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Match Prediction

Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire Prediction

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Major League Soccer

Cincinnati

€60.05m

5 Jul19:30
2 : 1

Chicago Fire

€41.95m

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Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire Prediction Major League Soccer

Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire Prediction: MLS Betting Tips, H2H Stats, and Why Goals Are on the Menu

Under the TQL Stadium lights this July 6, 2025, the Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire prediction is less about David vs. Goliath and more about whether David’s slingshot is loaded with fireworks. Cincinnati sits pretty in third with 39 points, while Chicago Fire, clinging to 14th and 28 points, are the league’s resident underdogs. Yet, the odds are tighter than you’d expect—1.91 for the home side and 3.4 for the visitors—which tells us the bookies have seen enough MLS chaos to keep their calculators close. If you’re hunting for MLS predictions that go beyond the table, pull up a chair. This one’s got drama written all over it.

Table Gaps and Underdog Grit: More Than Meets the Eye

Let’s talk about that 11-point chasm. On paper, Cincinnati’s €60.05 million squad looks built to steamroll Chicago’s €41.91 million lineup. But if you’re thinking budgets always decide the drama, remember last July: Chicago snatched a 1-0 win at 7.7 odds. That result still echoes in the H2H stats, a reminder that MLS loves an upset. And don’t forget Chicago’s wild 2-2 draw against NYCFC last August, when they defied odds of 5.65. This is a team that saves its best for the big stage—just enough to make the favorites sweat.

Betting Tips: Why Goals Should Be Your Main Course

Here’s where the Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire prediction gets juicy. NerdyTips is rolling out an 8/10 confidence rating for ‘Over 2.5 goals’ at 1.44 odds, and for good reason. MLS is a league where defense is more of a suggestion—58.1% of games fly past the 2.5-goal mark. Our predicted 3-2 scoreline isn’t just a hunch; it’s math, history, and a dash of MLS mayhem. Expect Cincinnati to fire off 15 shots (six on target) while Chicago answers with 12 (five on target). With the hosts expected to hog 55% of possession, those 8 predicted corners are Cincinnati’s wingers testing Chicago’s deep block, again and again.

Money, Momentum, and the Referee Wildcard

It’s easy to get dazzled by squad values, but MLS betting tips demand more nuance. Yes, Cincinnati’s roster is worth more on Transfermarkt, but Chicago’s recent H2H win proves that money doesn’t always buy points—or peace of mind. And then there’s the referee situation: as of now, no official has been assigned. That’s a curveball that could spice up the night, especially with two yellow cards predicted for each side. If you like your soccer with a side of drama, this one’s got the recipe.

MLS Trends: Home Comforts and Both Teams to Score

Let’s zoom out. League-wide, home teams win 49% of the time, and both teams score in 59% of matches. Cincinnati’s style? Possession-heavy, sure, but sometimes they collect yellow cards like they’re limited-edition stickers. Chicago, meanwhile, are the masters of disruption—never out of a game, even when the odds say otherwise.

  • Predicted corners: 8 total, mostly Cincinnati testing the Fire’s defense.
  • Possession: 55% Cincinnati, 45% Chicago—expect the hosts to dictate tempo.
  • Predicted final score: 3-2, with both keepers earning their paychecks.

Final Word: A Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire Prediction Worth the Hype

So, what’s the play? Bet the mortgage on goals (okay, maybe just your coffee budget), thanks to that 8/10 confidence in the over. But don’t sleep on Chicago’s H2H voodoo—they’ve shocked Cincinnati before, and the MLS script loves a plot twist. For fans and punters alike, this is one of those MLS predictions where the stats, the storylines, and the betting tips all point to a night of high drama and even higher scores. Grab your popcorn, and maybe a stress ball—this one’s going to be a ride.

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire

O2.5 -227

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -227
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 -110

Cincinnati is expected to win with odds of -110
1/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -227

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -227

Both teams are expected to score
6/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -233

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

3:2

Stats Predictions

55%
Ball Possession
45%
15
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Goal
5
4
Shots Off Goal
4
5
Corners
3
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

3
Total Goals
4
1.6
Goals Scored
2.7
1.4
Goals Against
1.3
50%
Possession
48%
14.6
Total Shots
13.5
5.9
Shots on Goal
6
5.2
Shots off Goal
4.5
10.6
Fouls
12.4
5.2
Corners
4.5
1.3
Offsides
1.4
1.7
Yellow Cards
2.5
0
Red Cards
0.25
444
Total Passes
438

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
7
7
Over 1.5 Goals
9
6
Over 2.5 Goals
8
3
Over 3.5 Goals
7
7
Both Teams Scored
7
0
Unexpected Wins
0
1
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Cincinnati
6 - 4 - 4
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 20-Apr-25
2:3
Cincinnati Cincinnati
Cincinnati Cincinnati 18-Jul-24
0:1
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 03-Mar-24
1:2
Cincinnati Cincinnati
Cincinnati Cincinnati 04-Jun-23
1:0
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 19-Mar-23
3:3
Cincinnati Cincinnati
Cincinnati Cincinnati 02-Oct-22
2:3
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 15-May-22
1:2
Cincinnati Cincinnati
Cincinnati Cincinnati 21-Oct-21
3:4
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 24-Jun-21
0:1
Cincinnati Cincinnati
Cincinnati Cincinnati 03-Sep-20
0:0
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire

USA - Major League Soccer USA - Major League Soccer

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2 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati34
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3 Inter Miami Inter Miami34
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4 Charlotte Charlotte34
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59
5 New York City FC New York City 34
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56
6 Nashville SC Nashville SC34
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7 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew34
55-51
54
8 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire34
68-60
53
9 Orlando City SC Orlando City S34
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10 New York Red Bulls New York Red B34
48-47
43
11 New England Revolution New England Re34
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36
12 Toronto FC Toronto FC34
37-44
32
13 CF Montreal CF Montreal34
34-60
28
14 Atlanta United FC Atlanta United34
38-63
28
15 DC United DC United34
30-66
26
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