Changchun Yatai vs Henan Jianye Prediction

Changchun Yatai vs Henan Jianye Prediction: A Relegation Scrap with Fireworks

When Changchun Yatai hosts Henan Jianye on May 11, 2025, it’s not just a game—it’s a survival fight. Our Changchun Yatai vs Henan Jianye prediction dives into a matchup where two struggling sides, separated by just 2 points, battle to escape the drop zone. With Yatai languishing in 16th (5 points) and Henan barely ahead in 14th (7 points), expect desperation, drama, and likely goals.

The Stakes: More Than Just Three Points

The Changchun Sports Center Stadium will be tense. Both teams have been leaky at the back but oddly persistent upfront. Henan’s squad is worth €8.44m—a hefty €2.49m more than Yatai’s—yet they’ve underperformed. For context, that extra cash buys them… exactly one more on-target shot per game. Efficiency, anyone?

Key Stats That Tell the Story

• Goals Galore? Our AI rates ‘Over 1.5 Goals’ at 7.5/10 confidence (odds: 1.25). The league trends agree—73.7% of Super League games hit this mark.


• Defensive Woes: A predicted 2-2 scoreline reflects both teams’ shaky backlines and the league’s ‘Both Teams to Score’ tendency (52.6% of matches).


• First-Half Fireworks: The 1-1 halftime forecast aligns with nearly identical possession stats (51% vs. 49%) and shot data (Yatai: 10 shots/3 on target; Henan: 12 shots/4 on target).

Betting Odds and Historical Quirks

The sports betting markets smell unpredictability. Home win? 2.79. Draw? 3.25. Away win? 2.52. Tight margins, but history adds spice. Last year’s head to head ended 0-0, while in 2023, Yatai defied 7.0 odds in a plucky 1-1 draw. Henan, though, recently held Shandong to a 0-0 stalemate at 5.5 odds—proof they can punch above their weight.

NerdyTips’ Actionable Insights

1. Safety First: ‘X2’ (Double Chance: Draw or Henan) at 1.43 feels prudent given Henan’s grit.


2. Thrill-Seekers: The 2-2 correct score (odds: 11.0) could reward the bold.


3. Dark Horse: Watch for late drama—both teams concede 60% of goals in second halves.

The Referee Factor and Discipline

No assigned referee yet, but our model predicts a scrappy affair: 1 Yatai yellow, 2 for Henan. Could a late card swing momentum? These teams couldn’t buy a win lately—but goals? That’s another story.

Final Whistle Thoughts

This Changchun Yatai vs Henan Jianye prediction isn’t just about stats—it’s about two teams fighting for their lives. Expect a midfield scrap with chances at both ends, a likely share of the spoils, and maybe, just maybe, a game that reminds us why we love football’s chaos.