Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Heilongjiang Prediction

Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Heilongjiang Prediction: Expert Betting Preview & Odds Analysis

If you’re searching for the most insightful Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Heilongjiang prediction ahead of their League One meeting on May 3, 2025, you’ve landed in the right place. With the action set for 12:30 GMT at the vibrant Tongliang Long Stadium, this fixture promises more than just three points—it’s a story of stats, odds, and the ever-present possibility of an underdog surprise. Let’s break down the numbers, trends, and expert tips to help you make the smartest bets.

Betting Odds: What the Bookmakers Are Telling Us

The odds for this match paint a clear picture:

• Home win (Chongqing Tongliang Long): 1.24


• Draw: 5.0


• Away win (Heilongjiang): 10.25

With Chongqing Tongliang Long priced at just 1.24, the bookmakers are making no secret of their expectations. The home side is a heavy favorite, while a Heilongjiang win is considered a long shot at 10.25. A draw sits in the middle at 5.0, reflecting the possibility but not the probability. These odds are not just numbers—they’re a reflection of form, history, and, yes, a little bit of market wisdom.

Expert Tip: Home Win Backed by AI and NerdyTips

The top tip from NerdyTips for this Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Heilongjiang prediction is a home win (1), carrying a trust rating of 5.0/10 and odds of 1.24. The AI-generated 1x2 prediction also leans confidently toward Chongqing, with a predicted final score of 3:0 and a half-time score of 1:0. While the trust rating isn’t sky-high, it’s enough to suggest that backing the hosts is the logical play—especially given the odds and the gulf in market value.

Market Value: Does Money Talk?

Let’s talk numbers off the pitch. Chongqing Tongliang Long boasts a market value of €3.76 million, more than double Heilongjiang’s €1.81 million. In football, money doesn’t always buy happiness, but it often buys depth, quality, and the ability to grind out results—especially at home. This financial gap is a key reason why the odds are so heavily stacked in Chongqing’s favor.

League One Trends: What History Tells Us

League One is a competition where home advantage matters. Here’s what the stats say:

• Home teams win: 44.0%


• Away teams win: 29.4%


• Draws: 26.6%


• Both teams score: 53.1%

With nearly half of all matches ending in a home win, the numbers back up the bookmakers’ stance. Draws are not uncommon, but with Chongqing’s firepower and home support, the odds of a stalemate seem slimmer than usual.

Over/Under Goals: Expecting a Goal Fest?

The over/under market is always a favorite for punters. For this match, over 2.5 goals is favored (trust 2.7, odds 1.74), and with the AI predicting a 3:0 result, there’s every reason to expect a lively scoreboard. Here’s how the league stacks up:

• 73.5% of matches go over 1.5 goals


• 49.4% go over 2.5 goals


• 27.0% go over 3.5 goals

With Chongqing’s attacking strength and Heilongjiang’s defensive vulnerabilities, over 2.5 goals looks like a solid shout—especially with the predicted 3:0 scoreline.

Head to Head: What Can We Learn?

The last meeting between these sides on March 16, 2024, ended 1-1. Back then, Chongqing was priced at 1.85 and Heilongjiang at 3.97—much closer than the current odds. That draw was a reminder that football loves a surprise, but the gap has widened since, both on the pitch and in the markets.

Can Heilongjiang Upset the Odds?

Heilongjiang’s recent 0:0 draw with Yunnan Yukun on July 20, 2024, at whopping odds of 8.26, shows that underdogs can sometimes bite back. But lightning rarely strikes twice, and the stats, odds, and expert predictions all point to a Chongqing win this time.

Final Prediction & Betting Advice

1. Best Bet: Home win (1) at 1.24 – Supported by the AI prediction, market value, and League One trends.


2. Over 2.5 goals at 1.74 – With a predicted 3:0 scoreline and strong league goal stats, this is a tempting option.

To sum up, all roads lead to a Chongqing victory in this Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Heilongjiang prediction. While football always keeps us guessing, the numbers—and a dash of common sense—suggest the home side will deliver for punters this weekend.