Finn Harps vs Wexford Prediction

Finn Harps vs Wexford Prediction: Friday Night at Finn Park Promises Drama

Friday night football under the Donegal sky: there’s nothing quite like it. On June 13, 2025, the First Division serves up a fascinating spectacle as Finn Harps, valued at a modest €50k, welcome Wexford and their €25k squad to Finn Park (kick-off 19:45 GMT). If you’re searching for the sharpest Finn Harps vs Wexford prediction, you’re in the right place—this is a fixture where numbers, history, and a dash of unpredictability dance together in perfect harmony.

Setting the Stage: Value, Odds, and the Weight of History

Let’s start with the basics: bookmakers are calling this one tight. The home win sits at 2.71, the draw at 3.28, and an away victory for Wexford at 2.41. On paper, the Harps have double the squad value, but as anyone who’s watched a ball bounce awkwardly in Ballybofey knows, money doesn’t always buy points—especially in the First Division.

The stats offer a window into the soul of this league:

• Home teams win just 36.2% of First Division games—Finn Park is no fortress, but it’s not a walk in the park either.


• Away sides take three points 28.7% of the time, so Wexford’s task is far from impossible.


• Draws are common currency, showing up in 35.1% of matches—if you like sitting on the fence, this is your market.

Last October, Wexford made the trip north and left with a 3-1 win (when away odds were just 2.13). That head to head result still stings in Donegal, and it’s a reminder that the visitors know how to spoil a party here.

Recent Form: Grit, Guts, and Goals

Both teams arrive with heads held high after defying the betting odds last time out. Finn Harps, written off at 7.5, battled for a gritty 1-1 draw against Dundalk—a result that felt like a win. Meanwhile, Wexford silenced the Cobh Ramblers faithful with a clinical 1-3 away victory (5.5 odds), showing they’re more than comfortable on the road.

What the AI Models Say: NerdyTips’ Numbers

NerdyTips’ AI model is leaning toward another away win (1x2 tip: ‘2’ at 2.41, trust score 2.4). The numbers whisper that Wexford have the edge, but not by much—think of it as a gentle nudge, not a shove. Other predictions add color:

• Away Team to Score at 1.27 (4.5/10 confidence): Wexford rarely draw a blank, and with the Harps’ defense still finding its feet, expect the net to bulge at least once for the visitors.


• Under 3.5 Goals at 1.3 (4.1/10 confidence): Both sides are pragmatic, not prone to wild shootouts—so don’t expect a goal-fest.

The predicted scoreline? 1-2 to Wexford, with the visitors taking a first-half lead (HT 0-1). It fits the script: Finn Harps fighting, Wexford efficient, and the betting odds reflecting a contest that could swing either way.

Key Stats and Betting Trends: What to Watch For

Digging deeper into the league’s patterns:

• Both teams score in 45.3% of matches—so a 1-1 or 1-2 is hardly a long shot.


• Over 1.5 goals lands in 65.5% of games, so expecting at least a couple of strikes is statistically sound.

Will this match follow the numbers? With both teams in decent form and the head to head history favoring goals, it feels likely. Still, this is the First Division—where the only guarantee is that the referee will show up (unless, of course, he’s stuck behind a flock of sheep on the road to Ballybofey).

Finn Harps vs Wexford Prediction: Tips and Value Bets

Here’s how to turn data into action:

1. Wexford to Win (2.41): The AI, recent form, and H2H all point to value here. If you fancy the away side, the odds are tempting.


2. Both Teams to Score: With both sides finding the net lately, and nearly half of league matches seeing BTTS, this is a sensible shout.


3. Under 3.5 Goals: For the risk-averse, this looks a safe play given the teams’ pragmatic approach and AI confidence.

In summary, this Finn Harps vs Wexford prediction leans toward a narrow Wexford win, but don’t rule out late drama or a hard-fought draw. For punters, the best value lies in backing the away side and goals markets. Whatever your angle, Friday night at Finn Park rarely disappoints—unless, of course, you’re a goalkeeper.