC Cartagena 09-Apr-23
1:0
Mirandes Mirandes
Mirandes Mirandes 21-Nov-22
2:1
FC Cartagena Cartagena
Mirandes Mirandes 12-Mar-22
2:1
FC Cartagena Cartagena
Cartagena FC Cartagena 19-Dec-21
3:0
Mirandes Mirandes
Cartagena FC Cartagena 25-Jan-21
0:2
Mirandes Mirandes

Profile time Recent Matches of FC Cartagena

08 Dec FC Cartagena FC Cartagena.
-
Murcia. Murcia
04 DecL FC Cartagena FC Cartagena.
1:2
Valencia. Valencia

Profile time Recent Matches of Mirandes

08 DecLas Palmas Las Palmas.
-
Mirandes.Mirandes
03 DecLMirandes Mirandes.
0:2
Gijon.Gijon
30 NovWMirandes Mirandes.
1:0
Real II.Real II

Spain - Segunda División Spain - Segunda División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Levante Levante42
69-42
79
2 Elche Elche42
59-34
77
3 Mirandes Mirandes42
59-40
75
4 Oviedo Oviedo42
56-42
75
5 Racing Santander Racing Santand42
65-51
71
6 Almeria Almeria42
72-55
69
7 Granada CF Granada CF42
65-54
65
8 Huesca Huesca42
58-49
64
9 Eibar Eibar42
44-41
58
10 Albacete Albacete42
57-57
58
11 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon42
57-54
56
12 Burgos Burgos42
41-48
55
13 Cadiz Cadiz42
55-53
55
14 Cordoba Cordoba42
59-63
55
15 Castellón Castellón42
65-63
53
16 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La C42
56-54
53
17 Malaga Malaga42
42-46
53
18 Zaragoza Zaragoza42
56-63
51
19 Eldense Eldense42
44-63
45
20 Tenerife Tenerife42
35-55
36
21 Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol42
22-64
30
22 FC Cartagena FC Cartagena42
33-78
23
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