Fenerbahce welcomes Samsunspor to the Ülker Stadyumu on March 16, 2025, for what looks like a one-sided Süper Lig clash—at least on paper. The odds tell the story: Fenerbahce is heavily favored at 1.36, while a draw sits at 4.8, and a Samsunspor upset is priced at a whopping 8.0. But as we saw in their last meeting, where Samsunspor stunned Fenerbahce with a 1-1 draw despite being 12.5 underdogs, football has a way of defying expectations.
Fenerbahce welcomes Samsunspor to the Ülker Stadyumu on March 16, 2025, for what looks like a one-sided Süper Lig clash—at least on paper. The odds tell the story: Fenerbahce is heavily favored at 1.36, while a draw sits at 4.8, and a Samsunspor upset is priced at a whopping 8.0. But as we saw in their last meeting, where Samsunspor stunned Fenerbahce with a 1-1 draw despite being 12.5 underdogs, football has a way of defying expectations.

That said, our AI is sticking with the logical choice: a Fenerbahce win. The confidence level isn’t sky-high at 5.7/10, but given the gulf in quality, it’s still the best bet. The home side boasts a market value of €242.00m, dwarfing Samsunspor’s €29.02m. That’s like pitting a luxury sports car against a reliable family sedan—both can get the job done, but one is built to dominate.

Statistically, home teams win 45.0% of Süper Lig matches, and Fenerbahce’s dominance at home should push that number even higher. Samsunspor, meanwhile, will be hoping to defy the odds again, but with just a 28.6% away win rate in the league, the challenge is steep.

Expect goals in this one. Our AI suggests over 2.5 goals (odds: 1.67, confidence: 5.6/10), and with Fenerbahce projected to control 66% possession, they should create plenty of chances. The predicted final score? 3-0 to the hosts, with a 1-0 halftime lead.

Looking at shot stats, Fenerbahce is expected to fire 16 attempts, with 6 on target, while Samsunspor might struggle with just 5 shots and a single effort on target. Corners? A modest total of 7, with Fenerbahce edging it 5-2. Discipline-wise, expect a relatively clean game—1 yellow card for the hosts and 2 for the visitors.

While Samsunspor’s last visit to Fenerbahce ended in a surprising draw, lightning rarely strikes twice. With the home side pushing for the title and boasting superior firepower, the smart money is on a comfortable Fenerbahce victory.

Best Bet: Fenerbahce to Win (1.36)
Alternative Bet: Over 2.5 Goals (1.67)
Predicted Score: 3-0

Can Samsunspor defy the odds again, or will Fenerbahce restore order? We’ll find out soon enough!