Cultural Santa Rosa vs UTC Prediction

Cultural Santa Rosa vs UTC Prediction: Stats, Odds and Smart Bets for Estadio Los Chankas

Welcome to your essential Cultural Santa Rosa vs UTC prediction for the upcoming Primera División match on 2025-05-11 at 19:00 GMT. As always, the NerdyTips team is here to break down the numbers, sprinkle in a touch of wit, and help you make sense of the latest betting odds, head to head history, and total goals forecasts. Whether you’re a seasoned punter or just love the beautiful game, let’s dive into what makes this fixture at Estadio Los Chankas so intriguing.

Betting Odds and Market Insights

Let’s kick off with the numbers that matter most to betting enthusiasts. The bookmakers have set the stage with the following odds:

• Home win (Cultural Santa Rosa): 1.95


• Draw: 3.3


• Away win (UTC): 3.6

With home advantage seemingly baked into the odds, Santa Rosa are slight favorites, but not by a landslide. The draw is a tempting prospect, especially when you consider that 37.9% of Primera División Peru matches end all square. UTC, meanwhile, are given a puncher’s chance at 3.6, reflecting both their underdog status and the league’s relatively low away win rate of 19.7%.

Head to Head: Recent Encounters and Surprises

The last time these two sides met (2024-09-19), it finished 1-1—a result that would have delighted draw backers given Santa Rosa’s short odds (1.68) and UTC’s outsider status (4.2). Both teams have shown a knack for defying expectations lately: Santa Rosa held Universitario to a goalless draw (2024-11-03, Universitario odds 1.39), while UTC snatched a 1-1 away draw at Cusco (2025-03-01, UTC odds 6.0). If you’re looking for evidence that either side can frustrate the favorites, look no further.

Expected Match Stats: Possession, Shots, and Discipline

Our AI expects a balanced affair, with Cultural Santa Rosa edging possession at 55% versus UTC’s 45%. Both sides are forecast to rack up a healthy number of shots—13 for the home team (4 on target), 12 for the visitors (3 on target). Corners should be close as well, with Santa Rosa expected to earn 4 and UTC 3. Discipline? Both teams are predicted to pick up 2 yellow cards apiece. In other words, expect a competitive and lively contest.

Squad Value Snapshot

• Cultural Santa Rosa squad value: €5.32m


• UTC squad value: €5.70m

The teams are closely matched in terms of market value, which only adds to the sense of unpredictability.

Total Goals and Best Bets

If you’re eyeing the total goals market, here’s what the stats say:

• Over 1.5 goals occurs in 63.1% of Primera División matches


• Over 2.5 goals in 42.3%


• Over 3.5 goals in 24.5%


• Both teams score in 43.7% of games

Our AI’s predicted final score? A lively 2:2, with a 1:1 half-time split. That aligns nicely with the historical draw rate and the frequency of both teams scoring. The most valuable bet, according to our data, is over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.29 (trust score 3.7/10)—not the highest confidence, but well supported by league averages.

1X2 Market Prediction and Confidence

For those who like to keep things simple, the 1x2 market prediction is 1X (home win or draw) at odds of 1.25 (confidence 2.0). This reflects both the home team’s edge and the league’s tendency toward draws, especially when teams are so evenly matched in squad value and recent form.

Summary: Cultural Santa Rosa vs UTC Prediction

To wrap up this Cultural Santa Rosa vs UTC prediction:

1. Expect a tight, competitive match with both teams likely to find the net.


2. The draw is a real possibility, supported by both recent head to head results and league trends.


3. Over 1.5 total goals is the standout bet, with a predicted 2:2 final score and 1:1 at half-time.


4. Home advantage is real, but UTC have shown they can surprise on the road.

As always, bet responsibly and enjoy the action from Estadio Los Chankas. This fixture promises drama, goals, and perhaps a few surprises—the perfect recipe for a memorable night of Peruvian football!