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Match Prediction

CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa Prediction

Finished
Costa-Rica flag Costa-Rica
Primera División

CS Herediano

€5.99m

14 May22:45
2 : 0

Deportivo

€6.14m

Preview

CS Herediano vs Deportivo Prediction Primera División

CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa Prediction: A Tight Battle Ahead?

When CS Herediano and Deportivo Saprissa meet on May 15, 2025, at Estadio Carlos Alvarado, fans can expect a tense, tactical duel. Our CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa prediction leans toward a low-scoring affair, with the AI at NerdyTips suggesting under 2.5 goals as the smartest bet. But let’s break down why—and what the numbers say about this fiery Costa Rican Primera División rivalry.

Recent Form and Historical Context

These two teams are no strangers to drama. In their last head-to-head meeting on January 26, 2025, Herediano stunned Saprissa with a 3.05 victory, despite being slight underdogs (odds: 2.5 vs 2.7). That result might linger in the minds of both squads, but recent away performances add intrigue:

  • CS Herediano shocked Real Salt Lake 1-2 (odds: 9.64), proving they can grind out wins on the road.
  • Deportivo Saprissa edged Philadelphia Union 2-3 (odds: 6.6), showing similar resilience.

Still, league stats paint a cautious picture. Home teams win 46.3% of Primera División matches, while away victories occur just 26.1% of the time. Draws? They’re lurking at 27.6%. With both teams closely matched in market value (Herediano: €5.99m, Saprissa: €6.14m), this could be a battle of fine margins.

Betting Odds and AI Insights

The bookmakers see this as a toss-up with a slight edge to Herediano:

  • Home win: 2.33
  • Draw: 3.05
  • Away win: 3.05

But NerdyTips’ AI throws a curveball. It recommends X2 (draw or away win) at 1.53 odds, though with modest confidence (2.0/10). Why? Saprissa’s knack for stealing points on the road, combined with Herediano’s occasional inconsistency, makes the double chance appealing.

The Goal Expectation Puzzle

Here’s where it gets interesting. While 51.1% of league games see over 2.5 goals, the AI predicts a tighter match, backing under 2.5 goals at 1.55 odds (trust score: 3.3.050). The projected scoreline? 0-1, echoing Saprissa’s defensive discipline and Herediano’s struggles to convert dominance into goals.

Consider these stats:

  1. Over 1.5 goals land in 75.2% of matches—so expect some action.
  2. But over 3.5 goals? Only 29.0%. High-scoring thrillers aren’t the norm.

Key Takeaways for Bettors

If you’re eyeing betting tips for this fixture, here’s the cheat sheet:

  • Under 2.5 goals feels safer than chasing a goal fest.
  • X2 (draw or Saprissa win) offers value, given the odds and historical trends.
  • Both teams to score? It happens 54.3% of the time—but don’t bank on it here.

Ultimately, this CS Herediano vs Deportivo Saprissa prediction hinges on patience. Whether it’s a gritty 0-0 or a 1-0 squeaker, the stats suggest keeping expectations modest. After all, in a derby this tight, sometimes the smartest bet is the least glamorous one.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Meaningless match!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for CS Herediano vs Deportivo

U2.5 -182

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -182
3/10

1x2 Tip

X2 -189

Deportivo to win or draw
2/10

Total Goals

Under 2.5 -182

No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

No -133

At least one team is not expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&U4.5 -152

Away win/draw and under 4.5 goals
1/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

0:1

Average / Match

2.4
Total Goals
2.4
1.4
Goals Scored
1.9
1
Goals Against
0.5

Overview Last 10 Matches

5
Wins
7
8
Over 1.5 Goals
8
5
Over 2.5 Goals
5
1
Over 3.5 Goals
1
5
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

CS Herediano
28 - 17 - 30
Deportivo Saprissa
CS Herediano CS Herediano 15-May-25
2:0
Deportivo Deportivo Saprissa
Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo 11-May-25
4:0
CS Herediano CS Herediano
Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo 30-Mar-25
1:0
CS Herediano CS Herediano
CS Herediano CS Herediano 26-Jan-25
3:1
Deportivo Deportivo Saprissa
Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo 19-Dec-24
2:0
CS Herediano CS Herediano
CS Herediano CS Herediano 15-Dec-24
3:0
Deportivo Deportivo Saprissa
Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo 29-Sep-24
1:0
CS Herediano CS Herediano
CS Herediano CS Herediano 12-Aug-24
2:0
Deportivo Deportivo Saprissa
Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo 07-Jul-24
1:1
CS Herediano CS Herediano

Profile time Recent Matches of CS Herediano

07 Dec Zeledon Zeledon.
-
Herediano. Herediano

Profile time Recent Matches of Deportivo

06 DecSporting S Sporting S.
-
Saprissa.Saprissa
30 NovWSaprissa Saprissa.
3:1
Liberia.Liberia

Costa-Rica - Primera División Costa-Rica - Primera División

Team Matches Goals Points
1 CS Herediano CS Herediano22
38-18
46
2 LD Alajuelense LD Alajuelense22
28-12
42
3 Puntarenas FC Puntarenas FC22
29-18
41
4 Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Sapr22
30-18
39
5 CS Cartagines CS Cartagines22
29-16
38
6 Sporting San Jose Sporting San J22
25-28
31
7 Municipal Liberia Municipal Libe22
26-26
24
8 Santos DE Guapiles Santos DE Guap22
26-33
24
9 Perez Zeledon Perez Zeledon22
16-28
23
10 San Carlos San Carlos22
16-23
19
11 AD Guanacasteca AD Guanacastec22
12-33
16
12 Santa Ana Santa Ana22
22-44
14
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