Envigado
€6.28m
Fortaleza FC
€5.90m
Preview
When Envigado vs Fortaleza FC meet at Estadio Polideportivo Sur on July 12, it won’t be a glamorous duel—but it might just be one of the most intriguing battles of the Primera A matchday. Two sides languishing in the relegation mire, separated by just two points and a whisper of squad value (€6.28m vs €5.90m), will throw everything into a game that could define their seasons. The head-to-head history leans slightly toward Fortaleza after their 1-0 win last August, but recent form suggests this could be anyone’s fight.
Neither team has been a model of consistency, but their recent shocks tell a story. Envigado’s 2-1 away win at Alianza (priced at 6.0 betting odds) and Fortaleza’s 0-2 triumph over Once Caldas (5.2 odds) prove these sides pack a punch when underestimated. The stats, however, paint a tighter picture:
If you’re hoping for a goal fest, the numbers deliver a statistical gut punch. Only 34.6% of Primera A games exceed 2.5 total goals, and the AI gives an 8.0/10 confidence rating to the ‘Under 2.5’ tip at 1.49 odds. A 0-0 halftime score is also likely, reflecting both teams’ cautious starts. Fortaleza’s slight edge in on-target attempts (3 vs 2) might not matter if Envigado’s backline holds firm—something they’ve managed better at home.
Envigado’s 41.3% home win rate contrasts starkly with Fortaleza’s 21.1% away record, making the hosts slight favorites at 2.67 odds (though with a modest 1.4 trust rating). Set pieces could tilt the balance: Fortaleza are predicted to win 7 of the 11 corners, a potential lifeline given their aerial threat. But with no referee assigned yet, the physical battle—and those looming yellow cards—could rewrite the script.
This isn’t just a relegation scrap; it’s a test of nerve. The Envigado vs Fortaleza FC prediction hinges on who blinks first. Will Envigado’s home grit prevail, or can Fortaleza’s set-piece savvy steal the points? One thing’s certain: with so much at stake, expect fireworks—even if the total goals stay low.
When Envigado vs Fortaleza FC meet at Estadio Polideportivo Sur on July 12, it won’t be a glamorous duel—but it might just be one of the most intriguing battles of the Primera A matchday. Two sides languishing in the relegation mire, separated by just two points and a whisper of squad value (€6.28m vs €5.90m), will throw everything into a game that could define their seasons. The head-to-head history leans slightly toward Fortaleza after their 1-0 win last August, but recent form suggests this could be anyone’s fight.
Neither team has been a model of consistency, but their recent shocks tell a story. Envigado’s 2-1 away win at Alianza (priced at 6.0 betting odds) and Fortaleza’s 0-2 triumph over Once Caldas (5.2 odds) prove these sides pack a punch when underestimated. The stats, however, paint a tighter picture:
If you’re hoping for a goal fest, the numbers deliver a statistical gut punch. Only 34.6% of Primera A games exceed 2.5 total goals, and the AI gives an 8.0/10 confidence rating to the ‘Under 2.5’ tip at 1.49 odds. A 0-0 halftime score is also likely, reflecting both teams’ cautious starts. Fortaleza’s slight edge in on-target attempts (3 vs 2) might not matter if Envigado’s backline holds firm—something they’ve managed better at home.
Envigado’s 41.3% home win rate contrasts starkly with Fortaleza’s 21.1% away record, making the hosts slight favorites at 2.67 odds (though with a modest 1.4 trust rating). Set pieces could tilt the balance: Fortaleza are predicted to win 7 of the 11 corners, a potential lifeline given their aerial threat. But with no referee assigned yet, the physical battle—and those looming yellow cards—could rewrite the script.
This isn’t just a relegation scrap; it’s a test of nerve. The Envigado vs Fortaleza FC prediction hinges on who blinks first. Will Envigado’s home grit prevail, or can Fortaleza’s set-piece savvy steal the points? One thing’s certain: with so much at stake, expect fireworks—even if the total goals stay low.
Read More
Read Less
U2.5 -204
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the match with odds of -2041 167
Envigado is expected to win with odds of 167Under 2.5 -204
No more than 2 goals will be scored in the matchNo -145
At least one team is not expected to score1X&U3.5 -128
Home win/draw and under 3.5 goals
1:0
|
2
-
2
-
1
|
|
Fortaleza FC |
29-Jan-25
0:0
| Envigado ![]() |
Envigado |
03-Aug-24
0:1
| Fortaleza FC ![]() |
Fortaleza FC |
04-Feb-24
1:1
| Envigado ![]() |
Fortaleza FC |
15-Sep-16
1:2
| Envigado ![]() |
Envigado |
10-Apr-16
4:0
| Fortaleza FC ![]() |
| 03 Dec | L | Fortaleza. |
1:2 |
Santa Fe.![]() |
| 30 Nov | L | Fortaleza. |
0:2 |
Bucaramanga.![]() |
Colombia - Primera A| Team | Matches | Goals | Points | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Independiente | 20 | 46-28 | 40 |
| 2 |
Deportes Tolim | 20 | 29-17 | 38 |
| 3 |
Atletico Nacio | 20 | 38-24 | 37 |
| 4 |
Bucaramanga | 20 | 31-20 | 37 |
| 5 |
Junior | 20 | 35-25 | 35 |
| 6 |
Fortaleza FC | 20 | 25-19 | 35 |
| 7 |
Santa Fe | 20 | 21-17 | 31 |
| 8 |
America de Cal | 20 | 23-19 | 29 |
| 9 |
Alianza Petrol | 20 | 24-22 | 29 |
| 10 |
Rionegro Aguil | 20 | 29-27 | 27 |
| 11 |
Once Caldas | 20 | 21-24 | 27 |
| 12 |
Millonarios | 20 | 23-26 | 26 |
| 13 |
Llaneros | 20 | 17-25 | 25 |
| 14 |
Deportivo Cali | 20 | 22-28 | 21 |
| 15 |
Union Magdalen | 20 | 22-32 | 21 |
| 16 |
Envigado | 20 | 18-22 | 20 |
| 17 |
Deportivo Past | 20 | 26-28 | 19 |
| 18 |
Deportivo Pere | 20 | 19-36 | 18 |
| 19 |
Chico | 20 | 14-29 | 16 |
| 20 |
La Equidad | 20 | 14-29 | 14 |