Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Brazil
Corinthians
€123.25m
Vitoria
€39.70m
Preview
The Serie A calendar brings us an intriguing contest as Corinthians welcome Vitoria to the iconic Neo Química Arena on June 1st, 2025, at 22:30 GMT. This Corinthians vs Vitoria prediction comes with more than just three points at stake—both teams find themselves at pivotal junctures in their seasons, and the venue’s electric atmosphere only adds to the significance. With the betting odds firmly favoring the home side (1.67 for Corinthians, 3.6 for the draw, and 5.5 for Vitoria), punters and fans alike are asking: will the favorites live up to their billing, or could Vitoria spring a surprise?
After 10 rounds, Corinthians sit 8th in the Serie A table with 14 points—a solid, if unspectacular, start. Vitoria, on the other hand, are hovering just above the relegation zone in 17th with 9 points. For Corinthians, this is an opportunity to keep pace with the European spots; for Vitoria, every point is precious in their fight for survival. The Neo Química Arena, famed for its passionate home crowd, provides a formidable setting where Corinthians typically thrive.
The gulf between these teams is stark when you look at squad values: Corinthians boast a robust €123.25m, dwarfing Vitoria’s €39.70m. This financial divide often translates to quality on the pitch, deeper benches, and greater tactical flexibility. Expect Corinthians to control proceedings, leveraging their resources to dictate tempo and possession.
Despite Corinthians’ expected dominance in possession, the shot count is surprisingly close, with Vitoria even edging the on-target stats. This suggests that while Corinthians may monopolize the ball, Vitoria’s counter-attacking threat is very real—something for bettors to keep in mind.
Corners and cards could play an outsized role in a match where both teams are likely to be cautious. Set pieces may provide key openings, especially for Vitoria, who will look to capitalize on limited chances. With discipline expected to be even, a sending-off seems unlikely, but a moment of recklessness could swing the momentum.
Recent Serie A data shows home teams win 41.4% of matches, draws occur 37.6%, and away victories are relatively rare at 21.0%. These trends align neatly with the current betting odds, reinforcing Corinthians’ status as favorites but also highlighting the draw as a live possibility.
Given these goal probabilities—and with our AI’s best bet being under 2.5 goals (confidence 8.0/10, odds 1.62)—a low-scoring encounter is strongly favored. Both sides have struggled for goals recently, and the stats suggest a tight, tactical affair.
Corinthians have picked up 5 wins from their last 10, averaging 1.0 goal scored and conceded per game, with a solid 57.2% possession and 10.6 shots per match. Vitoria’s struggles are clear: just 2 wins, 0.7 goals scored, 1.0 conceded, but an impressive 14 shots per game, hinting at inefficiency rather than lack of intent. This disparity in finishing could be decisive.
Looking at head to head history, the last meeting produced fireworks—a 3-2 win for Corinthians in July 2024. However, both teams have shown they’re capable of springing surprises: Corinthians stunned Palmeiras 1-0 away (at odds of 5.0), while Vitoria held Fluminense to a 1-1 draw (odds 5.8). These results prove that neither side should be underestimated, especially when the pressure is on.
In summary, all the ingredients—league positions, squad values, possession stats, and recent form—suggest a narrow home win in a match where goals will be at a premium. For those seeking value in sports betting, the under 2.5 goals market stands out, while the head to head history hints at the potential for late drama. Our Corinthians vs Vitoria prediction: a disciplined, hard-fought 1:0 win for the hosts.
Read More
U2.5 -161
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -1611-143
Corinthians is expected to win with odds of -149Under 2.5 -161
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -154
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U4.5 -385
Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1:0
|
|
8
-
7
-
2
|
|
 Corinthians |
01-Jun-25
0:0
| Vitoria  |
| Vitoria |
09-Nov-24
1:2
| Corinthians |
| Corinthians |
05-Jul-24
3:2
| Vitoria |
| Vitoria |
21-Oct-18
2:2
| Corinthians |
| Corinthians |
10-Jun-18
0:0
| Vitoria |
| Corinthians |
10-May-18
3:1
| Vitoria |
| Vitoria |
25-Apr-18
0:0
| Corinthians |
| Corinthians |
19-Aug-17
0:1
| Vitoria |
| Vitoria |
21-May-17
0:1
| Corinthians |
| Corinthians |
23-Aug-16
2:1
| Vitoria |
Recent Matches of Corinthians| 09 Nov |
Corinthians.
|
-
| Ceara.
| |
| 05 Nov | L |
Bragantino.
|
2:1
| Corinthians.
|
| 02 Nov | W |
Corinthians.
|
2:0
| Gremio.
|
Recent Matches Of Vitoria| 09 Nov | Vitoria. |
- |
Botafogo RJ. | |
| 05 Nov | W | Vitoria. |
1:0 |
Internaciona. |
| 01 Nov | L |  Cruzeiro. |
3:1 |
Vitoria. |
Brazil - Serie A| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
 Palmeiras |
30 | 55-26 | 65 |
| 2 |
 Flamengo |
31 | 61-18 | 65 |
| 3 |
 Cruzeiro |
32 | 46-22 | 63 |
| 4 |
 Mirassol |
31 | 52-31 | 56 |
| 5 |
 Bahia |
32 | 42-38 | 52 |
| 6 |
 Botafogo |
32 | 44-28 | 51 |
| 7 |
 Fluminense |
31 | 37-37 | 47 |
| 8 |
 Sao Paulo |
32 | 37-35 | 45 |
| 9 |
 Vasco DA Gama |
32 | 49-46 | 42 |
| 10 |
Corinthians |
32 | 35-37 | 42 |
| 11 |
 Atletico-MG |
31 | 30-32 | 40 |
| 12 |
RB Bragantino |
32 | 37-50 | 39 |
| 13 |
Gremio |
32 | 33-41 | 39 |
| 14 |
Ceara |
31 | 29-29 | 38 |
| 15 |
 Internacional |
32 | 35-44 | 36 |
| 16 |
 Vitoria |
32 | 29-47 | 34 |
| 17 |
 Santos |
30 | 31-43 | 33 |
| 18 |
 Juventude |
32 | 26-58 | 29 |
| 19 |
 Fortaleza EC |
30 | 28-45 | 28 |
| 20 |
 Sport Recife |
31 | 22-51 | 17 |
