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Match Prediction

Excelsior vs Emmen Prediction

Finished
Netherlands flag Netherlands
Eerste Divisie

Excelsior

€13.23m

27 Apr10:45
2 : 0

Emmen

€6.00m

Preview

Excelsior vs Emmen Prediction Eerste Divisie

Excelsior vs Emmen Prediction: Can the Underdogs Bite Back?

When Excelsior vs Emmen prediction talks start heating up, there’s usually one narrative that dominates: the gulf in class. And on paper, it’s hard to argue otherwise. Excelsior, sitting pretty in 2nd with 68 points, host an Emmen side languishing in 8th, a full 15 points behind. The betting odds reflect this, with the home win priced at a measly 1.5, while Emmen’s victory dangles at a tempting but risky 5.7. But as any seasoned Eerste Divisie fan knows, this league loves a plot twist.

The Tale of the Tape

Let’s start with the cold, hard numbers—because they don’t lie, even if they sometimes stretch the truth:

  • Squad Value: Excelsior’s €13.23m roster is more than double Emmen’s €6m, suggesting a talent gap wider than the Van Donge & De Roo Stadion’s pitch.
  • Form: Excelsior’s recent 2-2 draw against Ajax (yes, that Ajax) proves they can mix it with the big boys, while Emmen’s 3-3 thriller against the same opposition in 2022 shows they’re no pushovers either.
  • Head to Head: Their last meeting in 2022 saw Emmen defy the odds with a 1-0 win, despite Excelsior being favorites. History has a funny way of repeating itself.

So, what does this all mean for our Excelsior vs Emmen prediction? Well, the AI models are leaning heavily toward the hosts, with a 2-1 scoreline and 65% possession expected. But football isn’t played by robots (yet), and Emmen’s knack for upsetting the apple cart can’t be ignored.

Where the Game Could Be Won (or Lost)

Excelsior’s love for possession isn’t just a tactical choice—it’s borderline obsession. With 19 total shots (7 on target) and 7 corners predicted, they’ll likely bombard Emmen’s defense like a kid smashing the shoot button in FIFA. But here’s the catch: Emmen’s defensive resilience in past head to head battles suggests they might just weather the storm.

Meanwhile, Emmen’s attack isn’t exactly firing on all cylinders—just 6 total shots (2 on target) expected. But if there’s one thing we’ve learned from their past giant-killing acts, it’s that they only need a sniff of a chance to make things interesting.

The Referee Factor

S. van der Eijk will be the man in the middle, and his whistle could play a sneaky role. With just 2 yellow cards expected, this might not be a blood-and-thunder affair. But if Emmen start time-wasting early (a classic underdog tactic), things could get spicy.

Betting Tips: Where the Smart Money’s Going

If you’re looking to sprinkle some cash on this one, here’s what the nerds (and the bookies) are saying:

  1. Excelsior to win (1.5): The safe bet, but don’t expect a landslide.
  2. Over 2.5 total goals (1.5 odds): With a 58.2% historical hit rate in the Eerste Divisie, this feels like a solid shout.
  3. Both teams to score? Maybe not. Excelsior’s defense has been stingy, and Emmen’s attack isn’t exactly prolific.

Our AI gives the home win a confidence rating of 4.5.70—hardly a ringing endorsement, but enough to suggest Excelsior should edge it. NerdyTips’ AI agrees, with a trust score of 4.6. So, if you’re backing the hosts, you’re in good (algorithmic) company.

Final Thoughts: Expect Drama, Maybe Not a Classic

This Excelsior vs Emmen prediction isn’t just about stats—it’s about narratives. Excelsior, the dominant force with a point to prove. Emmen, the plucky underdogs with a history of ruining parties. The betting odds say one thing, but football, especially in the Eerste Divisie, loves to laugh in the face of logic.

So, grab a beer, settle in, and enjoy what should be a fascinating clash. Just don’t be surprised if Emmen sneak a goal and make everyone sweat. After all, that’s why we love this game.

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AI Predictions
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Warning

Excelsior has an unusually high recent form. Be cautious!

Best Tip

The best betting football prediction for Excelsior vs Emmen

1 -200

Excelsior is expected to win with odds of -200
4/10

1x2 Tip

1 -200

Excelsior is expected to win with odds of -200
4/10

Total Goals

Over 2.5 -200

At least 3 goals will be scored in the match
2/10

Both Teams To Score

Yes -169

Both teams are expected to score
1/10

Bet Builder Tip

1X&O1.5 -385

Home win/draw and over 1.5 goals
5/10
Both Teams To Score

Correct Score

2:1

Stats Predictions

65%
Ball Possession
35%
19
Total Shots
6
7
Shots on Goal
2
6
Shots Off Goal
2
7
Corners
2
1
Yellow Cards
1

Average / Match

3.1
Total Goals
2.7
2.2
Goals Scored
1.6
0.9
Goals Against
1.1
60%
Possession
50%
17.7
Total Shots
11.6
6.7
Shots on Goal
4.2
5.9
Shots off Goal
4.6
13.1
Fouls
14.2
7
Corners
5.6
1.3
Offsides
1.7
1.33
Yellow Cards
1.25
0
Red Cards
0
515
Total Passes
383

Overview Last 10 Matches

7
Wins
6
10
Over 1.5 Goals
8
7
Over 2.5 Goals
6
3
Over 3.5 Goals
2
8
Both Teams Scored
3
0
Unexpected Wins
0
0
Unexpected Loses
0

Head to Head

Excelsior
5 - 1 - 2
Emmen
Excelsior Excelsior 27-Apr-25
2:0
Emmen Emmen
Emmen Emmen 08-Dec-24
1:1
Excelsior Excelsior
Emmen Emmen 11-Mar-23
2:0
Excelsior Excelsior
Excelsior Excelsior 10-Sep-22
2:1
Emmen Emmen
Excelsior Excelsior 29-Jan-22
0:1
Emmen Emmen
Emmen Emmen 09-Oct-21
0:1
Excelsior Excelsior
Excelsior Excelsior 17-Feb-19
2:1
Emmen Emmen

Profile time Recent Matches of Excelsior

05 DecL Excelsior Excelsior.
0:2
Groningen. Groningen

Profile time Recent Matches of Emmen

05 DecLDen Haag Den Haag.
2:1
FC Emmen.FC Emmen

Netherlands - Eerste Divisie Netherlands - Eerste Divisie

Team Matches Goals Points
1 FC Volendam FC Volendam38
87-48
82
2 Excelsior Excelsior38
74-38
74
3 Cambuur Cambuur38
63-42
71
4 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag38
69-47
70
5 Dordrecht Dordrecht38
69-46
68
6 De Graafschap De Graafschap38
73-50
65
7 Telstar Telstar38
69-47
61
8 Emmen Emmen38
56-53
56
9 Den Bosch Den Bosch38
53-48
55
10 Jong AZ Jong AZ38
69-63
52
11 FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven38
58-64
51
12 Roda Roda38
49-57
49
13 Helmond Sport Helmond Sport38
53-61
46
14 VVV Venlo VVV Venlo38
44-69
41
15 MVV MVV38
52-59
40
16 FC OSS FC OSS38
31-61
38
17 Jong Ajax Jong Ajax38
37-52
36
18 Jong PSV Jong PSV38
55-86
30
19 Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht38
31-82
23
20 Vitesse Vitesse38
54-73
5
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