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Match Prediction

Coritiba vs Paysandu Prediction

Finished
Brazil flag Brazil
Serie B

Coritiba

€17.12m

19 Jul17:30
2 : 5

Paysandu

€10.05m

Preview

Coritiba vs Paysandu Prediction Serie B

Coritiba vs Paysandu Prediction: Can Leaders Hold Off Struggling Visitors?

Welcome to our Coritiba vs Paysandu prediction for the big Série B meeting on July 19, 2025. With Coritiba sitting pretty at the top and Paysandu fighting to escape the relegation zone, this match promises plenty of talking points for fans and punters alike. Let’s break down the head to head, tactics, betting odds, and our AI’s best tips for this intriguing encounter.

Form, Standings, and Recent Context

Coritiba, currently leading the Série B standings, have turned their home ground into a fortress this season. They’ve won six out of seven matches at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira and boast an impressive eleven clean sheets—more than any other team in the league. Their recent run includes wins over CRB, Volta Redonda, and Athletico Paranaense, underlining their consistency and defensive discipline.

Paysandu, meanwhile, are stuck in 18th place and desperately need points to climb out of the relegation zone. Their away form has been shaky, with just one win on the road this season. Recent results have been mixed, including a draw against Avaí and a rare win at Ferroviária, but consistency remains elusive.

Head to Head and Historical Insights

Looking at the head to head record, Coritiba have the upper hand, especially at home. They haven’t lost to Paysandu in their last seven meetings at Couto Pereira. Overall, Coritiba have four wins, Paysandu two, and two draws in recent encounters. Their last meeting, on July 7, 2024, ended 1-1, showing that Paysandu can put up a fight, even if the betting odds usually favor Coritiba.

Tactics, Team News, and Players to Watch

  • Coritiba: Expect a 4-3-3 formation, with a focus on possession and attacking down the flanks. Their defense, led by Mozart, has been rock solid, and the creativity of Lucas Ronier could be the key to unlocking Paysandu’s backline. Striker Caio Matheus, signed earlier in 2025, is one to keep an eye on. Thalisson Gabriel remains a doubt, but otherwise, the squad is healthy.
  • Paysandu: Likely to line up in a conservative 4-4-2 or even a 5-4-1, Paysandu will prioritize defensive solidity and look to hit on the counter. Matheus, their top creator, and Marcelinho, who leads in shots on target, are the danger men. Attacking midfielder Edinho is still sidelined with a knee injury.

Coritiba’s ball control is expected to be dominant (around 63% possession), while Paysandu will need to make the most of their limited chances.

Betting Odds, AI Predictions, and Best Tips

Now, for the numbers that matter to punters. The current betting odds are:

  • Home win (Coritiba): 1.61
  • Draw: 3.5
  • Away win (Paysandu): 6.0

Our AI’s Coritiba vs Paysandu prediction is a home win, with a trust rating of 5.4/10 and odds of 1.61. However, the best tip is under 2.5 total goals, with a confidence of 8.1/10 and odds of 1.53. Why? Both teams have struggled to rack up big scores lately—Coritiba’s defense is watertight, and Paysandu often draw blanks away from home.

  • Predicted final score: 1-0 to Coritiba
  • First half prediction: 0-0
  • Shots: Coritiba 11, Paysandu 9
  • Shots on target: Coritiba 4, Paysandu 3
  • Corners: Coritiba 5, Paysandu 3
  • Yellow cards: 3 each

With Coritiba’s squad valued at €17.12m compared to Paysandu’s €10.05m, the quality gap is clear. But as their last head to head showed, anything can happen—though the odds are stacked against a Paysandu upset.

Key Match Facts for Your Bets

  1. Coritiba have not conceded in six straight matches.
  2. Paysandu have failed to score in five of eight away games.
  3. Coritiba average 1.46 goals at home; Paysandu average 1.04 away.

Final Thoughts and Betting Advice

To sum up our Coritiba vs Paysandu prediction: Expect a tight game with few goals, dominated by the home side’s possession and defensive strength. The best value is on under 2.5 total goals at 1.53, and a home win at 1.61 is also a solid bet. Paysandu will need a miracle to break their away-day blues, but football is full of surprises—just ask anyone who bet on their last draw at America Mineiro!

Stay tuned for team news closer to kickoff, and remember: sometimes the best bet is the one you don’t make—unless it’s under 2.5 goals with this Coritiba defense!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Coritiba vs Paysandu

U2.5 -189

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -189
8/10

1x2 Tip

1 -164

Coritiba is expected to win with odds of -164
5/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -189

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
8/10

Both Teams To Score

No -192

At least one team is not expected to score
7/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U3.5 -227

Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
7/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:0

Stats Predictions

63%
Ball Possession
37%
11
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
3
4
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
3
3
Yellow Cards
3

Average / Match

1.2
Total Goals
1.9
1
Goals Scored
0.7
0.2
Goals Against
1.2
48%
Possession
42%
9.4
Total Shots
13.2
3.5
Shots on Goal
4.5
3.3
Shots off Goal
5.2
11.1
Fouls
13.8
4.7
Corners
5.7
1.8
Offsides
1.8
2.7
Yellow Cards
2.3
0
Red Cards
0
379
Total Passes
297

Overview Last 10 Matches

7
Wins
3
3
Over 1.5 Goals
4
1
Over 2.5 Goals
4
0
Over 3.5 Goals
3
1
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Coritiba
1 - 2 - 1
Paysandu
Paysandu Paysandu 24-Oct-24
2:1
Coritiba Coritiba
Coritiba Coritiba 07-Jul-24
1:1
Paysandu Paysandu
Paysandu Paysandu 27-Oct-18
1:1
Coritiba Coritiba
Coritiba Coritiba 04-Jul-18
2:0
Paysandu Paysandu

Brazil - Serie B Brazil - Serie B

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Coritiba Coritiba37
37-22
65
2 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paran37
52-43
62
3 Criciuma Criciuma37
47-32
61
4 Goias Goias37
41-34
61
5 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc37
51-35
59
6 remo remo37
48-38
59
7 Novorizontino Novorizontino37
40-32
57
8 CRB CRB37
45-37
56
9 Avai Avai37
50-40
55
10 Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goian37
39-37
52
11 Cuiaba Cuiaba37
42-44
51
12 America Mineiro America Mineir37
41-43
46
13 Vila Nova Vila Nova37
38-42
46
14 Operario-PR Operario-PR37
38-43
45
15 Athletic Club Athletic Club37
41-52
41
16 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP37
32-52
41
17 Ferroviária Ferroviária37
42-50
40
18 Amazonas Amazonas37
37-53
36
19 Volta Redonda Volta Redonda37
24-41
35
20 Paysandu Paysandu37
35-50
28
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