Dynamo Kyiv
€81.90m
Obolon'-Brovar
-
Preview
On April 18, 2025, at 16:00 GMT, the Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi will host a matchup that epitomizes the extremes of the Ukrainian Premier League. League leaders Dynamo Kyiv, sitting comfortably at the top with 60 points, welcome struggling Obolon-Brovar, who are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone with just 24 points. The 36-point gap between these two tells its own story, but as any football fan knows, the game isn’t played on paper.
The numbers paint a clear picture of what to expect. Dynamo Kyiv averages 65% possession per game, dictating play like a conductor leading an orchestra. They fire off 12 shots per match, with 3 testing the goalkeeper. Obolon, on the other hand, scrapes by with 35% possession and a meager 1 shot on target per game. If this were a boxing match, the referee might be tempted to stop it early.
Yet, football has a funny way of defying logic. Dynamo’s recent 3-3 draw against Galatasaray as heavy favorites (odds 12.0) serves as a reminder that even giants stumble. Obolon, despite their underdog status, ground out a 0-0 draw against Polessya in a game where Dynamo were 1.72 favorites. Surprises happen—just not always when you expect them.
The bookmakers aren’t hiding their expectations. A Dynamo Kyiv win is priced at a measly 1.2, while a draw sits at 6.0. An Obolon victory? A laughably distant 12.74. Those odds reflect the chasm between these teams, but they also offer little value for casual punters. So where’s the smart money?
Our algorithm leans cautiously toward a Dynamo win (1.2 at 1.2), but with only 4.2/10 confidence. Why the hesitation? Because football isn’t played by robots. The more intriguing bet is under 3.5 goals at 1.49 odds, with a 4.9/10 confidence rating. Only 23.2% of league games exceed 3.5 goals, and Obolon’s 'park-the-bus' approach won’t help.
History suggests a 2-0 victory for Dynamo Kyiv, mirroring their 2-0 win in December’s H2H meeting. The league’s 45.4% over-2.5-goals rate hints at a game that might not be a thriller, but Dynamo’s corner dominance (4 per game vs. Obolon’s 3) could tip the scales. Expect a 1-0 halftime lead, with the hosts adding a second to kill the game late.
While Obolon’s grit can’t be ignored, this is a mismatch in every sense. Home wins occur 41.5% of the time in the Ukrainian Premier League, and Dynamo’s quality should shine through. Keep an eye on 7 total corners and 2 yellow cards (likely split 1-1), but don’t expect fireworks. The 70.4% over-1.5-goals stat suggests at least some action, but this won’t be a classic.
In the end, the Dynamo Kyiv vs Obolon-Brovar prediction boils down to this: trust the favorites, but don’t expect a rout. Sometimes, the obvious bet is the right one.
On April 18, 2025, at 16:00 GMT, the Stadion Dynamo im. Valeriy Lobanovskyi will host a matchup that epitomizes the extremes of the Ukrainian Premier League. League leaders Dynamo Kyiv, sitting comfortably at the top with 60 points, welcome struggling Obolon-Brovar, who are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone with just 24 points. The 36-point gap between these two tells its own story, but as any football fan knows, the game isn’t played on paper.
The numbers paint a clear picture of what to expect. Dynamo Kyiv averages 65% possession per game, dictating play like a conductor leading an orchestra. They fire off 12 shots per match, with 3 testing the goalkeeper. Obolon, on the other hand, scrapes by with 35% possession and a meager 1 shot on target per game. If this were a boxing match, the referee might be tempted to stop it early.
Yet, football has a funny way of defying logic. Dynamo’s recent 3-3 draw against Galatasaray as heavy favorites (odds 12.0) serves as a reminder that even giants stumble. Obolon, despite their underdog status, ground out a 0-0 draw against Polessya in a game where Dynamo were 1.72 favorites. Surprises happen—just not always when you expect them.
The bookmakers aren’t hiding their expectations. A Dynamo Kyiv win is priced at a measly 1.2, while a draw sits at 6.0. An Obolon victory? A laughably distant 12.74. Those odds reflect the chasm between these teams, but they also offer little value for casual punters. So where’s the smart money?
Our algorithm leans cautiously toward a Dynamo win (1.2 at 1.2), but with only 4.2/10 confidence. Why the hesitation? Because football isn’t played by robots. The more intriguing bet is under 3.5 goals at 1.49 odds, with a 4.9/10 confidence rating. Only 23.2% of league games exceed 3.5 goals, and Obolon’s 'park-the-bus' approach won’t help.
History suggests a 2-0 victory for Dynamo Kyiv, mirroring their 2-0 win in December’s H2H meeting. The league’s 45.4% over-2.5-goals rate hints at a game that might not be a thriller, but Dynamo’s corner dominance (4 per game vs. Obolon’s 3) could tip the scales. Expect a 1-0 halftime lead, with the hosts adding a second to kill the game late.
While Obolon’s grit can’t be ignored, this is a mismatch in every sense. Home wins occur 41.5% of the time in the Ukrainian Premier League, and Dynamo’s quality should shine through. Keep an eye on 7 total corners and 2 yellow cards (likely split 1-1), but don’t expect fireworks. The 70.4% over-1.5-goals stat suggests at least some action, but this won’t be a classic.
In the end, the Dynamo Kyiv vs Obolon-Brovar prediction boils down to this: trust the favorites, but don’t expect a rout. Sometimes, the obvious bet is the right one.
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Derby match
U3.5 -204
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2041-500
Dynamo Kyiv is expected to win with odds of -500Under 3.5 -204
No more than 3 goals will be scored in the matchNo -189
At least one team is not expected to score
2:0
|
6
-
0
-
1
|
|
Dynamo Kyiv |
18-Apr-25
3:0
| Obolon'-B ![]() |
Obolon'-B |
19-Oct-24
1:5
| Dynamo Kyiv ![]() |
Dynamo Kyiv |
11-Dec-23
2:0
| Obolon'-B ![]() |
Obolon'-B |
27-Sep-23
1:0
| Dynamo Kyiv ![]() |
Obolon'-B |
04-Aug-23
2:4
| Dynamo Kyiv ![]() |
Dynamo Kyiv |
27-Oct-15
5:0
| Obolon'-B ![]() |
| 09 Nov | L |
Dyn. Kyiv.
|
0:1
| LNZ Cherkasy.
|
| 06 Nov | W |
Dyn. Kyiv.
|
6:0
| Zrinjski.
|
| 07 Nov | W | Epitsentr. |
1:2 |
Obolon.![]() |
Ukraine - Premier League| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Dynamo Kyiv |
30 | 61-19 | 70 |
| 2 |
Oleksandria |
30 | 46-22 | 67 |
| 3 |
Shakhtar Donet |
30 | 69-26 | 62 |
| 4 |
Polessya |
30 | 38-28 | 48 |
| 5 |
Kryvbas KR |
30 | 34-26 | 47 |
| 6 |
Karpaty |
30 | 42-36 | 46 |
| 7 |
Zorya Luhansk |
30 | 34-39 | 40 |
| 8 |
Ruh Lviv |
30 | 30-27 | 38 |
| 9 |
Veres Rivne |
30 | 33-44 | 36 |
| 10 |
Kolos Kovalivk |
30 | 27-25 | 36 |
| 11 |
Obolon'-Brovar |
30 | 19-43 | 32 |
| 12 |
LNZ Cherkasy |
30 | 25-37 | 31 |
| 13 |
Vorskla Poltav |
30 | 24-38 | 27 |
| 14 |
Livyi Bereh |
30 | 18-39 | 26 |
| 15 |
Inhulets |
30 | 21-47 | 24 |
| 16 |
Chornomorets |
30 | 20-45 | 23 |