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Match Prediction

Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls Prediction

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USA flag USA
Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire

€41.95m

26 Jul20:30
1 : 0

New Y

€34.40m

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Chicago Fire vs New Y Prediction Major League Soccer

Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls Prediction: Stats, Odds & Storylines

If you’re searching for a reliable Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls prediction for the crucial MLS match on July 27, 2025, you’re in the right place. With both teams neck-and-neck in the Eastern Conference, this fixture at Soldier Field is more than just another date on the calendar—it’s a pivotal moment in their playoff ambitions. Let’s break down the tactics, team news, and betting odds, and see what our data-driven tips reveal for this high-stakes encounter.

Team Form, Tactics, and Key Players

Both Chicago Fire and New York Red Bulls enter this match with plenty on the line. Chicago, sitting ninth, is just a single point ahead of tenth-placed New York. The Fire are fresh off a morale-boosting 2-0 win over CF Montréal, following a 2-2 draw with Atlanta United. Coach Gregg Berhalter has made it clear: the focus is on the playoff push, not on celebrating early successes. Interestingly, despite their improved form, Chicago has found home wins hard to come by—just two in ten attempts this season.

On the other side, the Red Bulls have been unpredictable. After a wild 5-3 victory over New England, they were humbled 5-1 by Inter Miami, with Lionel Messi delivering a masterclass. Coach Sandro Schwarz calls this “prime time” for a playoff push, but insists this isn’t a final—just a crucial step. The Red Bulls face a grueling 18-day stretch with six games across three competitions, which could test their depth and resolve.

  • Chicago Fire will likely rely on Hugo Cuypers and Jack Elliott, both coming off strong performances. Philip Zinckernagel is making history with double-digit goals and assists, while Chris Brady’s goalkeeping remains a key asset.
  • New York Red Bulls are missing Lewis Morgan and Cameron Harper, with Emil Forsberg and Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting expected to carry the attacking load. The midfield, led by Daniel Edelman and Peter Stroud, is deep and versatile.

Tactical Approaches

Berhalter’s Chicago prefers to control possession, with wingers tucking inside and fullbacks providing width—often morphing into a 3-4-3 when attacking. Defensively, expect a disciplined mid-block, pressing high and intercepting well. The Fire’s organization has improved, and their passing accuracy in midfield (notably from Sergio Oregel, Jr.) is a strength.

The Red Bulls stick to their trademark high-pressing, high-intensity “Red Bull Ball,” but with more possession-based wrinkles under Schwarz. Their defensive compactness and ability to win the ball in advanced areas make them dangerous, though their aggression dips slightly on the road. Expect a flexible formation, possibly with three center-backs, and relentless pressure to force turnovers.

  • Chicago has lost to New York only once at home since 2019.
  • Only one of the last six head to head meetings has gone over the betting total.

Betting Odds, AI Predictions & Best Tips

For those eyeing the Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls prediction from a sports betting perspective, the bookmakers have set the odds as follows:

  • Home win: 1.95
  • Draw: 3.75
  • Away win: 3.5

Our AI-powered NerdyTips model gives the best value to the 1X market (home win or draw), with a trust level of 8.5/10 and odds of 1.29. For the 1x2 market, a straight home win is recommended (trust level 8.0, odds 1.95). The over/under market leans towards over 2.5 goals (confidence 6.9, odds 1.61).

  1. Predicted final score: Chicago Fire 2, New York Red Bulls 1
  2. Half-time score: 1:0
  3. Possession: Chicago 57%, New York 43%
  4. Shots: Chicago 15 (5 on target), New York 10 (2 on target)
  5. Corners: 5 for Chicago, 4 for New York
  6. Yellow cards: 2 each

With Chicago’s squad value at €41.95m compared to New York’s €34.40m, the Fire have the edge in depth and quality. The last head to head saw Chicago win 2-1, and their resilience was on display in a 2-2 draw away at NYCFC as underdogs.

Final Thoughts: What to Expect

Given the stats, tactical setups, and recent form, our Chicago Fire vs New York Red Bulls prediction is a home win or draw (1X), with a strong lean towards Chicago taking all three points. Expect a tight, energetic contest where possession and pressing will decide the outcome. For those interested in sports betting, the odds favor Chicago, but the over 2.5 goals market also offers value given both teams’ attacking intent and recent defensive lapses.

Whether you’re a fan, a punter, or just love a good head to head rivalry, this is one MLS match you won’t want to miss. Mark your calendars for July 27, 2025, and keep these betting odds and predictions in mind as you enjoy the action.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Chicago Fire vs New Y

1X -345

Chicago Fire to win or draw with odds of -345
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 -105

Chicago Fire is expected to win with odds of -105
7/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -164

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
6/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -189

Both teams are expected to score
4/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -208

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
7/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

57%
Ball Possession
43%
15
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
2
4
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

0.32
Expected Goals
0.51
3.6
Total Goals
3.7
2
Goals Scored
1.9
1.6
Goals Against
1.8
49%
Possession
50%
12.9
Total Shots
11.7
5.3
Shots on Goal
4
4.2
Shots off Goal
4.5
11.9
Fouls
12
4.9
Corners
4.1
1
Offsides
2.1
2.22
Yellow Cards
2.3
0
Red Cards
0.1
461
Total Passes
464

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
4
9
Over 1.5 Goals
10
7
Over 2.5 Goals
5
5
Over 3.5 Goals
4
7
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Chicago Fire
12 - 8 - 12
New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls New Y 06-Apr-25
2:1
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 15-Sep-24
2:1
New Y New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls New Y 14-Apr-24
0:0
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 27-Jan-24
2:2
New Y New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls New Y 01-Oct-23
0:1
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 30-Apr-23
1:1
New Y New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls New Y 19-May-22
3:3
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 01-May-22
1:2
New Y New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls New Y 28-Aug-21
0:1
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 08-Aug-21
2:1
New Y New York Red Bulls

USA - Major League Soccer USA - Major League Soccer

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