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Match Prediction

El Nacional vs Manta FC Prediction

Finished
Ecuador flag Ecuador
Liga Pro

El Nacional

€5.25m

6 Jul16:30
1 : 0

Manta FC

€7.61m

Preview

El Nacional vs Manta FC Prediction Liga Pro

El Nacional vs Manta FC Prediction: A Tight Battle in Liga Pro

When El Nacional vs Manta FC prediction comes up, the numbers tell a story of two teams neck-and-neck in the Liga Pro standings. After 18 matches, both sides sit on 20 points—El Nacional in 11th, Manta FC in 12th—separated only by goal difference. This Sunday, July 6th, at 21:30 GMT, the historic Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa will host what promises to be a tense, tactical duel. With home advantage, El Nacional are slight favorites, but Manta FC’s recent giant-killing form suggests this could be anyone’s game.

The Stakes: Mid-Table Drama

Neither team is fighting for the title, but pride and momentum are on the line. A win here could propel either side into the top half of the table, while a loss might drag them closer to the relegation scrap. The atmosphere at the Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, known for its passionate crowds, will add extra spice to this mid-table clash.

Betting Odds and Recent Form

The betting odds favor El Nacional, with a home win priced at 1.81, a draw at 3.6, and an away win for Manta FC at 4.05. These numbers align with Liga Pro trends:

  • Home teams win 39.6% of the time.
  • Draws happen in 36.9% of matches.
  • Away victories are rarer at 23.5%.
Recent form adds intrigue: Manta FC stunned Barcelona SC 2:1 as huge underdogs (odds 8.75), while El Nacional held LDU de Quito to a 2:2 draw (odds 6.0). Both teams have shown they can punch above their weight.

AI Predictions and Key Stats

NerdyTips’ AI crunched the numbers and suggests:

  • Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.36, trust 3.6/10).
  • A home win (confidence 1.4, odds 1.81).
  • Predicted score: 2:1, with a 1:1 halftime deadlock.
This makes sense when you look at Liga Pro’s scoring trends:
  • Only 22.8% of matches see over 3.5 goals.
  • 64.0% go over 1.5 goals.
  • 42.2% surpass 2.5 goals.
In other words, expect a competitive but not goal-heavy affair.

Head-to-Head and Tactical Breakdown

The head to head stats and projected match metrics hint at how this might unfold:

  • Possession: El Nacional (56%) should dominate the ball vs Manta FC (44%).
  • Shots: 15 expected for El Nacional vs 8 for Manta FC.
  • Shots on target: 4 vs 2 in favor of the hosts.
Manta FC, however, are no pushovers. Their squad value (€7.61m) actually tops El Nacional’s (€5.25m), suggesting better depth. Set-pieces and discipline could also play a role:
  • 6 total corners (4 for El Nacional, 2 for Manta FC).
  • 2 yellow cards each—indicating a balanced, physical contest.

Final Thoughts: Who Comes Out on Top?

For sports betting enthusiasts, this is a tricky one. El Nacional’s home edge and attacking intent make them favorites, but Manta FC’s recent upset wins prove they thrive as underdogs. The AI’s lean toward a 2:1 home win feels plausible, but don’t rule out a draw—or even a smash-and-grab away victory.

Remember, football’s magic lies in its unpredictability. Whether you’re backing the stats or trusting your gut, this El Nacional vs Manta FC prediction promises drama. Keep an eye on those under 3.5 goals, and enjoy the ride!

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AI Predictions
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Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for El Nacional vs Manta FC

U3.5 -278

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -278
3/10

1x2 Tip

1 -123

El Nacional is expected to win with odds of -123
1/10

Total Goals

Under 3.5 -278

No more than 3 goals will be scored in the match
3/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -141

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&U4.5 -238

Home win/draw and under 4.5 goals
3/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

56%
Ball Possession
44%
15
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Goal
2
7
Shots Off Goal
3
4
Corners
2
2
Yellow Cards
2

Average / Match

3
Total Goals
2.4
1.4
Goals Scored
1
1.6
Goals Against
1.4
47%
Possession
48%
12.6
Total Shots
9.1
4.1
Shots on Goal
2.7
5.7
Shots off Goal
4
12.4
Fouls
11.8
3.4
Corners
3.1
1.6
Offsides
0.3
2.56
Yellow Cards
2.7
0.3
Red Cards
0.1
288
Total Passes
312

Overview Last 10 Matches

4
Wins
2
8
Over 1.5 Goals
9
6
Over 2.5 Goals
4
4
Over 3.5 Goals
2
6
Both Teams Scored
6
0
Unexpected Wins
1
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

El Nacional
5 - 2 - 4
Manta FC
Manta FC Manta FC 08-Mar-25
4:3
El Nacional El Nacional
Manta FC Manta FC 05-Oct-22
0:1
El Nacional El Nacional
El Nacional El Nacional 28-Aug-22
1:0
Manta FC Manta FC
Manta FC Manta FC 09-Jun-22
0:1
El Nacional El Nacional
El Nacional El Nacional 13-Apr-22
1:0
Manta FC Manta FC
El Nacional El Nacional 13-Apr-14
1:2
Manta FC Manta FC
Manta FC Manta FC 22-Mar-14
1:0
El Nacional El Nacional
El Nacional El Nacional 12-May-13
2:1
Manta FC Manta FC
Manta FC Manta FC 09-Mar-13
4:0
El Nacional El Nacional
El Nacional El Nacional 19-May-12
1:1
Manta FC Manta FC

Profile time Recent Matches of El Nacional

07 Dec EL Nacional EL Nacional.
-
Aucas. Aucas

Profile time Recent Matches of Manta FC

Ecuador - Liga Pro Ecuador - Liga Pro

Team Matches Goals Points
1 Independiente del Valle Independiente 30
55-23
64
2 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC30
46-33
54
3 LDU de Quito LDU de Quito30
48-31
51
4 Universidad Catolica Universidad Ca30
58-39
49
5 Orense SC Orense SC30
34-32
47
6 Libertad Libertad30
42-36
46
7 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuen30
35-29
46
8 Emelec Emelec30
30-34
42
9 Aucas Aucas30
38-41
41
10 Macara Macara30
32-30
38
11 El Nacional El Nacional30
32-46
34
12 Delfin SC Delfin SC30
26-42
31
13 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Univer30
26-46
28
14 Cuniburo Cuniburo30
34-43
27
15 Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC30
38-50
27
16 Manta FC Manta FC30
34-53
26
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