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Match Prediction

CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov Prediction

Finished
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Premier League

CSKA Moscow

€83.20m

20 Apr12:30
1 : 1

Krylia Sovetov

€37.90m

Preview

CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov Prediction Premier League

The VEB Arena braces for a classic Russian Premier League encounter as CSKA Moscow host Krylia Sovetov in a match that pits top-four ambition against mid-table resilience. With CSKA sitting comfortably in fourth (47 points) and Krylia hovering in 11th (26 points), the stakes couldn’t be more different—but as recent surprises have shown, this league thrives on unpredictability.

The Odds and the Big Picture

Bookmakers have CSKA Moscow as clear favorites, pricing a home win at 1.71, while Krylia Sovetov’s underdog status is reflected in their 5.32 odds. A draw sits at 3.750, but NerdyTips’ AI leans toward a 2-1 victory for the hosts, with a tense 1-1 halftime deadlock. The numbers tell a familiar story: CSKA’s squad value (€83.2m) more than doubles Krylia’s (€37.9m), and their last meeting ended in a brutal 4-0 rout for the Muscovites. Yet, football isn’t played on spreadsheets.

Recent form adds intrigue. CSKA’s gritty 0-0 draw at Zenit—a result few saw coming—proved they can dig deep against elite opposition. Meanwhile, Krylia’s 1-1 stalemate at Krasnodar showcased their ability to frustrate stronger sides. This isn’t just a mismatch; it’s a test of consistency.

Why Over 1.5 Goals is the Safer Bet

For bettors eyeing value, the ‘Over 1.5 Goals’ market (1.31 odds) stands out. It’s not just about CSKA’s attacking flair—though their 14 shots per game (6 on target) suggest goals are likely—but also Krylia’s tendency to contribute. Across the RPL, 72.8% of matches clear this bar, and with both teams scoring in 50.5% of games, it’s a smarter play than chasing the riskier Over 2.5 (48.6% hit rate).

CSKA’s 62% average possession hints at dominance, but Krylia’s 38% share isn’t passive. They average 11 shots per match (5 on target), often capitalizing on counterattacks. If their defense—which might need a magic wand to contain CSKA’s firepower—cracks early, this could turn into a shootout.

Tactical Threads to Watch

The battle in midfield will shape this game. CSKA’s patient buildup should yield plenty of corners (5 expected), while Krylia’s compact shape will aim to disrupt rhythm. Home teams win 42.7% of RPL matches, and CSKA’s superior quality in the final third could be decisive. But Krylia’s resilience at Krasnodar is a reminder: they won’t roll over.

Key Stats That Tell the Story

• CSKA’s last five home games: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss—but only one clean sheet.
• Krylia’s away record: Just 2 wins in 12, yet they’ve scored in 8 of those.
• Expected corners: 7 total (5 for CSKA), highlighting their attacking intent.

Final Thoughts: Quality vs. Grit

Expect CSKA’s technical superiority to shine through, especially if they convert early chances. But Krylia’s knack for sneaking goals—and CSKA’s occasional defensive lapses—could make this nervier than the odds suggest. A 2-1 home win feels likely, with both teams contributing to the scoreline. For bettors, ‘CSKA Win’ (1.71) and ‘Over 1.5 Goals’ (1.31) offer balanced risk-reward. For fans? Buckle up—this might not be a walk in the park.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

CSKA Moscow no motivation!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for CSKA Moscow vs Krylia Sovetov

O1.5 -323

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -323
5/10

1x2 Tip

1 -141

CSKA Moscow is expected to win with odds of -141
4/10

Total Goals

Over 1.5 -323

At least 2 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -105

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -200

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
4/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

62%
Ball Possession
38%
14
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots Off Goal
3
5
Corners
2

Average / Match

2.4
Total Goals
2.8
1.8
Goals Scored
1.3
0.6
Goals Against
1.5
55%
Possession
48%
14.5
Total Shots
14
6.7
Shots on Goal
6.5
5.2
Shots off Goal
4.7
13.3
Fouls
11.7
5.7
Corners
4
1.4
Offsides
1.4
2.17
Yellow Cards
1.33
0
Red Cards
0.17
440
Total Passes
377

Overview Last 10 Matches

8
Wins
3
7
Over 1.5 Goals
7
5
Over 2.5 Goals
4
2
Over 3.5 Goals
4
5
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

CSKA Moscow
11 - 4 - 2
Krylia Sovetov
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 20-Apr-25
1:1
Krylia S Krylia Sovetov
Krylia Sovetov Krylia S 22-Feb-25
4:2
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
Krylia Sovetov Krylia S 10-Nov-24
1:2
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
Krylia Sovetov Krylia S 08-Mar-24
0:2
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 16-Sep-23
2:2
Krylia S Krylia Sovetov
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 05-Apr-23
1:0
Krylia S Krylia Sovetov
Krylia Sovetov Krylia S 15-Mar-23
2:2
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 12-Mar-23
4:0
Krylia S Krylia Sovetov
Krylia Sovetov Krylia S 04-Sep-22
0:1
CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow

Profile time Recent Matches of CSKA Moscow

07 Dec Krasnodar Krasnodar.
-
CSKA Moscow. CSKA Moscow

Profile time Recent Matches of Krylia S

07 DecBaltika Baltika.
-
Krylia S.Krylia S

Russia - Premier League Russia - Premier League

Team Matches Goals Points
1 FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar30
59-23
67
2 Zenit Zenit30
58-18
66
3 CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow30
47-21
59
4 Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow30
56-25
57
5 Dynamo Dynamo30
61-35
56
6 Lokomotiv Lokomotiv30
51-41
53
7 Rubin Rubin30
42-45
45
8 FC Rostov FC Rostov30
41-43
39
9 Akron Akron30
39-55
35
10 Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov30
36-51
31
11 Makhachkala Makhachkala30
27-35
29
12 Khimki Khimki30
35-56
29
13 Nizhny Novgorod Nizhny Novgoro30
27-54
27
14 Akhmat Akhmat30
27-48
25
15 FC Orenburg FC Orenburg30
28-56
19
16 Fakel Fakel30
14-42
18
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