FC Tulsa hosts Tampa Bay Rowdies at ONEOK Field on March 16, 2025, at 00:00 UTC, in what promises to be a competitive USL Championship clash. The odds favor the visitors, with Tampa Bay priced at 2.1 for the win, while a home victory stands at 3.2 and a draw at 3.4. Despite this, our AI system suggests 1X (home win or draw) at 1.65 odds, with a confidence rating of 5.8/10, making it the best bet for this encounter.
FC Tulsa hosts Tampa Bay Rowdies at ONEOK Field on March 16, 2025, at 00:00 UTC, in what promises to be a competitive USL Championship clash. The odds favor the visitors, with Tampa Bay priced at 2.1 for the win, while a home victory stands at 3.2 and a draw at 3.4. Despite this, our AI system suggests 1X (home win or draw) at 1.65 odds, with a confidence rating of 5.8/10, making it the best bet for this encounter.

Match Analysis & Betting Insights

Tampa Bay Rowdies come into this game as the stronger side on paper, boasting a market value of €4.30m, compared to FC Tulsa's €3.22m. However, Tulsa's recent 1-0 away win over Phoenix Rising, where they defied 5.3 odds, suggests they are in solid form. Historically, home teams have won 42.2% of USL Championship matches, while away sides have prevailed just 27.2% of the time, reinforcing the value in backing Tulsa to avoid defeat.

1X2 Market Prediction

Our AI model leans towards a home win (1) at 3.2 odds, though with a moderate confidence of 4.3/10. While Tampa Bay edged their last H2H meeting 2-1 on August 19, 2023, Tulsa's recent form and home advantage suggest they have a real chance of securing at least a point. Given that 30.6% of USL matches end in a draw, a 1X bet provides solid value.

Goals Market: Under 3.5 Goals

The likelihood of a low-scoring affair is high, with under 3.5 goals priced at 1.25 odds and holding a confidence rating of 4.8/10. Historically, only 30.1% of USL games surpass the 3.5-goal mark, making this a strong selection. Our AI predicts a 2-1 final score, with Tulsa likely to take a 2-0 lead by halftime before Tampa Bay responds late.

Final Verdict

With Tulsa’s improving form and historical home advantage, the 1X bet at 1.65 odds is the safest route for bettors. While Tampa Bay remains a formidable opponent, Tulsa’s resilience and recent away win suggest they can at least force a draw. Expect a tight match with under 3.5 goals, making this a strategic betting opportunity.