Genoa and Lecce are set to battle it out at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris on March 14, 2025, at 19:45 UTC. With Genoa priced at 2.0 for a win, a draw at 3.05, and Lecce at 4.4, the odds suggest a slight edge for the home side. But is there value in backing them? Let’s break it down.
Genoa and Lecce are set to battle it out at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris on March 14, 2025, at 19:45 UTC. With Genoa priced at 2.0 for a win, a draw at 3.05, and Lecce at 4.4, the odds suggest a slight edge for the home side. But is there value in backing them? Let’s break it down.

Our AI-powered best tip for this match is Under 2.5 goals, with a confidence level of 5.0/10 and odds of 1.5. Why? Well, both teams have shown a tendency for low-scoring affairs. The predicted final score is 1-0, with an expected 0-0 at halftime, reinforcing the idea of a tight, defensive battle.

Looking at possession stats, Genoa is expected to control 56% of the ball, while Lecce will have 44%. Shot-wise, Genoa is predicted to take 11 attempts, with 3 on target, while Lecce should manage 10 shots, with 2 on target. Not exactly the recipe for a goal fest!

Historically, 41.1% of Serie A matches end in a home win, which aligns with our 1X2 prediction favoring Genoa (trust level: 1.6/10). Their squad value of €144.15m dwarfs Lecce’s €73.57m, which could be a decisive factor. However, Lecce has pulled off surprises before—just ask Juventus, who they stunned with a 1-1 draw in December 2024.

In their last head-to-head clash on January 28, 2024, Genoa edged out Lecce 2-1. This time, though, the stats suggest fewer goals. With 9 total corners expected (5 for Genoa, 4 for Lecce) and only one yellow card per team, this game might lack fireworks but could be a tactical chess match.

Bottom line? If you’re betting, Under 2.5 goals at 1.5 odds looks like the safest play. Genoa to win at 2.0 odds is tempting, but expect a cagey, low-scoring affair.