Match Prediction
Match Prediction
Brazil
Criciuma
€12.95m
Ferroviaria
€4.10m
Preview
Welcome to your essential Criciuma vs Ferroviaria prediction, where we break down this Serie B survival scrap with stats, stories, and a dash of nerdy wit. With just one point separating 15th-placed Criciuma (17 pts) from 13th-placed Ferroviaria (18 pts) after 15 rounds, this is more than a mid-table meeting—it’s a tactical chess match with real consequences for both sides. Let’s dive into the numbers, the narrative, and the betting tips that matter.
On paper, Criciuma’s €12.95m squad value should dwarf Ferroviaria’s €4.10m and tip the scales heavily in the home team’s favor. Yet, the Serie B table tells a different story: Ferroviaria, with their scrappy underdog energy, sit just above their pricier hosts. It’s a reminder that in Brazil’s second tier, heart and hustle often trump budget sheets.
Expect a siege mentality from Criciuma, who average 57% possession and fire off 19 shots per match (6 on target). Ferroviaria, meanwhile, are masters of counter-attacking pragmatism, holding just 43% possession and managing 3 shots on target. The corner count leans heavily toward the hosts (7 out of 10 predicted), suggesting relentless pressure, while both sides are forecasted to pick up two yellow cards—a sign of a gritty, hard-fought battle.
The home win odds (1.91) align closely with our AI’s 7.2/10 confidence pick (projected at 1.78 odds), making Criciuma the statistical favorite. But Serie B is never that simple. Ferroviaria’s recent 1-2 away win at America Mineiro (at a whopping 5.0 odds) shows they can spring a surprise, while Criciuma’s gritty 0-0 draw at Fluminense (5.8 odds) proves they’re no strangers to defying predictions. When it comes to betting tips, expect the unexpected.
Historical Serie B data keeps things spicy: home teams win 39.7% of matches, but only 31.3% go over 2.5 goals. Both teams score in 38% of games, but our algorithm leans toward a clean sheet for Criciuma. And as for the referee? Even their identity is a mystery, adding another layer of unpredictability to this already tense head to head.
So, for your Criciuma vs Ferroviaria prediction: expect a home siege, a stubborn visitor, and a low-scoring tactical affair. Our AI’s crystal ball sees a 2-0 win for Criciuma, under 2.5 goals, and a match where every corner and card could tip the balance. Will Ferroviaria’s pluckiness trump Criciuma’s firepower? The stats say no—but in Serie B, never say never.
That’s your head to head, stats-driven, and slightly nerdy take on the Criciuma vs Ferroviaria prediction—perfect for fans who love their football with a side of data and drama.
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1 -128
Criciuma is expected to win with odds of -1281 -128
Criciuma is expected to win with odds of -110Under 2.5 -196
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -172
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -192
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
2:0
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Brazil - Serie B| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coritiba | 37 | 37-22 | 65 |
| 2 |
Atletico Paran | 37 | 52-43 | 62 |
| 3 |
Criciuma | 37 | 47-32 | 61 |
| 4 |
Goias | 37 | 41-34 | 61 |
| 5 |
Chapecoense-sc | 37 | 51-35 | 59 |
| 6 |
remo | 37 | 48-38 | 59 |
| 7 |
Novorizontino | 37 | 40-32 | 57 |
| 8 |
CRB | 37 | 45-37 | 56 |
| 9 |
Avai | 37 | 50-40 | 55 |
| 10 |
Atletico Goian | 37 | 39-37 | 52 |
| 11 |
Cuiaba | 37 | 42-44 | 51 |
| 12 |
America Mineir | 37 | 41-43 | 46 |
| 13 |
Vila Nova | 37 | 38-42 | 46 |
| 14 |
Operario-PR | 37 | 38-43 | 45 |
| 15 |
Athletic Club | 37 | 41-52 | 41 |
| 16 |
Botafogo SP | 37 | 32-52 | 41 |
| 17 |
Ferroviária | 37 | 42-50 | 40 |
| 18 |
Amazonas | 37 | 37-53 | 36 |
| 19 |
Volta Redonda | 37 | 24-41 | 35 |
| 20 |
Paysandu | 37 | 35-50 | 28 |
