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Match Prediction

CDS Tampico Madero vs Leones Negros UDG Prediction

Finished
Mexico flag Mexico
Liga de Expansión MX

CDS T

-

17 May21:00
2 : 1

Leones N

€8.90m

Preview

CDS T vs Leones N Prediction Liga de Expansión MX

CDS Tampico Madero vs Leones Negros UDG Prediction: High Stakes and Tight Margins at Estadio Tamaulipas

The CDS Tampico Madero vs Leones Negros UDG prediction for May 18, 2.04, is more than just a numbers game—it's a story of grit, recent surprises, and the subtle art of defying expectations. As the Liga de Expansión MX season reaches its boiling point, these two sides meet at Estadio Tamaulipas with everything to play for and little to separate them in the eyes of bookmakers or fans.

Setting the Stage: Recent Form and Fiery Memories

Their last head to head, back on October 20, 2024, was a five-goal thriller that saw Tampico Madero snatch a 3-2 win despite being priced as underdogs (3.22 to UDG’s 2.15). That night, the odds-makers were left scratching their heads as the underdog bit back. Fast forward to now, and both teams have recently shown a knack for frustrating the scriptwriters:

  • Tampico Madero ground out a gritty 0-0 away draw at Mineros de Zacatecas (odds 6.0), showing defensive steel when it mattered most.
  • Leones Negros UDG, meanwhile, held Atlante FC to a surprise 0-0 (odds 5.5), their defense tighter than a budget airline’s seating.

If recent form is anything to go by, expect a tense, tactical battle where every inch is hard-earned.

Betting Odds and Market Insights

The latest betting odds paint a picture of a razor-thin contest:

  • Home win: 2.04 (a $10 bet returns $24)
  • Draw: 3.2 (a $10 bet returns $33)
  • Away win: 3.54 (a $10 bet returns $26.90)

NerdyTips’ AI model leans toward a home win for Tampico Madero (1x2 prediction: ‘1’, confidence 4.3.540), but the margin is slim. Statistically, home teams win 46.7% of Liga de Expansión MX matches, while draws occur 28.2% of the time—numbers that reinforce just how finely balanced this encounter is.

For those eyeing the goals market, the ‘under 3.5 goals’ tip (odds 1.26, confidence 6.2/10) stands out. Only 25.6% of league matches see more than 3.5 total goals, and with both teams recently shutting up shop at the back, a cagey affair seems likely.

By the Numbers: Trends and Predictions

Let’s break down the key stats shaping the CDS Tampico Madero vs Leones Negros UDG prediction:

  • Both teams score in 50.7% of league matches, but UDG’s recent goalless outings suggest a more defensive approach could be on the cards.
  • Over 1.5 goals lands in 69.7% of games, but over 2.5 is less common (46.4%), supporting the under 3.5 goals tip.
  • Home advantage is real: 46.7% of matches end in a home win, compared to just 25.1% for away sides.

The data suggests a low-scoring, hard-fought contest. Trends point to a 1-0 win for Tampico Madero, with the deadlock likely to be broken after halftime. Expect a 0-0 scoreline at the break, as both sides test each other’s patience and resolve.

Key Battles and What to Watch

With both teams boasting recent defensive resilience, the midfield battle will be crucial. Tampico’s ability to grind out results at home, combined with UDG’s stubbornness on the road, sets the stage for a tactical chess match. The absence of a listed referee—officiating remains a mystery, much like UDG’s attack lately—adds a quirky subplot to an already unpredictable fixture.

Final Prediction and Best Bets

So, where does all this leave our CDS Tampico Madero vs Leones Negros UDG prediction? The smart money is on a narrow home win, with under 3.5 total goals the safest play. Here’s the verdict:

  1. Full-time score: Tampico Madero 1-0 Leones Negros UDG
  2. Half-time score: 0-0
  3. Best bets: Home win (2.04), Under 3.5 goals (1.26)

Football loves a twist, but the numbers—and recent form—point to another night where defense trumps drama. For punters and fans alike, this is one to watch with nerves of steel and eyes on the stats.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Leones N is champion!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for CDS T vs Leones N

U3.5 -385

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -385
6/10

1x2 Tip

1 104

CDS T is expected to win with odds of 104
4/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -385

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

No -110

At least one team is not expected to score
2/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -256

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Average / Match

1.4
Total Goals
3.4
1.1
Goals Scored
1.8
0.3
Goals Against
1.6

Overview Last 10 Matches

6
Wins
6
4
Over 1.5 Goals
10
3
Over 2.5 Goals
8
0
Over 3.5 Goals
4
3
Both Teams Scored
8
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

CDS Tampico Madero
4 - 0 - 2
Leones Negros UDG
Leones Negros UDG Leones N 14-Nov-25
1:0
CDS T CDS Tampico Madero
CDS Tampico Madero CDS T 03-Aug-25
1:0
Leones N Leones Negros UDG
Leones Negros UDG Leones N 25-May-25
1:0
CDS T CDS Tampico Madero
CDS Tampico Madero CDS T 18-May-25
2:1
Leones N Leones Negros UDG
Leones Negros UDG Leones N 06-Apr-25
1:2
CDS T CDS Tampico Madero
CDS Tampico Madero CDS T 20-Oct-24
3:2
Leones N Leones Negros UDG

Profile time Recent Matches of CDS T

07 Dec CDS T CDS T.
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30 NovD Irapuato Irapuato.
0:0
CDS T. CDS T

Profile time Recent Matches of Leones N

Mexico - Liga de Expansión MX Mexico - Liga de Expansión MX

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Leones Negros UDG Leones Negros 14
31-18
29
2 Atlante FC Atlante FC14
26-11
28
3 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zac14
19-11
26
4 Celaya Celaya14
23-15
25
5 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Ma14
16-12
24
6 Venados FC Venados FC14
22-20
22
7 Monarcas Monarcas14
18-21
20
8 Tepatitlán Tepatitlán14
23-18
19
9 Cancún Cancún14
18-17
19
10 Tapatío Tapatío14
18-18
19
11 Correcaminos Uat Correcaminos U14
19-24
18
12 Tlaxcala Tlaxcala14
21-29
13
13 Dorados Dorados14
16-24
12
14 CA La Paz CA La Paz14
20-35
10
15 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de O14
13-30
5
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