Dortmund
€436.40m
Borussia M
€147.40m
The Bundesliga serves up a tantalizing mid-table tussle this weekend as Borussia Dortmund host Borussia Mönchengladbach at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK. With just two points separating the sides—Dortmund (8th, 42 pts) chasing Gladbach (7th, 44 pts)—this isn’t just a battle for bragging rights, but a chance to climb into the European conversation. The bookmakers aren’t shy about their leanings: Dortmund are heavy favorites at 1.40, while Gladbach’s underdog status is reflected in their 6.50 odds. But as any Bundesliga fan knows, the Borussias rarely follow the script.
Dortmund’s squad, valued at a staggering €436m, towers over Gladbach’s €147m roster—a gap that hints at the gulf in individual quality. Yet, football isn’t played on spreadsheets. Gladbach’s recent 2-1 upset away at Stuttgart (5.0 odds) proved they can punch above their weight, while Dortmund’s gritty 2-2 draw at Bayern (5.75 odds) showed their resilience. The reverse fixture last November was a wild 4-2 Dortmund win, and if history repeats itself, we’re in for fireworks.
NerdyTips’ prediction model has slapped a 10/10 confidence rating on a Dortmund home win, and the stats paint a vivid picture: 67% possession, 18 shots (6 on target), and a predicted 3-1 scoreline. Gladbach, meanwhile, are forecasted to manage just 33% possession and 2 shots on target—numbers that suggest they’ll spend much of the afternoon chasing shadows. Their predicted 2 yellow cards? Call it the frustration tax.
Bundesliga trends scream goals. With 60.6% of matches featuring over 2.5 goals this season, the AI’s top pick of Over 2.5 at 1.36 odds feels like stealing. Dortmund’s home aggression (7 corners predicted) could turn Gladbach’s box into a pinball machine, while their 18-shot average hints at relentless pressure. Gladbach’s 31.1% away-win history is romantic, but logic points to Dortmund’s firepower.
Football isn’t just algorithms. Gladbach’s knack for surprises—like their Stuttgart heist—keeps this interesting. But Dortmund at SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, with their squad depth and attacking swagger, are a different beast. The AI’s 3-1 prediction feels plausible, but don’t be shocked if Gladbach nicks a goal early to make it nervy. Either way, the over is the smart play—because when these two meet, the net rarely stays still.
So, will Dortmund close the gap? Or will Gladbach defy the odds again? One thing’s certain: this Borussia battle will be anything but boring.
1 -250
Dortmund is expected to win with odds of -2501 -250
Dortmund is expected to win with odds of -250Over 2.5 -278
At least 3 goals will be scored in the matchYes -185
Both teams are expected to score1X&O2.5 -182
Home win/draw and over 2.5 goals
1:0
3:1
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22
-
3
-
7
|
![]() |
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20-Apr-25
3:2
|
Borussia M ![]() |
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07-Dec-24
1:1
|
Dortmund ![]() |
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13-Apr-24
1:2
|
Dortmund ![]() |
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25-Nov-23
4:2
|
Borussia M ![]() |
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13-May-23
5:2
|
Borussia M ![]() |
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11-Nov-22
4:2
|
Dortmund ![]() |
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20-Feb-22
6:0
|
Borussia M ![]() |
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25-Sep-21
1:0
|
Dortmund ![]() |
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02-Mar-21
0:1
|
Dortmund ![]() |
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22-Jan-21
4:2
|
Dortmund ![]() |
15 Apr | W |
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3:1
| Barcelona.
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15 Apr |
![]()
1 3.85
X 4
2 1.83
|
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12 Apr | D |
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2:2
| Dortmund .
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12 Apr |
![]()
1 1.49
X 5
2 5.75
|
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09 Apr | L |
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4:0
| Dortmund .
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09 Apr |
![]()
1 1.37
X 5.1
2 7.29
|
||||
05 Apr | W |
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1:4
| Dortmund .
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05 Apr |
![]()
1 3.25
X 3.54
2 2.2
|
||||
30 Mar | W |
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3:1
| FSV Mainz.
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30 Mar |
![]()
1 1.62
X 4.2
2 5
|
||||
15 Mar | L |
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2:0
| Dortmund .
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15 Mar |
![]()
1 2.63
X 3.5
2 2.6
|
||||
12 Mar | W |
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1:2
| Dortmund .
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12 Mar |
![]()
1 2.7
X 3.5
2 2.5
|
||||
08 Mar | L |
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0:1
| FC Augsbu.
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08 Mar |
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1 1.53
X 4.3
2 6.14
|
||||
04 Mar | D |
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1:1
| Lille.
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04 Mar |
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1 1.74
X 3.8
2 4.69
|
||||
01 Mar | W |
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0:2
| Dortmund .
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01 Mar |
![]()
1 4.2
X 3.65
2 1.85
|
12 Apr | L | ![]() |
1:2
|
SC Freibu.![]() |
|
12 Apr |
![]()
1 2.12
X 3.6
2 3.34
|
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06 Apr | D | ![]() |
1:1
|
Borussia .![]() |
|
06 Apr |
![]()
1 2.25
X 3.45
2 3.1
|
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29 Mar | W | ![]() |
1:0
|
RB Leipzi.![]() |
|
29 Mar |
![]()
1 2.88
X 3.6
2 2.25
|
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15 Mar | W | ![]() |
2:4
|
M'gladbac.![]() |
|
15 Mar |
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1 2.35
X 3.6
2 2.8
|
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07 Mar | L | ![]() |
1:3
|
Mainz .![]() |
|
07 Mar |
![]()
1 2.75
X 3.35
2 2.6
|
||||
01 Mar | W | ![]() |
0:3
|
M'gladbac.![]() |
|
01 Mar |
![]()
1 2.88
X 3.55
2 2.35
|
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22 Feb | L | ![]() |
0:3
|
FC Augsbu.![]() |
|
22 Feb |
![]()
1 1.91
X 3.7
2 4
|
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15 Feb | W | ![]() |
1:2
|
M'gladbac.![]() |
|
15 Feb |
![]()
1 2.15
X 3.5
2 3.25
|
||||
08 Feb | D | ![]() |
1:1
|
Frankfurt.![]() |
|
08 Feb |
![]()
1 2.55
X 3.6
2 2.65
|
||||
01 Feb | W | ![]() |
1:2
|
M'gladbac.![]() |
|
01 Feb |
![]()
1 1.62
X 4.35
2 5
|
Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
---|---|---|---|---|
1 |
![]() |
30 |
87-29 |
72 |
2 |
![]() |
30 |
64-35 |
64 |
3 |
![]() |
30 |
58-42 |
52 |
4 |
![]() |
30 |
48-38 |
49 |
5 |
![]() |
30 |
43-47 |
48 |
6 |
![]() |
30 |
48-36 |
47 |
7 |
![]() |
30 |
57-47 |
45 |
8 |
![]() |
30 |
48-54 |
45 |
9 |
![]() |
30 |
48-46 |
44 |
10 |
![]() |
30 |
33-40 |
43 |
11 |
![]() |
30 |
56-50 |
41 |
12 |
![]() |
30 |
53-47 |
39 |
13 |
![]() |
30 |
30-44 |
35 |
14 |
![]() |
30 |
26-36 |
30 |
15 |
![]() |
30 |
38-55 |
30 |
16 |
![]() |
30 |
32-60 |
22 |
17 |
![]() |
30 |
29-62 |
20 |
18 |
![]() |
30 |
41-71 |
19 |