Chaves and Oliveirense face off in the Segunda Liga on March 15, 2025, at 15:30 UTC at Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira. With Chaves priced at 1.57 for a home win, a draw at 3.9, and an away victory at 5.35, the hosts are clear favorites. However, is there value in backing them outright, or should bettors look elsewhere?
Chaves and Oliveirense face off in the Segunda Liga on March 15, 2025, at 15:30 UTC at Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira. With Chaves priced at 1.57 for a home win, a draw at 3.9, and an away victory at 5.35, the hosts are clear favorites. However, is there value in backing them outright, or should bettors look elsewhere?

Statistically, home teams in Liga Portugal 2 win 40.1% of the time, while away sides take the points in 28.5% of matches. This suggests that Chaves, with a superior squad value of €8.00m compared to Oliveirense’s €6.49m, should have the upper hand. However, Oliveirense has proven they can upset the odds, as seen in their 1-2 away win over Maritimo in December.

The best betting tip for this clash is Under 3.5 goals at 1.33 odds with a strong 8.0/10 trust level. Why? Only 21.9% of Segunda Liga matches see more than three goals, making this a statistically sound wager. Our AI predicts a 1-0 win for Chaves, with a goalless first half, reinforcing the idea of a low-scoring affair.

For those considering the 1X2 market, the safest play is 1X (Chaves to win or draw) at 1.15 odds. While Chaves’ recent shock win over SC Braga (1-1 away, despite 9.05 odds) shows their resilience, Oliveirense has also pulled off surprises. Given this unpredictability, a straight home win bet lacks value.

In summary, expect a tight, low-scoring contest where Chaves should edge it. The best bet remains Under 3.5 goals, aligning with league trends and AI predictions.