Deportivo Morón and San Telmo face off at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano on March 15, 2025, in what promises to be a tightly contested Primera Nacional encounter. With home teams winning 41.6% of matches in this league and away sides only securing victory 22.5% of the time, the odds certainly lean in favor of the hosts.
Deportivo Morón and San Telmo face off at Estadio Nuevo Francisco Urbano on March 15, 2025, in what promises to be a tightly contested Primera Nacional encounter. With home teams winning 41.6% of matches in this league and away sides only securing victory 22.5% of the time, the odds certainly lean in favor of the hosts.

Deportivo Morón enters as the favorite with odds of 1.79, while San Telmo sits as the underdog at 5.1. A draw is priced at 3.06, reflecting the league’s 35.9% draw rate. However, the real value in this match might lie in the goal market.

Our AI-driven analysis strongly favors under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.36, with a trust rating of 7.7/10. This prediction aligns with historical trends, as only 30.9% of Primera Nacional matches exceed 2.5 goals. Additionally, just 39.0% of games see both teams scoring, suggesting a low-scoring affair.

The last head-to-head meeting on March 3, 2024, saw San Telmo edge out a 2-1 victory, but such goal-heavy encounters are rare in this league. Deportivo Morón, boasting a squad valued at €2.61 million compared to San Telmo’s €970,000, has the stronger roster on paper. However, both teams have pulled off surprise away wins in recent months, proving they can defy expectations.

Our 1X2 prediction leans toward a home win (1) with a trust level of 2.3, but the real confidence lies in a 1-0 scoreline, which is also our expected halftime result. If you’re looking for a safe bet, under 2.5 goals is the way to go.

With history, stats, and AI all pointing toward a low-scoring game, expect a cagey battle where defenses take center stage. Will Deportivo Morón grind out a narrow win, or can San Telmo pull off another upset? Either way, don’t expect a goal fest!