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Match Prediction

Dallas vs New York City Prediction

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Major League Soccer

Dallas

€35.28m

25 Jul20:30
3 : 4

New York City

€39.08m

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Dallas vs New York City Prediction Major League Soccer

Dallas vs New York City Prediction: Odds, Form & Expert Tips

If you’re looking for a down-to-earth Dallas vs New York City prediction, you’ve come to the right place. On July 26, 2025, at 01:30 GMT, FC Dallas welcomes New York City FC to Toyota Stadium for a Major League Soccer matchup that promises goals, drama, and maybe a few surprises. We’ll break down the latest team news, tactics, head to head stats, and betting odds, before diving into our expert predictions for this much-anticipated meeting.

Recent Form, Head to Head & Team News

Let’s start with the basics: New York City FC and FC Dallas haven’t exactly been best friends on the pitch. In fact, Dallas fans might want to look away when it comes to recent head to head results. Since September 2015, New York City has been unbeaten in their last seven MLS meetings with Dallas. Out of eight matches since 2015, NYCFC has taken three wins, Dallas just one, and four have ended all square.

  • Last H2H result: July 14, 2022 – FC Dallas 0, New York City FC 1
  • NYCFC unbeaten in last 7 vs Dallas
  • Draws: 4 of last 8 meetings

FC Dallas: New Faces, New Tactics, Same Old Injury Woes

The 2025 season is a fresh start for Dallas under new head coach Eric Quill. He’s brought in a revamped staff and a bold, risk-taking attacking style. The front office was busy too, with 2023 MLS MVP Luciano “Lucho” Acosta arriving to add some magic, alongside experienced heads like Lalas Abubakar and Ramiro Benetti. However, the departures of Jesus Ferreira and Paul Arriola (both to Seattle) and Alan Velasco (to Boca Juniors) mean the squad has a new look.

  • Recent form: 1 win, 1 draw, 4 losses in last 6
  • Home struggles: Only 18% win rate at Toyota Stadium in 2025
  • Injuries: Geovane Jesus, Herbert Endeley, Enzo Newman (all season-ending); Paxton Pomykal, Nolan Norris, Anderson Julio, Osaze Urhoghide also out
  • Ramiro Benetti could return to the bench after injury
  • Style: Attacking, high-risk football with an eye on fitness and injury prevention

New York City FC: New Coach, Same Ambition

NYCFC also has a new man at the helm in Pascal Jansen, who’s all about aggressive, entertaining football. He’s focused on accountability and mental strength, aiming to build a team that’s tough to break down and quick to attack. The squad has seen some changes, with options exercised on key players like Thiago Andrade and Luis Barraza, keeping the core intact.

  • Market value: €39.08m (NYCFC) vs €35.28m (Dallas)
  • Recent away form: Drew 2-2 at Inter Miami in February 2025
  • Style: High pressing, control in midfield, and quick transitions

Betting Odds & What the Bookies Say

The betting odds for this match are tight, reflecting the unpredictable nature of these two sides. Here’s how things stand:

  • Home win (Dallas): 2.49
  • Draw: 3.5
  • Away win (NYCFC): 2.7
  • Over 2.5 total goals: 1.65

With both teams favoring attacking football and a history of open games, the over 2.5 total goals market is attracting a lot of attention.

Expert Predictions & AI Insights

Now, let’s get to the heart of our Dallas vs New York City prediction. Our AI system gives the over 2.5 total goals bet a confidence of 5.1 out of 10, with odds at 1.65. That’s a gentle nudge towards expecting at least three goals in this one—hardly a shock given both teams’ attacking intent and recent defensive issues.

  • AI best tip: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.65, trust 5.1/10)
  • Best 1x2 bet: Away win (NYCFC) at 2.7 (trust 2.7/10)
  • Final score prediction: Dallas 1-2 New York City
  • Half-time prediction: 0-1 NYCFC
  • Possession forecast: Dallas 42%, NYCFC 58%
  • Shots: 13 each, with Dallas expected to have 5 on target and NYCFC 4
  • Corners: 3 for Dallas, 4 for NYCFC
  • Yellow cards: 2 each

In plain English: our AI expects New York City to control the ball, edge the shot count, and just about sneak the win. Dallas’s home struggles and injury list don’t help their cause, but with both teams’ attacking setups, goals look likely.

Summary & Final Dallas vs New York City Prediction

  1. NYCFC has the historical edge and a more settled squad
  2. Dallas is in transition, with a new coach, new stars, and too many injuries
  3. Both teams like to attack, so expect an open game with chances at both ends
  4. Our top tip: Over 2.5 total goals
  5. Best 1x2 bet: Away win for New York City FC
  6. Predicted score: Dallas 1-2 New York City FC

So, for those looking for a Dallas vs New York City prediction with a bit of logic and a dash of football fan intuition, we’re backing goals and a narrow NYCFC victory. Of course, football has a habit of making fools of us all—so enjoy the game, and may your bets be as lucky as a last-minute winner!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Dallas vs New York City

O2.5 -154

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -154
5/10

1x2 Tip

2 170

New York City is expected to win with odds of 170
2/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -154

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
5/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -189

Both teams are expected to score
3/10

Bet Builder Tip

X2&O1.5 -137

Away win/draw and over 1.5 goals
2/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

1:2

Stats Predictions

42%
Ball Possession
58%
13
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots Off Goal
4
3
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

0.46
Expected Goals
0.16
3.6
Total Goals
2.9
1.7
Goals Scored
1.7
1.9
Goals Against
1.2
39%
Possession
57%
11.9
Total Shots
13.6
5.1
Shots on Goal
4.4
4.6
Shots off Goal
4.9
12.7
Fouls
9.8
3.2
Corners
5.1
1.9
Offsides
1.4
2.1
Yellow Cards
2.13
0.3
Red Cards
0
349
Total Passes
518

Overview Last 10 Matches

2
Wins
5
8
Over 1.5 Goals
9
7
Over 2.5 Goals
6
5
Over 3.5 Goals
4
6
Both Teams Scored
5
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Dallas
1 - 4 - 3
New York City
New York City New Y 23-Apr-23
3:1
FC Dallas Dallas
Dallas FC Dallas 14-Jul-22
0:1
New Y New York City
New York City New Y 15-Sep-21
3:3
FC Dallas Dallas
Dallas FC Dallas 22-Sep-19
1:1
New Y New York City
New York City New Y 29-Apr-18
3:1
FC Dallas Dallas
Dallas FC Dallas 15-May-17
1:1
New Y New York City
New York City New Y 18-Sep-16
2:2
FC Dallas Dallas
Dallas FC Dallas 13-Sep-15
2:1
New Y New York City
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